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Valencia vs Basket Zaragoza Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 76-69
22-23 15-20 25-15 14-11
Position#4
Record6-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#12
Record3-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game82.9
SpainACBRound 9· Font de Sant Lluis
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Valencia v Basket Zaragoza
14 Feb 2027
VAL v ZAR
upcoming
12 Jan 2026
VAL115
ZAR73
15 Nov 2024
VAL111
ZAR82
12 Nov 2023
VAL76
ZAR69
22 Jan 2023
VAL88
ZAR76
20 Mar 2022
VAL81
ZAR79
24 Oct 2020
VAL93
ZAR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
W
77-74
77
74
+3
72avg 73
H13/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
61-59
61
59
+2
56avg 73
A15/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
75-66
75
66
+9
75avg 73
H18/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
73-77
73
77
-4
69avg 73
A20/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
84-79
84
79
+5
80avg 73
H22/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
87-72
87
72
+15
82avg 73
A27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
71-68
71
68
+3
58avg 73
H29/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
79-71
79
71
+8
71avg 73
H02/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
76-80
76
80
-4
67avg 73
A05/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
52-83
52
83
-31
44avg 73
A09/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-9
17-24
19-20
19-21
11-15
13-6
16-20
21-18
18-17
15-12
17-15
25-22
15-18
25-20
13-19
20-20
22-15
19-23
22-20
21-21
20-12
32-18
20-23
15-19
18-19
27-14
13-16
13-19
15-14
26-25
15-15
23-17
15-21
25-15
15-24
21-20
12-23
19-21
8-20
13-19
146.4Avg total
73.5Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.877.0156.8+2.875%
Season at home (4)81.278.8160.0+2.575%
Season away (4)78.275.2153.5+3.075%
Last 10 (10)73.572.9146.4+0.670%
Last 5 (5)73.074.8147.8-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.677.9151.4-4.344%
vs Similar (13)78.880.7159.5-1.854%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)81.077.6158.6+3.462%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Jamtland
#27
W
81-65
81
65
+16
79avg 74
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#9
L
75-81
75
81
-6
72avg 74
A07/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
72-80
72
80
-8
68avg 74
A11/10
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
80-85
80
85
-5
67avg 74
H15/10
ACB
Brindisi
#37
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
77avg 74
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#17
L
70-78
70
78
-8
58avg 74
A22/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
113-83
113
83
+30
117avg 74
H28/10
ACB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#20
W
78-72
78
72
+6
82avg 74
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#13
W
77-63
77
63
+14
73avg 74
H04/11
ACB
Brindisi
#37
W
91-72
91
72
+19
93avg 74
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
25-25
15-9
19-13
21-25
17-22
8-14
29-20
15-20
17-9
16-34
24-17
23-24
11-21
24-20
22-20
30-27
17-12
14-15
20-27
21-26
11-14
16-19
22-19
26-14
29-18
36-29
22-22
14-24
18-15
20-21
26-12
10-17
15-20
23-16
29-10
25-18
19-12
27-27
20-15
159.4Avg total
82.8Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.182.9165.0-0.838%
Season at home (4)92.580.8173.2+11.875%
Season away (4)71.885.0156.8-13.20%
Last 10 (10)82.876.6159.4+6.260%
Last 5 (5)85.873.6159.4+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)80.286.2166.4-6.044%
vs Similar (15)82.379.5161.7+2.847%
vs Weaker (6)85.075.7160.7+9.383%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +5.8+5.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +5.8+5.8
ValenciaBasket Zaragoza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H13/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
24-21
24
21
+3
A15/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H18/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A20/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H22/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
52-30
52
30
+22
A27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H29/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H02/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A05/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A09/11
Euroleague
72.7Avg total
38.6Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.238.778.0+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.838.377.1+0.556%-
Last 30 away (14)39.739.278.9+0.543%-
Last 10 (10)38.634.172.7+4.590%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.478.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.338.775.0-2.333%-
vs Similar (13)42.140.282.3+1.862%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)37.936.474.2+1.550%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jamtland
#27
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#9
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A07/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A11/10
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H15/10
ACB
Brindisi
#37
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#17
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A22/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H28/10
ACB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#20
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#13
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H04/11
ACB
Brindisi
#37
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
76.7Avg total
38.6Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.337.075.4+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.735.374.9+4.467%-
Last 30 away (15)37.038.875.8-1.847%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.176.7+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.635.673.2+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.938.277.1+0.756%-
vs Similar (15)35.536.171.7-0.647%-
vs Weaker (6)44.537.582.0+7.083%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.518.8
47.6%
53.0%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.76.8
34.5%
34.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws19.114.5
75.9%
75.6%14.5
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.8
55.5%
53.0%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.77.3
35.3%
34.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.715.1
72.9%
75.6%15.1
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LLWWWWLWWW
Basket Zaragoza
WWWWLWLLLW
#4
League position
#12
+0.6
Net rating
+8.7
102.0
Offensive rating
108.4
101.4
Defensive rating
99.7
49.0%
Effective FG%
54.6%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
19.7%
Turnover %
20.2%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.5%
3-point %
35.3%
59.8%
Assist %
60.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 108.4Defence101.4 · 99.7Shooting49.0% · 54.6%3-point %34.5% · 35.3%Ball care19.7% · 20.2%Off. rebounds31.2% · 30.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Valencia   ■ Basket Zaragoza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Valencia wins
1
Basket Zaragoza wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/23AOlimpia Milano52-83
05/11/23AJoventut Badalona76-80
02/11/23HAlba Berlin79-71
29/10/23HBarcelona71-68
27/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas87-72
22/10/23HManresa84-79
20/10/23AAnadolu Efes73-77
18/10/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv75-66
15/10/23ABreogan61-59
13/10/23HFenerbahce77-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23HBrindisi91-72
04/11/23HBilbao77-63
01/11/23ABC Kalev/Cramo78-72
28/10/23HJoventut Badalona113-83
22/10/23AGranada70-78
18/10/23ABrindisi91-87 OT
15/10/23HBaskonia80-85
11/10/23AObradoiro CAB72-80
07/10/23AManresa75-81
05/10/23AJamtland81-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game79.881.278.2
Allowed / game77.078.875.2
Point differential+2.8+2.5+3.0
Avg total156.8160.0153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game82.192.571.8
Allowed / game82.980.885.0
Point differential-0.8+11.8-13.2
Avg total165.0173.2156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid880100%92.077.9+14.1
2 Barcelona86275%83.878.0+5.8
3 Valencia86275%79.877.0+2.8
4 Unicaja96367%88.681.1+7.4
5 Murcia96367%85.179.9+5.2
6 Basquet Girona95456%82.081.2+0.8
7 Manresa95456%86.187.0-0.9
8 Gran Canaria95456%79.883.0-3.2
9 Tenerife84450%79.680.9-1.2
10 Bilbao84450%81.883.1-1.4
11 Obradoiro CAB94544%84.082.1+1.9
12 MoraBanc Andorra94544%80.081.2-1.2
13 Baskonia94544%83.886.0-2.2
14 Joventut Badalona94544%82.788.9-6.2
15 Basket Zaragoza83538%82.182.9-0.8
16 Breogan92722%72.278.4-6.2
17 Granada91811%84.389.8-5.4
18 Palencia91811%73.980.9-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2215251476
Basket Zaragoza2320151169
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