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Valencia vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 105-107 (OT)
23-24 25-25 23-25 24-21 10-12
Position#3
Record25-14
FormWWWLL
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#7
Record24-16
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game84.3
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Quarter-finals· Roig Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Valencia v Panathinaikos
24 Nov 2026
VAL v PAO
upcoming
13 May 2026
VAL81
PAO64
30 Apr 2026
VAL105
PAO107
28 Apr 2026
VAL67
PAO68
09 Apr 2026
VAL102
PAO84
05 Jan 2024
VAL81
PAO82
13 Dec 2022
VAL94
PAO91
17 Nov 2020
VAL95
PAO83
28 Dec 2017
VAL67
PAO63
21 Oct 2010
VAL56
PAO72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
79-74
79
74
+5
72avg 86
A29/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
94-81
94
81
+13
96avg 86
A03/04
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
W
105-88
105
88
+17
101avg 86
H05/04
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
102-96
102
96
+6
101avg 86
H07/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
102-84
102
84
+18
102avg 86
H09/04
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
96-89
96
89
+7
90avg 86
A12/04
ACB
Dubai
#11
W
95-85
95
85
+10
83avg 86
A17/04
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
84-81
84
81
+3
75avg 86
A19/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
82-96
82
96
-14
69avg 86
H25/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
67-68
67
68
-1
61avg 86
H28/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
23-16
30-16
11-20
22-20
22-23
27-20
23-18
31-25
20-16
33-32
21-15
27-24
24-30
27-29
24-13
27-23
29-24
26-22
20-15
27-23
21-26
28-19
20-21
24-19
21-28
34-20
16-18
20-19
25-21
21-19
18-22
19-22
22-23
22-30
19-21
15-23
17-16
17-15
18-14
174.8Avg total
90.6Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)90.385.8176.1+4.464%
Season at home (20)88.581.0169.6+7.580%
Season away (19)92.190.9183.1+1.247%
Last 10 (10)90.684.2174.8+6.480%
Last 5 (5)84.883.8168.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)85.683.6169.2+2.062%
vs Weaker (22)93.686.2179.8+7.468%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Monaco
#10
W
107-97
107
97
+10
102avg 84
H27/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
94-101
94
101
-7
92avg 84
H30/03
Basket League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
88-92
88
92
-4
81avg 84
A02/04
Euroleague
Promitheas
#9
W
96-63
96
63
+33
91avg 84
A04/04
Basket League
Barcelona
#8
W
93-79
93
79
+14
96avg 84
A07/04
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
84-102
84
102
-18
74avg 84
A09/04
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
97-62
97
62
+35
102avg 84
H17/04
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
87-79
87
79
+8
79avg 84
H21/04
Euroleague
Mykonos
#7
W
97-76
97
76
+21
92avg 84
H25/04
Basket League
Valencia
#3
W
68-67
68
67
+1
60avg 84
A28/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
37-19
26-27
29-35
21-30
23-30
30-20
20-21
21-20
27-24
27-22
13-26
26-14
31-6
20-16
19-27
27-23
28-15
25-11
13-30
23-27
24-29
22-26
15-20
20-16
25-22
26-5
26-19
23-14
26-20
17-23
21-22
25-18
25-17
19-18
28-23
23-15
16-17
15-17
14-18
172.9Avg total
91.1Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)86.784.3171.1+2.460%
Season at home (20)90.083.2173.2+6.970%
Season away (20)83.485.5168.9-2.150%
Last 10 (10)91.181.8172.9+9.370%
Last 5 (5)86.677.2163.8+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.093.5180.5-6.50%
vs Similar ◀ (12)89.387.7177.0+1.767%
vs Weaker (16)85.676.2161.9+9.462%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -4.3-4.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -4.3-4.3
ValenciaPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#13
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A29/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A03/04
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H05/04
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H07/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H09/04
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A12/04
ACB
Dubai
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A17/04
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A19/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H25/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H28/04
Euroleague
89.4Avg total
45.1Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.743.389.0+2.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.941.888.6+5.157%-
Last 30 away (16)44.844.689.4+0.131%-
Last 10 (10)45.144.389.4+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)42.244.086.2-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.144.686.8-2.525%-
vs Weaker (22)47.042.889.9+4.250%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#10
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H27/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
44-60
44
60
-16
H30/03
Basket League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A02/04
Euroleague
Promitheas
#9
W
57-20
57
20
+37
A04/04
Basket League
Barcelona
#8
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A07/04
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A09/04
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H17/04
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H21/04
Euroleague
Mykonos
#7
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H25/04
Basket League
Valencia
#3
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A28/04
Euroleague
87.8Avg total
48.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.139.883.9+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.343.790.0+2.664%-
Last 30 away (16)42.136.478.5+5.862%-
Last 10 (10)48.639.287.8+9.480%-
Last 5 (5)46.039.085.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.550.086.5-13.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)45.443.388.8+2.158%-
vs Weaker (16)44.035.979.9+8.175%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.5 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers21.916.4
74.9%
60.4%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.611.5
33.2%
35.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws9.36.5
69.9%
78.2%6.5
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 61% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws4.4 pts a game · 6% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.819.5
75.6%
60.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.0
36.4%
35.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws5.84.4
75.9%
78.2%4.4
They take 50.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LLWWWWWWWW
Panathinaikos
WWWWLWWLLW
#3
League position
#7
+2.8
Net rating
+8.2
63.2
Offensive rating
47.3
60.4
Defensive rating
39.0
59.6%
Effective FG%
65.3%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
64.8%
14.4%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.16
Free-throw rate
0.11
33.2%
3-point %
36.4%
78.1%
Assist %
69.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence63.2 · 47.3Defence60.4 · 39.0Shooting59.6% · 65.3%3-point %33.2% · 36.4%Ball care14.4% · 15.1%Free throws0.16 · 0.11Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Valencia   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Valencia wins
5
Panathinaikos wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/26HPanathinaikos67-68
25/04/26HReal Madrid82-96
19/04/26ABasquet Girona84-81
17/04/26ADubai95-85
12/04/26AUnicaja96-89
09/04/26HPanathinaikos102-84
07/04/26HOlimpia Milano102-96
05/04/26HBreogan105-88
03/04/26AVirtus Bologna94-81
29/03/26ASan Pablo Burgos79-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/26AValencia68-67
25/04/26HMykonos97-76
21/04/26HMonaco87-79
17/04/26HAnadolu Efes97-62
09/04/26AValencia84-102
07/04/26ABarcelona93-79
04/04/26APromitheas96-63
02/04/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv88-92
30/03/26HOlympiacos94-101
27/03/26HMonaco107-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL64%
HomeLWWWL80%
AwayWLLWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %64%80%47%
Points / game90.388.592.1
Allowed / game85.881.090.9
Point differential+4.4+7.5+1.2
Avg total176.1169.6183.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)67% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW60%
HomeWWWWW70%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402020
Win %60%70%50%
Points / game86.790.083.4
Allowed / game84.383.285.5
Point differential+2.4+6.9-2.1
Avg total171.1173.2168.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%40%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)40% (5)71% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos40281270%90.482.9+7.5
2 Fenerbahce40261465%82.280.3+1.9
3 Real Madrid39251464%87.983.0+4.9
4 Valencia39251464%90.385.8+4.4
5 Panathinaikos40241660%86.784.3+2.4
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv39231659%88.185.4+2.7
7 Zalgiris Kaunas40231757%87.083.0+4.0
8 Barcelona40221855%84.383.5+0.8
9 Monaco42231955%88.886.8+2.0
10 Crvena zvezda39211854%87.286.1+1.1
11 Dubai38191950%88.188.0+0.1
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv38182047%90.192.7-2.5
13 Olimpia Milano38172145%86.187.2-1.2
14 Bayern38172145%80.883.7-2.9
15 Partizan38162242%81.686.6-4.9
16 Paris38152339%90.190.9-0.9
17 Virtus Bologna38142437%81.886.4-4.6
18 Baskonia38132534%88.393.1-4.7
19 Anadolu Efes38122632%80.184.3-4.2
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne3883021%79.386.6-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Valencia2325232410105
Panathinaikos2425252112107
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