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Valencia vs Baskonia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 26 May 2019
Tip-off: 10:30
Postponed
Position#4
Record22-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game78.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
5.6/10
Above normal
Position#3
Record25-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game74.2
SpainACBRound 34
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Valencia v Baskonia
25 Oct 2026
VAL84
BAS75
29 Sep 2026
VAL111
BAS88
10 May 2026
VAL86
BAS88
23 Dec 2025
VAL91
BAS81
27 Apr 2025
VAL125
BAS128
07 Apr 2024
VAL111
BAS101
01 Dec 2023
VAL84
BAS98
02 Apr 2023
VAL81
BAS85
06 Oct 2022
VAL71
BAS81
30 May 2022
VAL59
BAS76
24 May 2022
VAL79
BAS80
18 Sep 2021
VAL67
BAS72
04 Jun 2021
VAL78
BAS73
31 May 2021
VAL87
BAS86
08 Apr 2021
VAL86
BAS81
24 Jan 2021
VAL83
BAS61
26 May 2019
VAL v BAS
upcoming
12 Apr 2018
VAL81
BAS77
08 Mar 2018
VAL71
BAS81
05 Jun 2017
VAL85
BAS77
03 Jun 2017
VAL75
BAS69
13 Nov 2016
VAL99
BAS91
08 Nov 2015
VAL85
BAS78
07 Dec 2014
VAL85
BAS70
07 Nov 2014
VAL79
BAS69
02 Mar 2014
VAL67
BAS55
07 Feb 2014
VAL74
BAS73
11 Nov 2012
VAL75
BAS79
03 Mar 2012
VAL63
BAS68
07 Nov 2010
VAL67
BAS81
01 Nov 2009
VAL81
BAS74
30 Nov 2008
VAL73
BAS91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
73-72
73
72
+1
63avg 103
A05/04
ACB
Alba Berlin
#4
W
89-75
89
75
+14
91avg 103
H09/04
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#4
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
no box
A12/04
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#4
W
89-63
89
63
+26
90avg 103
H15/04
Eurocup
Tenerife
#7
W
88-73
88
73
+15
91avg 103
H20/04
ACB
Unicaja
#5
W
96-57
96
57
+39
no box
H24/04
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
91-89
91
89
+2
83avg 103
A27/04
ACB
Breogan
#18
W
83-82
83
82
+1
76avg 103
H04/05
ACB
Barcelona
#2
W
78-72
78
72
+6
75avg 103
A10/05
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
W
90-82
90
82
+8
no box
H12/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
22-21
11-21
25-14
20-13
21-25
30-15
18-22
21-23
18-19
20-20
24-21
17-18
29-15
17-11
26-19
25-13
12-21
31-24
20-15
25-16
23-11
19-16
29-14
21-23
27-29
23-18
20-19
23-10
24-27
26-22
10-23
12-14
18-17
26-17
22-24
21-23
31-17
28-17
10-25
162.9Avg total
86.9Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)82.078.4160.4+3.669%
Season at home (16)86.976.1162.9+10.881%
Season away (16)77.180.8157.9-3.656%
Last 10 (10)86.976.0162.9+10.990%
Last 5 (5)87.676.4164.0+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)78.072.0150.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (6)83.069.8152.8+13.2100%
vs Weaker (22)83.678.1161.8+5.577%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
84-82
84
82
+2
84avg 106
H13/04
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
no box
A16/04
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
78-68
78
68
+10
77avg 106
A18/04
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
77-84
77
84
-7
66avg 106
H24/04
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
83-92
83
92
-9
80avg 106
H26/04
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
101-92
101
92
+9
104avg 106
H28/04
ACB
Barcelona
#2
W
84-72
84
72
+12
85avg 106
A03/05
ACB
Manresa
#8
W
82-71
82
71
+11
81avg 106
H05/05
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
87-77
87
77
+10
83avg 106
A09/05
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
87-79
87
79
+8
86avg 106
H11/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
22-13
15-21
27-30
24-23
16-21
12-29
16-21
27-18
15-19
24-15
12-16
18-28
21-18
20-16
18-22
22-20
26-19
23-29
12-24
29-20
24-24
27-29
21-19
17-18
15-16
25-17
27-21
11-14
30-17
24-18
17-22
22-20
23-19
25-13
17-25
22-20
19-17
21-22
25-20
164.2Avg total
83.1Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)86.274.2160.5+12.078%
Season at home (16)88.774.4163.1+14.288%
Season away (16)83.874.1157.8+9.769%
Last 10 (10)83.181.1164.2+2.070%
Last 5 (5)88.278.2166.4+10.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.385.4165.7-5.129%
vs Similar (7)78.673.9152.4+4.757%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.476.9167.3+13.593%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.8-2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.8-2.8
ValenciaBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A05/04
ACB
Alba Berlin
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H09/04
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A12/04
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#4
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H15/04
Eurocup
Tenerife
#7
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H20/04
ACB
Unicaja
#5
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H24/04
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A27/04
ACB
Breogan
#18
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H04/05
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A10/05
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H12/05
ACB
79.6Avg total
42.5Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.238.278.4+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.036.778.7+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)38.539.778.1-1.240%-
Last 10 (10)42.537.179.6+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)45.037.482.4+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)30.031.061.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (6)38.335.273.5+3.250%-
vs Weaker (22)41.339.480.6+1.955%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H13/04
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A16/04
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A18/04
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H24/04
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H26/04
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H28/04
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A03/05
ACB
Manresa
#8
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H05/05
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A09/05
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H11/05
ACB
80.5Avg total
42.3Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.279.3+2.867%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.237.180.3+6.183%-
Last 30 away (12)37.939.977.8-2.042%-
Last 10 (10)42.338.280.5+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.079.4+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.641.485.0+2.171%-
vs Similar (7)36.338.374.6-2.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.136.378.3+5.880%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.220.3
57.7%
52.5%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.810.7
41.5%
36.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws17.013.6
80.0%
74.6%13.6
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.922.3
55.9%
52.5%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.1
36.5%
36.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.613.4
72.0%
74.6%13.4
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 May 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWWWWWLWW
Baskonia
WWWWWLLWLW
#4
League position
#3
+14.4
Net rating
+3.2
125.8
Offensive rating
110.7
111.4
Defensive rating
107.5
59.6%
Effective FG%
55.5%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
16.5%
Turnover %
19.5%
37.2%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
41.5%
3-point %
36.5%
63.2%
Assist %
64.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence125.8 · 110.7Defence111.4 · 107.5Shooting59.6% · 55.5%3-point %41.5% · 36.5%Ball care16.5% · 19.5%Off. rebounds37.2% · 33.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Valencia   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Valencia wins
5
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
04/11/18Baskonia v Valencia77-56
12/04/18Valencia v Baskonia81-77
08/03/18Valencia v Baskonia71-81
07/01/18Baskonia v Valencia78-74
25/10/17Baskonia v Valencia63-80
05/06/17Valencia v Baskonia85-77
03/06/17Valencia v Baskonia75-69
01/06/17Baskonia v Valencia90-70
30/05/17Baskonia v Valencia82-83
05/03/17Baskonia v Valencia71-63
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/19HEstudiantes90-82
10/05/19ABarcelona78-72
04/05/19HBreogan83-82
27/04/19ATecnyconta Zaragoza91-89
24/04/19HUnicaja96-57
20/04/19HTenerife88-73
15/04/19HAlba Berlin89-63
12/04/19AAlba Berlin92-95 OT
09/04/19HAlba Berlin89-75
05/04/19AMoraBanc Andorra73-72
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/19HSan Pablo Burgos87-79
09/05/19AGipuzkoa87-77
05/05/19HManresa82-71
03/05/19ABarcelona84-72
28/04/19HFuenlabrada101-92
26/04/19HCSKA Moscow83-92
24/04/19HCSKA Moscow77-84
18/04/19ACSKA Moscow78-68
16/04/19ACSKA Moscow68-94
13/04/19HMoraBanc Andorra84-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW69%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayLLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %69%81%56%
Points / game82.086.977.1
Allowed / game78.476.180.8
Point differential+3.6+10.8-3.6
Avg total160.4162.9157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%62%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)67% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baskonia
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %78%88%69%
Points / game86.288.783.8
Allowed / game74.274.474.1
Point differential+12.0+14.2+9.7
Avg total160.5163.1157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%62%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3226681%89.078.9+10.1
2 Barcelona3326779%86.876.6+10.2
3 Baskonia3225778%86.274.2+12.0
4 Valencia32221069%82.078.4+3.6
5 Unicaja33201361%84.082.0+1.9
6 Joventut Badalona32171553%80.880.2+0.6
7 Tenerife33171652%81.579.5+2.0
8 Manresa33171652%80.582.2-1.6
9 Tecnyconta Zaragoza33171652%83.085.5-2.5
10 MoraBanc Andorra33161748%83.382.2+1.1
11 Gran Canaria33141942%83.484.6-1.2
12 San Pablo Burgos33141942%82.583.7-1.3
13 Fuenlabrada33122136%81.889.0-7.2
14 Murcia33112233%78.282.1-3.9
15 Obradoiro CAB33112233%78.283.0-4.8
16 Estudiantes33112233%82.987.7-4.8
17 Gipuzkoa33102330%75.281.7-6.5
18 Breogan3392427%77.284.0-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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