Valencia vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Mar 2012

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 63-68

15-22 15-15 18-15 15-16

Position#4

Record11-10

FormWWWWW

Points / game73.7

Allowed / game72.3

Valencia

Baskonia 🏆

Position#3

Record15-6

FormWLWLW

Points / game72.6

Allowed / game68.4

ACBRound 22

Domestic2011-12

Meetings · Valencia v Baskonia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Baskonia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Joventut Badalona

#11

73-81

-8

A22/01

ACB

VEF Riga

#17

80-49

+31

H24/01

Eurocup

Estudiantes

#17

85-71

+14

H28/01

ACB

Nymburk

80-71

A31/01

Eurocup

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#10

63-71

-8

A05/02

ACB

Nymburk

73-72

H07/02

Eurocup

Gipuzkoa

69-60

H12/02

ACB

Gravelines-Dunkerque

#21

79-61

+18

H21/02

Eurocup

Unicaja

68-58

+10

A26/02

ACB

VEF Riga

#17

82-71

+11

A28/02

Eurocup

14-24

9-18

22-17

28-22

25-10

24-7

21-13

10-19

32-23

19-22

18-13

16-13

20-12

25-18

14-26

21-15

22-22

15-11

17-15

9-23

19-11

21-17

20-23

13-21

20-21

8-9

20-18

21-12

19-19

22-17

13-9

25-16

6-15

19-16

23-13

20-14

13-20

19-15

23-17

27-19

141.7Avg total

75.2Scored

66.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	73.7	72.3	146.0	+1.4	52%
Season at home (10)	74.7	69.9	144.6	+4.8	60%
Season away (11)	72.8	74.5	147.3	-1.6	45%
Last 10 (10)	75.2	66.5	141.7	+8.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	74.2	64.4	138.6	+9.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	66.0	76.5	142.5	-10.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	77.7	74.9	152.6	+2.9	71%
vs Weaker (21)	76.4	69.9	146.3	+6.5	71%

This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Baskonia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fuenlabrada

#16

61-51

+10

H04/01

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

74-57

+17

A08/01

ACB

Manresa

#12

65-76

-11

H14/01

ACB

Real Madrid

73-84

-11

A22/01

ACB

Real Betis

73-66

A29/01

ACB

Gran Canaria

#15

71-67

H05/02

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#14

87-89 OT

-2

A12/02

ACB

Gipuzkoa

72-65

H16/02

Spanish Cup

Barcelona

57-66

-9

A18/02

Spanish Cup

Baloncesto Valladolid

#18

67-65

H26/02

ACB

10-14

18-11

16-11

17-15

15-25

27-11

12-14

20-7

16-19

25-18

9-20

15-19

21-24

20-18

19-26

13-16

19-15

14-18

24-13

16-20

19-18

20-15

14-13

18-21

17-16

21-12

13-22

21-22

17-16

11-22

27-11

17-16

18-19

15-15

19-14

5-18

16-11

15-21

24-18

12-15

138.6Avg total

70.0Scored

68.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	72.6	68.4	141.0	+4.2	71%
Season at home (10)	70.3	64.3	134.6	+6.0	80%
Season away (11)	74.6	72.1	146.7	+2.5	64%
Last 10 (10)	70.0	68.6	138.6	+1.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	70.8	70.4	141.2	+0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	67.0	70.0	137.0	-3.0	33%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	78.8	78.8	157.5	+0.0	50%
vs Weaker (18)	74.2	67.4	141.6	+6.8	72%

This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValenciaBaskonia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.0	37.4	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	18.6	39.3	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.2	19.4	35.7	-3.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	17.7	36.7	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	17.2	32.6	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.5	17.0	32.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	18.1	19.3	37.4	-1.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (21)	18.7	19.1	37.8	-0.5	48%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.6	36.0	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	16.1	33.9	+1.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	19.1	38.0	-0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	17.7	34.5	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	16.0	33.4	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	17.0	35.7	+1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.1	19.4	39.5	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	17.6	17.0	34.6	+0.6	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	16.3	34.8	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.2	16.7	34.9	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.7	16.0	34.7	+2.7	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	15.0	33.1	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	14.8	32.6	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	14.0	20.5	34.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.6	16.9	36.4	+2.7	71%	-
vs Weaker (21)	18.5	15.8	34.3	+2.8	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	17.8	35.4	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	17.2	34.7	+0.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	18.5	36.1	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	16.1	34.7	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	17.0	33.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.7	15.7	31.3	+0.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	16.5	19.0	35.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	18.7	17.4	36.1	+1.2	56%	-

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Joventut Badalona

#11

23-42

-19

A22/01

ACB

VEF Riga

#17

49-17

+32

H24/01

Eurocup

Estudiantes

#17

51-45

H28/01

ACB

Nymburk

45-30

+15

A31/01

Eurocup

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#10

37-33

A05/02

ACB

Nymburk

40-28

+12

H07/02

Eurocup

Gipuzkoa

28-30

-2

H12/02

ACB

Gravelines-Dunkerque

#21

41-36

H21/02

Eurocup

Unicaja

25-31

-6

A26/02

ACB

VEF Riga

#17

32-35

-3

A28/02

Eurocup

69.8Avg total

37.1Scored

32.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	35.4	72.2	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.9	35.3	74.2	+3.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.9	35.4	70.4	-0.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	32.7	69.8	+4.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	32.0	65.2	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	29.5	37.5	67.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	37.7	36.1	73.9	+1.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (21)	37.2	34.9	72.1	+2.3	52%	-

This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fuenlabrada

#16

28-25

H04/01

ACB

Joventut Badalona

#11

42-36

A08/01

ACB

Manresa

#12

41-37

H14/01

ACB

Real Madrid

41-42

-1

A22/01

ACB

Real Betis

33-33

A29/01

ACB

Gran Canaria

#15

39-33

H05/02

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#14

38-28

+10

A12/02

ACB

Gipuzkoa

28-38

-10

H16/02

Spanish Cup

Barcelona

33-34

-1

A18/02

Spanish Cup

Baloncesto Valladolid

#18

31-32

-1

H26/02

ACB

69.2Avg total

35.4Scored

33.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.9	35.4	71.3	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.3	33.3	68.6	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.5	37.6	74.1	-1.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	33.8	69.2	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	33.0	66.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.3	32.7	67.0	+1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	36.6	38.4	75.0	-1.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (18)	36.3	34.4	70.7	+1.8	50%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	17.4	36.4	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	16.0	34.9	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	18.6	37.7	+0.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	16.4	35.5	+2.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.0	35.8	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	13.5	20.5	34.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.9	20.1	40.0	-0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (21)	19.2	16.1	35.4	+3.1	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	16.7	35.6	+2.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	17.2	37.5	+3.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	16.1	33.8	+1.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	16.2	33.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	15.6	35.0	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.0	21.3	41.3	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.8	20.2	42.0	+1.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (18)	17.1	14.6	31.7	+2.5	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.4	38.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	16.9	36.5	+2.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	19.7	39.4	+0.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	17.4	36.4	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	16.4	37.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.0	18.5	41.5	+4.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	20.1	18.6	38.7	+1.6	71%	-
vs Weaker (21)	19.2	18.3	37.5	+1.0	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	17.5	36.2	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	17.1	35.5	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	18.0	36.9	+0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.4	16.9	32.3	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	18.4	33.0	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	12.7	16.0	28.7	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.4	20.1	40.5	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	19.1	16.7	35.8	+2.3	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	35.7	74.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.5	32.9	71.4	+5.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.9	38.2	77.1	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	33.8	71.9	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	32.4	73.4	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	36.5	39.0	75.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	40.0	38.7	78.7	+1.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (21)	38.5	34.4	72.9	+4.0	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	34.2	71.9	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.7	34.3	73.0	+4.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.6	34.1	70.7	+2.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.1	33.1	66.2	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	34.0	68.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	32.7	37.3	70.0	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	42.1	40.4	82.5	+1.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (18)	36.2	31.3	67.5	+4.8	72%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valencia wins

Baskonia wins

Date	Game	Score
23/10/11	Baskonia v Valencia	72-82
09/03/11	Baskonia v Valencia	72-65
07/11/10	Valencia v Baskonia	67-81
24/09/10	Baskonia v Valencia	66-67
14/02/10	Baskonia v Valencia	69-67
01/11/09	Valencia v Baskonia	81-74
16/04/09	Baskonia v Valencia	90-86
19/02/09	Baskonia v Valencia	82-66
30/11/08	Valencia v Baskonia	73-91

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/02/12	A	VEF Riga	82-71
26/02/12	A	Unicaja	68-58
21/02/12	H	Gravelines-Dunkerque	79-61
12/02/12	H	Gipuzkoa	69-60
07/02/12	H	Nymburk	73-72
05/02/12	A	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	63-71
31/01/12	A	Nymburk	80-71
28/01/12	H	Estudiantes	85-71
24/01/12	H	VEF Riga	80-49
22/01/12	A	Joventut Badalona	73-81

Baskonialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/02/12	H	Baloncesto Valladolid	67-65
18/02/12	A	Barcelona	57-66
16/02/12	H	Gipuzkoa	72-65
12/02/12	A	Obradoiro CAB	87-89 OT
05/02/12	H	Gran Canaria	71-67
29/01/12	A	Real Betis	73-66
22/01/12	A	Real Madrid	73-84
14/01/12	H	Manresa	65-76
08/01/12	A	Joventut Badalona	74-57
04/01/12	H	Fuenlabrada	61-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia

ACB 2011-12

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	52%
Home	LWLWW	60%
Away	LWLLW	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	52%	60%	45%
Points / game	73.7	74.7	72.8
Allowed / game	72.3	69.9	74.5
Point differential	+1.4	+4.8	-1.6
Avg total	146.0	144.6	147.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	30%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	0% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	5%	0%	9%

Baskonia

ACB 2011-12

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	71%
Home	WWLWW	80%
Away	WWLWL	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	71%	80%	64%
Points / game	72.6	70.3	74.6
Allowed / game	68.4	64.3	72.1
Point differential	+4.2	+6.0	+2.5
Avg total	141.0	134.6	146.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	43%	60%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	5%	0%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Barcelona	21	18	3	86%	76.1	63.1	+13.0
2	Real Madrid	21	17	4	81%	84.2	72.0	+12.2
3	Baskonia	21	15	6	71%	72.6	68.4	+4.2
4	Unicaja	21	13	8	62%	76.0	73.7	+2.3
5	Alicante	21	13	8	62%	70.2	71.0	-0.8
6	Gipuzkoa	21	11	10	52%	77.7	75.2	+2.4
7	Bilbao	21	11	10	52%	77.8	75.8	+2.0
8	Valencia	21	11	10	52%	73.7	72.3	+1.4
9	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	21	11	10	52%	73.0	72.4	+0.6
10	Real Betis	21	10	11	48%	74.6	74.1	+0.5
11	Manresa	21	10	11	48%	72.0	73.7	-1.7
12	Fuenlabrada	22	10	12	45%	71.2	75.1	-3.9
13	Joventut Badalona	22	9	13	41%	71.3	75.6	-4.4
14	Gran Canaria	21	8	13	38%	66.2	68.8	-2.6
15	Obradoiro CAB	21	7	14	33%	70.5	73.7	-3.2
16	Murcia	21	6	15	29%	69.3	75.4	-6.1
17	Estudiantes	21	6	15	29%	67.8	75.9	-8.1
18	Baloncesto Valladolid	21	4	17	19%	68.9	76.3	-7.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valencia	15	15	18	15	63
Baskonia	22	15	15	16	68

← all games of the day

Valencia vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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