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Valencia vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 81-85
18-14 17-23 20-19 26-29
Position#8
Record13-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#2
Record20-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game81.8
SpainACBRound 25
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Valencia v Baskonia
25 Oct 2026
VAL84
BAS75
29 Sep 2026
VAL111
BAS88
10 May 2026
VAL86
BAS88
23 Dec 2025
VAL91
BAS81
27 Apr 2025
VAL125
BAS128
07 Apr 2024
VAL111
BAS101
01 Dec 2023
VAL84
BAS98
02 Apr 2023
VAL81
BAS85
06 Oct 2022
VAL71
BAS81
30 May 2022
VAL59
BAS76
24 May 2022
VAL79
BAS80
18 Sep 2021
VAL67
BAS72
04 Jun 2021
VAL78
BAS73
31 May 2021
VAL87
BAS86
08 Apr 2021
VAL86
BAS81
24 Jan 2021
VAL83
BAS61
26 May 2019
VAL v BAS
upcoming
12 Apr 2018
VAL81
BAS77
08 Mar 2018
VAL71
BAS81
05 Jun 2017
VAL85
BAS77
03 Jun 2017
VAL75
BAS69
13 Nov 2016
VAL99
BAS91
08 Nov 2015
VAL85
BAS78
07 Dec 2014
VAL85
BAS70
07 Nov 2014
VAL79
BAS69
02 Mar 2014
VAL67
BAS55
07 Feb 2014
VAL74
BAS73
11 Nov 2012
VAL75
BAS79
03 Mar 2012
VAL63
BAS68
07 Nov 2010
VAL67
BAS81
01 Nov 2009
VAL81
BAS74
30 Nov 2008
VAL73
BAS91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
W
77-72
77
72
+5
71avg 76
H05/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
84-88
84
88
-4
72avg 76
H07/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
91-95
91
95
-4
81avg 76
A09/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#15
W
79-75
79
75
+4
74avg 76
A12/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
82-80
82
80
+2
73avg 76
H16/03
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
80-72
80
72
+8
72avg 76
H19/03
ACB
Monaco
#4
L
79-90
79
90
-11
69avg 76
A24/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
75-86
75
86
-11
63avg 76
A26/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
73-92
73
92
-19
71avg 76
A29/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
74-95
74
95
-21
69avg 76
A31/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
16-20
22-8
20-20
21-17
21-22
13-26
29-23
20-24
20-25
25-22
26-24
26-19
20-13
9-20
24-23
22-21
21-21
18-18
21-20
20-18
18-16
24-18
18-20
22-22
19-26
23-23
15-19
22-24
14-14
19-20
20-28
21-20
20-26
21-23
11-23
16-21
24-31
15-25
19-18
163.9Avg total
79.4Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)84.283.2167.4+0.954%
Season at home (11)86.280.9167.1+5.373%
Season away (13)82.585.2167.7-2.838%
Last 10 (10)79.484.5163.9-5.140%
Last 5 (5)76.287.0163.2-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)82.788.1170.8-5.433%
vs Similar (13)82.385.1167.4-2.846%
vs Weaker (4)88.581.2169.8+7.2100%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Granada
#16
W
105-81
105
81
+24
112avg 81
H05/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
85-81
85
81
+4
72avg 81
A07/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
93-102
93
102
-9
94avg 81
H10/03
Euroleague
Real Betis
#17
W
83-71
83
71
+12
85avg 81
A12/03
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
79-93
79
93
-14
69avg 81
A16/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
W
95-88
95
88
+7
83avg 81
A19/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
63-74
63
74
-11
63avg 81
A23/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
W
100-78
100
78
+22
98avg 81
H26/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#17
W
93-87
93
87
+6
90avg 81
H28/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
92-69
92
69
+23
90avg 81
H31/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
34-20
23-24
26-18
17-22
23-21
22-22
23-16
28-23
19-29
26-22
20-28
23-26
26-14
14-18
20-13
23-29
22-20
20-23
14-21
15-27
24-18
31-24
25-19
26-21
12-18
11-18
14-17
24-17
27-10
27-25
22-26
25-24
19-24
24-19
25-20
25-27
13-17
22-14
32-11
171.2Avg total
88.8Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)91.281.8173.0+9.583%
Season at home (12)95.182.3177.4+12.892%
Season away (12)87.481.2168.7+6.275%
Last 10 (10)88.882.4171.2+6.470%
Last 5 (5)88.679.2167.8+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)85.986.6172.5-0.755%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)89.382.7172.0+6.767%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +3.2+3.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +3.2+3.2
ValenciaBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H05/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H07/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A09/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#15
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A12/03
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H16/03
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H19/03
ACB
Monaco
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A24/03
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A26/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A29/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A31/03
Euroleague
82.6Avg total
40.2Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.883.5-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.038.879.8+2.271%-
Last 30 away (16)42.444.486.8-2.131%-
Last 10 (10)40.242.482.6-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.682.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)41.642.283.8-0.650%-
vs Similar (13)42.542.685.2-0.146%-
vs Weaker (4)41.538.279.8+3.275%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Granada
#16
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H05/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A07/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H10/03
Euroleague
Real Betis
#17
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A12/03
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A16/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A19/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A23/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H26/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#17
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H28/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H31/03
Euroleague
87.3Avg total
44.7Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.141.784.8+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.941.988.8+5.062%-
Last 30 away (17)40.241.581.8-1.335%-
Last 10 (10)44.742.687.3+2.130%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.682.6+1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)41.845.487.2-3.59%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.039.883.8+4.267%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.417.5
52.4%
52.1%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.0
35.1%
34.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.613.4
80.7%
73.9%13.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.719.6
56.5%
52.1%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.811.0
38.2%
34.5%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.015.6
82.1%
73.9%15.6
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LLLLWWWLLW
Baskonia
WWWLWLWLWW
#8
League position
#2
-8.0
Net rating
+8.4
107.8
Offensive rating
119.3
115.8
Defensive rating
110.9
52.5%
Effective FG%
56.9%
59.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
17.6%
Turnover %
16.2%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.1%
3-point %
38.2%
61.1%
Assist %
63.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 119.3Defence115.8 · 110.9Shooting52.5% · 56.9%3-point %35.1% · 38.2%Ball care17.6% · 16.2%Off. rebounds27.2% · 31.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Valencia   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valencia wins
7
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
03/03/23Baskonia v Valencia114-75
08/01/23Baskonia v Valencia85-79
06/10/22Valencia v Baskonia71-81
30/05/22Valencia v Baskonia59-76
28/05/22Baskonia v Valencia82-89
24/05/22Valencia v Baskonia79-80
17/04/22Baskonia v Valencia71-78
18/09/21Valencia v Baskonia67-72
04/06/21Valencia v Baskonia78-73
02/06/21Baskonia v Valencia76-65
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/23AZalgiris Kaunas74-95
29/03/23ACrvena zvezda73-92
26/03/23ABasket Zaragoza75-86
24/03/23AMonaco79-90
19/03/23HGranada80-72
16/03/23HFenerbahce82-80
12/03/23ABasquet Girona79-75
09/03/23AReal Madrid91-95
07/03/23HOlimpia Milano84-88
05/03/23HTenerife77-72
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/23HFenerbahce92-69
28/03/23HAlba Berlin93-87
26/03/23HBilbao100-78
23/03/23ACrvena zvezda63-74
19/03/23AReal Madrid95-88
16/03/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv79-93
12/03/23AReal Betis83-71
10/03/23HMonaco93-102
07/03/23AReal Madrid85-81
05/03/23HGranada105-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL54%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %54%73%38%
Points / game84.286.282.5
Allowed / game83.280.985.2
Point differential+0.9+5.3-2.8
Avg total167.4167.1167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%27%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)67% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %8%9%8%
Baskonia
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %83%92%75%
Points / game91.295.187.4
Allowed / game81.882.381.2
Point differential+9.5+12.8+6.2
Avg total173.0177.4168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%58%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2521484%89.176.1+13.0
2 Barcelona2521484%84.273.3+10.9
3 Baskonia2420483%91.281.8+9.5
4 Tenerife2518772%82.673.2+9.4
5 Unicaja2516964%86.577.4+9.1
6 Joventut Badalona2516964%81.877.3+4.4
7 Gran Canaria25151060%83.878.5+5.3
8 Valencia24131154%84.283.2+0.9
9 Breogan25121348%78.279.5-1.4
10 Bilbao25111444%76.880.1-3.3
11 Obradoiro CAB25111444%77.381.2-3.9
12 Murcia25101540%80.084.6-4.6
13 Basket Zaragoza2591636%78.380.5-2.2
14 Basquet Girona2581732%76.381.6-5.3
15 Granada2581732%77.687.3-9.8
16 Manresa2571828%82.289.8-7.5
17 Real Betis2552020%76.685.5-9.0
18 Fuenlabrada2532212%77.092.2-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia1817202681
Baskonia1423192985
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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