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Valencia vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 125-128 (OT)
19-29 25-22 24-25 26-18 31-34
Position#2
Record21-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game96.0
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Position#7
Record14-14
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game86.4
SpainACBRound 29· Font de Sant Lluis
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Valencia v Baskonia
25 Oct 2026
VAL84
BAS75
29 Sep 2026
VAL111
BAS88
10 May 2026
VAL86
BAS88
23 Dec 2025
VAL91
BAS81
27 Apr 2025
VAL125
BAS128
07 Apr 2024
VAL111
BAS101
01 Dec 2023
VAL84
BAS98
02 Apr 2023
VAL81
BAS85
06 Oct 2022
VAL71
BAS81
30 May 2022
VAL59
BAS76
24 May 2022
VAL79
BAS80
18 Sep 2021
VAL67
BAS72
04 Jun 2021
VAL78
BAS73
31 May 2021
VAL87
BAS86
08 Apr 2021
VAL86
BAS81
24 Jan 2021
VAL83
BAS61
26 May 2019
VAL v BAS
upcoming
12 Apr 2018
VAL81
BAS77
08 Mar 2018
VAL71
BAS81
05 Jun 2017
VAL85
BAS77
03 Jun 2017
VAL75
BAS69
13 Nov 2016
VAL99
BAS91
08 Nov 2015
VAL85
BAS78
07 Dec 2014
VAL85
BAS70
07 Nov 2014
VAL79
BAS69
02 Mar 2014
VAL67
BAS55
07 Feb 2014
VAL74
BAS73
11 Nov 2012
VAL75
BAS79
03 Mar 2012
VAL63
BAS68
07 Nov 2010
VAL67
BAS81
01 Nov 2009
VAL81
BAS74
30 Nov 2008
VAL73
BAS91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
98-74
98
74
+24
101avg 90
H12/03
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
104-89
104
89
+15
103avg 90
A15/03
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
127-81
127
81
+46
140avg 90
H22/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
91-82
91
82
+9
84avg 90
H25/03
Eurocup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
87avg 90
A28/03
Eurocup
Granada
#17
W
97-69
97
69
+28
101avg 90
A30/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
92-94
92
94
-2
84avg 90
H02/04
Eurocup
Murcia
#10
L
71-86
71
86
-15
62avg 90
H05/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
84-75
84
75
+9
82avg 90
H13/04
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
76-67
76
67
+9
76avg 90
A20/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-15
23-21
17-16
28-22
21-26
29-18
29-19
25-26
26-17
27-27
42-19
32-18
20-24
22-24
23-11
26-23
21-23
28-31
22-22
20-20
21-21
23-5
23-26
30-17
22-15
23-29
22-19
25-31
9-21
24-20
23-21
15-24
22-17
22-21
28-22
12-15
20-19
17-11
21-17
18-20
174.4Avg total
93.1Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)96.084.4180.4+11.675%
Season at home (14)97.183.4180.4+13.786%
Season away (14)94.985.4180.3+9.664%
Last 10 (10)93.181.3174.4+11.870%
Last 5 (5)84.078.2162.2+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)85.084.0169.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)96.584.6181.1+11.868%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Bayern
#7
W
112-89
112
89
+23
105avg 78
H20/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
W
90-84
90
84
+6
83avg 78
H22/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
76-92
76
92
-16
74avg 78
A26/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
77-82
77
82
-5
67avg 78
A28/03
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
L
82-88
82
88
-6
74avg 78
A30/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
111-75
111
75
+36
113avg 78
H04/04
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
92-76
92
76
+16
89avg 78
H06/04
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
89-111
89
111
-22
82avg 78
A10/04
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
91-82
91
82
+9
86avg 78
A12/04
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
89-93
89
93
-4
86avg 78
H20/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
25-27
33-23
29-18
21-20
20-29
28-15
21-20
22-28
22-21
15-18
17-25
13-19
19-27
27-26
18-10
13-34
21-23
23-17
25-14
30-14
32-20
30-19
19-22
22-11
24-24
27-23
19-18
18-31
17-31
26-20
28-29
28-20
15-18
24-20
24-24
29-26
23-25
19-16
18-26
178.1Avg total
90.9Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)86.586.4172.9+0.150%
Season at home (14)92.588.2180.7+4.357%
Season away (14)80.584.6165.1-4.143%
Last 10 (10)90.987.2178.1+3.750%
Last 5 (5)94.487.4181.8+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)82.988.9171.8-6.012%
vs Similar (14)88.185.1173.2+2.957%
vs Weaker (8)90.483.8174.1+6.662%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
ValenciaBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H12/03
Eurocup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A15/03
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H22/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H25/03
Eurocup
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A28/03
Eurocup
Granada
#17
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A30/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H02/04
Eurocup
Murcia
#10
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H05/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H13/04
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A20/04
ACB
85.5Avg total
45.0Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.541.788.2+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.842.492.2+7.476%-
Last 30 away (13)42.240.882.9+1.462%-
Last 10 (10)45.040.585.5+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.635.876.4+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)40.030.070.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)47.242.289.4+5.171%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#7
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H20/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#9
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H22/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A26/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A28/03
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
L
34-57
34
57
-23
A30/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
62-34
62
34
+28
H04/04
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H06/04
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
35-62
35
62
-27
A10/04
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A12/04
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H20/04
ACB
90.8Avg total
43.9Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.543.184.7-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.640.386.9+6.367%-
Last 30 away (15)36.545.982.4-9.527%-
Last 10 (10)43.946.990.8-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)47.644.091.6+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.144.283.4-5.138%-
vs Similar (14)42.643.686.3-1.057%-
vs Weaker (8)42.041.183.1+0.938%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.420.6
59.9%
54.0%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.711.6
35.5%
35.6%34.8
🏀 Free throws20.616.3
79.1%
76.4%16.3
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.521.4
58.6%
54.0%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.411.2
40.9%
35.6%33.6
🏀 Free throws19.213.4
69.8%
76.4%13.4
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWLLWLWWWW
Baskonia
LWLWWLLLWW
#2
League position
#7
+15.5
Net rating
+4.9
119.4
Offensive rating
121.9
103.9
Defensive rating
117.0
56.6%
Effective FG%
59.8%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
16.6%
Turnover %
16.0%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.5%
3-point %
40.9%
71.1%
Assist %
66.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence119.4 · 121.9Defence103.9 · 117.0Shooting56.6% · 59.8%3-point %35.5% · 40.9%Ball care16.6% · 16.0%Off. rebounds32.9% · 31.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Valencia   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valencia wins
7
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
01/12/24Baskonia v Valencia91-116
07/04/24Valencia v Baskonia111-101
26/01/24Baskonia v Valencia62-77
01/12/23Valencia v Baskonia84-98
19/11/23Baskonia v Valencia83-74
02/04/23Valencia v Baskonia81-85
03/03/23Baskonia v Valencia114-75
08/01/23Baskonia v Valencia85-79
06/10/22Valencia v Baskonia71-81
30/05/22Valencia v Baskonia59-76
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/25AForca Lleida76-67
13/04/25HUnicaja84-75
05/04/25HMurcia71-86
02/04/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv92-94
30/03/25AGranada97-69
28/03/25AHapoel Tel-Aviv91-96
25/03/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv91-82
22/03/25HLeyma Coruna127-81
15/03/25AJoventut Badalona104-89
12/03/25HCluj-Napoca98-74
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/25HTenerife89-93
12/04/25AMurcia91-82
10/04/25AOlimpia Milano89-111
06/04/25HBasquet Girona92-76
04/04/25HLyon-Villeurbanne111-75
30/03/25ABreogan82-88
28/03/25AFenerbahce77-82
26/03/25AAnadolu Efes76-92
22/03/25HManresa90-84
20/03/25HBayern112-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeLWWLW86%
AwayLWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %75%86%64%
Points / game96.097.194.9
Allowed / game84.483.485.4
Point differential+11.6+13.7+9.6
Avg total180.4180.4180.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%64%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baskonia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWWWWL57%
AwayLLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %50%57%43%
Points / game86.592.580.5
Allowed / game86.488.284.6
Point differential+0.1+4.3-4.1
Avg total172.9180.7165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)43% (7)62% (8)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2824486%88.078.2+9.7
2 Tenerife2923679%87.382.5+4.9
3 Valencia2821775%96.084.4+11.6
4 Unicaja2819968%89.584.7+4.9
5 Barcelona28171161%92.187.1+5.1
6 Manresa29161355%88.385.0+3.3
7 Joventut Badalona29161355%85.384.2+1.1
8 Gran Canaria28151354%83.984.0-0.1
9 Baskonia28141450%86.586.4+0.1
10 Murcia28131546%81.581.5-0.1
11 Breogan29121741%79.486.1-6.7
12 Basket Zaragoza28111739%89.290.3-1.1
13 Forca Lleida27101737%83.887.1-3.3
14 Bilbao28101836%81.383.6-2.3
15 MoraBanc Andorra28101836%86.891.5-4.6
16 Basquet Girona28101836%81.487.9-6.5
17 Granada2972224%80.987.3-6.4
18 Leyma Coruna2862221%86.395.8-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Valencia1925242631125
Baskonia2922251834128
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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