Baskonia vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Apr 2009

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 90-86

26-12 10-27 24-21 30-26

Position#1

Record24-3

FormWWLLW

Points / game88.9

Allowed / game75.4

Baskonia 🏆

Valencia

Position#7

Record15-13

FormWLLLW

Points / game76.2

Allowed / game75.1

ACBRound 29

Domestic2008-09

Meetings · Baskonia v Valencia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Valencia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Baskonia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olympiacos

80-88

-8

H12/03

Euroleague

Bilbao

72-85

-13

A15/03

ACB

Joventut Badalona

99-65

+34

H21/03

ACB

Barcelona

84-75

A24/03

Euroleague

Barcelona

62-85

-23

A26/03

Euroleague

Murcia

#15

94-85

A29/03

ACB

Barcelona

69-62

H31/03

Euroleague

Barcelona

63-84

-21

H02/04

Euroleague

Barcelona

62-78

-16

A09/04

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

89-73

+16

A12/04

ACB

23-28

14-23

25-19

18-18

17-21

19-26

15-20

21-18

18-10

31-17

28-16

22-22

24-18

21-16

22-24

17-17

24-23

16-23

7-14

15-25

23-28

24-15

23-23

24-19

16-11

13-9

17-17

23-25

19-17

22-23

13-30

9-14

15-23

15-17

14-18

18-20

20-27

24-16

22-15

23-15

155.4Avg total

77.4Scored

78.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	88.9	75.4	164.4	+13.5	89%
Season at home (13)	92.9	73.4	166.3	+19.5	100%
Season away (14)	85.2	77.4	162.6	+7.9	79%
Last 10 (10)	77.4	78.0	155.4	-0.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	75.4	76.4	151.8	-1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	68.0	76.8	144.8	-8.8	40%
vs Similar (4)	81.0	80.2	161.2	+0.8	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	94.0	79.0	172.9	+15.0	90%

This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Valencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Azovmash Mariupol

#10

68-66

H24/02

Eurocup

Unicaja

79-83

-4

H01/03

ACB

Crvena zvezda

#15

82-80

H03/03

Eurocup

CB Granada

#11

71-69

A08/03

ACB

Vrsac

#11

62-66

-4

A10/03

Eurocup

Gipuzkoa

#13

75-66

H14/03

ACB

Real Madrid

76-80

-4

A22/03

ACB

Real Betis

#14

89-98

-9

H28/03

ACB

Khimki M.

73-76

-3

H03/04

Eurocup

Bilbao

80-67

+13

H11/04

ACB

20-11

16-20

15-16

17-19

20-26

26-12

14-25

19-20

23-19

26-12

15-26

18-23

17-18

17-19

17-14

20-18

20-27

18-9

15-12

9-18

21-15

17-17

18-9

19-25

21-16

20-20

22-17

13-27

22-14

19-25

18-28

30-31

20-20

13-17

21-17

19-22

23-20

17-13

23-21

17-13

150.6Avg total

75.5Scored

75.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	76.2	75.1	151.4	+1.1	54%
Season at home (15)	80.1	76.6	156.7	+3.5	60%
Season away (13)	71.8	73.4	145.2	-1.5	46%
Last 10 (10)	75.5	75.1	150.6	+0.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	77.4	156.0	+1.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	72.0	81.0	153.0	-9.0	0%
vs Similar (7)	76.4	77.6	154.0	-1.1	57%
vs Weaker (19)	77.9	71.8	149.7	+6.1	74%

This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BaskoniaValencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.3	20.3	42.7	+2.0	55%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.5	19.9	42.5	+2.6	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.2	20.6	42.8	+1.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.6	40.5	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.2	39.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	80%	-
vs Similar (4)	24.0	21.8	45.8	+2.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	23.1	20.4	43.5	+2.6	47%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	19.4	19.0	38.3	+0.4	38%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.4	54%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	19.7	38.8	-0.5	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	18.6	39.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.0	38.4	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	16.7	20.3	37.0	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-2.0	20%	-
vs Weaker (17)	19.9	18.4	38.4	+1.5	41%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.1	18.7	40.7	+3.4	62%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.1	19.0	42.1	+4.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	18.4	39.6	+2.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.5	38.4	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.0	35.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.4	17.6	35.0	-0.2	40%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	24.1	18.9	42.9	+5.2	74%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	18.2	17.7	35.9	+0.4	35%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.6	17.0	35.6	+1.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.7	18.5	36.2	-0.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	16.4	35.3	+2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	18.4	35.6	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	22.0	18.7	40.7	+3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.6	17.6	34.2	-1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (17)	18.2	17.6	35.9	+0.6	35%	-

BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olympiacos

37-51

-14

H12/03

Euroleague

Bilbao

36-47

-11

A15/03

ACB

Joventut Badalona

49-27

+22

H21/03

ACB

Barcelona

45-34

+11

A24/03

Euroleague

Barcelona

40-46

-6

A26/03

Euroleague

Murcia

#15

47-43

A29/03

ACB

Barcelona

29-20

H31/03

Euroleague

Barcelona

41-40

H02/04

Euroleague

Barcelona

30-40

-10

A09/04

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

44-43

A12/04

ACB

78.9Avg total

39.8Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	44.4	39.0	83.4	+5.4	66%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	45.6	38.9	84.5	+6.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.4	39.0	82.4	+4.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	39.1	78.9	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	37.2	75.4	+1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.0	36.0	73.0	+1.0	60%	-
vs Similar (4)	43.8	42.0	85.8	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	47.1	39.3	86.4	+7.8	74%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Azovmash Mariupol

#10

36-31

H24/02

Eurocup

Unicaja

46-38

H01/03

ACB

Crvena zvezda

#15

49-31

+18

H03/03

Eurocup

CB Granada

#11

34-37

-3

A08/03

ACB

Vrsac

#11

38-36

A10/03

Eurocup

Gipuzkoa

#13

38-32

H14/03

ACB

Real Madrid

41-36

A22/03

ACB

Real Betis

#14

41-39

H28/03

ACB

Khimki M.

33-37

-4

H03/04

Eurocup

Bilbao

40-33

H11/04

ACB

74.6Avg total

39.6Scored

35.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	37.5	36.7	74.2	+0.8	62%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.2	35.2	73.5	+3.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.8	38.2	75.0	-1.3	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	35.0	74.6	+4.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	35.4	74.0	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	38.7	39.0	77.7	-0.3	67%	-
vs Similar (5)	35.2	38.2	73.4	-3.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (17)	38.2	36.1	74.2	+2.1	65%	-

This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.5	18.6	39.1	+2.0	52%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	18.2	37.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.6	38.2	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.6	38.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	14.6	20.6	35.2	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.8	20.5	40.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.2	17.8	40.0	+4.4	63%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	19.3	17.7	37.0	+1.7	62%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.5	19.3	37.8	-0.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.1	16.0	36.1	+4.1	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	18.5	36.3	-0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.4	38.8	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	17.7	21.3	39.0	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.6	17.2	37.8	+3.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (17)	19.5	16.9	36.4	+2.5	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.6	19.6	40.1	+1.0	45%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.9	18.5	40.5	+3.4	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	20.4	39.9	-0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.3	38.3	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.6	38.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.4	20.2	36.6	-3.8	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	17.5	17.8	35.2	-0.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.9	19.9	41.9	+2.0	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	19.3	18.7	38.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	18.2	38.6	+2.3	46%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.1	19.2	37.3	-1.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.6	39.7	-3.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.6	43.2	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	15.7	20.7	36.3	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (17)	20.1	17.9	37.9	+2.2	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.1	38.1	79.2	+3.0	66%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.7	37.5	81.2	+6.2	77%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.0	38.6	77.6	+0.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	38.9	76.5	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	39.2	76.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	31.0	40.8	71.8	-9.8	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	37.2	38.2	75.5	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	44.2	37.7	81.9	+6.4	84%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	38.6	36.3	74.9	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.0	37.5	76.5	+1.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.2	35.2	73.4	+2.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	40.1	76.0	-4.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	42.0	82.0	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	33.3	42.0	75.3	-8.7	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	40.0	35.6	75.6	+4.4	80%	-
vs Weaker (17)	39.5	34.8	74.4	+4.7	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Baskonia wins

Valencia wins

Date	Game	Score
19/02/09	Baskonia v Valencia	82-66
30/11/08	Valencia v Baskonia	73-91

Baskonialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/04/09	A	Gran Canaria	89-73
09/04/09	A	Barcelona	62-78
02/04/09	H	Barcelona	63-84
31/03/09	H	Barcelona	69-62
29/03/09	A	Murcia	94-85
26/03/09	A	Barcelona	62-85
24/03/09	A	Barcelona	84-75
21/03/09	H	Joventut Badalona	99-65
15/03/09	A	Bilbao	72-85
12/03/09	H	Olympiacos	80-88

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/04/09	H	Bilbao	80-67
03/04/09	H	Khimki M.	73-76
28/03/09	H	Real Betis	89-98
22/03/09	A	Real Madrid	76-80
14/03/09	H	Gipuzkoa	75-66
10/03/09	A	Vrsac	62-66
08/03/09	A	CB Granada	71-69
03/03/09	H	Crvena zvezda	82-80
01/03/09	H	Unicaja	79-83
24/02/09	H	Azovmash Mariupol	68-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia

ACB 2008-09

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	89%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLLWW	79%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	89%	100%	79%
Points / game	88.9	92.9	85.2
Allowed / game	75.4	73.4	77.4
Point differential	+13.5	+19.5	+7.9
Avg total	164.4	166.3	162.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	70%	100%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	-	75% (4)
Overtime %	4%	0%	7%

Valencia

ACB 2008-09

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	54%
Home	WLWLW	60%
Away	LWLWL	46%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	15	13
Win %	54%	60%	46%
Points / game	76.2	80.1	71.8
Allowed / game	75.1	76.6	73.4
Point differential	+1.1	+3.5	-1.5
Avg total	151.4	156.7	145.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	33%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	50% (2)	50% (6)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Baskonia	27	24	3	89%	88.9	75.4	+13.5
2	Barcelona	28	23	5	82%	80.8	71.0	+9.8
3	Real Madrid	28	21	7	75%	85.4	79.6	+5.8
4	Unicaja	29	21	8	72%	83.0	73.6	+9.4
5	Joventut Badalona	28	18	10	64%	82.7	79.8	+2.9
6	Gran Canaria	28	18	10	64%	81.1	78.2	+2.9
7	Valencia	28	15	13	54%	76.2	75.1	+1.1
8	Manresa	28	14	14	50%	74.6	77.0	-2.4
9	Fuenlabrada	28	13	15	46%	83.3	81.5	+1.8
10	Bilbao	28	12	16	43%	76.9	78.9	-2.0
11	Real Betis	28	10	18	36%	76.5	81.6	-5.1
12	CB Granada	29	10	19	34%	73.8	78.1	-4.4
13	Estudiantes	28	9	19	32%	77.4	80.9	-3.5
14	Gipuzkoa	28	9	19	32%	76.1	82.3	-6.1
15	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	28	8	20	29%	75.7	82.9	-7.2
16	Murcia	29	8	21	28%	74.2	83.1	-8.9
17	Vive Menorca	28	6	22	21%	70.5	77.5	-7.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Baskonia	26	10	24	30	90
Valencia	12	27	21	26	86

← all games of the day

Baskonia vs Valencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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