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Panathinaikos vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 May 2026
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 86-89
15-26 22-18 19-16 30-29
Position#7
Record25-17
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#3
Record26-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game86.4
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Quarter-finals· Radovic S.
European cup2025Neutral venue
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Valencia
12 Jan 2027
PAO v VAL
upcoming
08 May 2026
PAO86
VAL89
06 May 2026
PAO87
VAL91
05 Dec 2025
PAO79
VAL89
23 Nov 2023
PAO90
VAL73
10 Feb 2023
PAO91
VAL92
29 Jan 2021
PAO91
VAL72
30 Mar 2018
PAO75
VAL56
25 Nov 2010
PAO69
VAL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
88-92
88
92
-4
81avg 84
A02/04
Euroleague
Promitheas
#9
W
96-63
96
63
+33
91avg 84
A04/04
Basket League
Barcelona
#8
W
93-79
93
79
+14
96avg 84
A07/04
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
84-102
84
102
-18
74avg 84
A09/04
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
97-62
97
62
+35
102avg 84
H17/04
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
87-79
87
79
+8
79avg 84
H21/04
Euroleague
Mykonos
#7
W
97-76
97
76
+21
92avg 84
H25/04
Basket League
Valencia
#3
W
68-67
68
67
+1
60avg 84
A28/04
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
107-105 OT
107
105
+2
100avg 84
A30/04
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
87-91
87
91
-4
84avg 84
H06/05
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
27-24
27-22
13-26
26-14
31-6
20-16
19-27
27-23
28-15
25-11
13-30
23-27
24-29
22-26
15-20
20-16
25-22
26-5
26-19
23-14
26-20
17-23
21-22
25-18
25-17
19-18
28-23
23-15
16-17
15-17
14-18
24-23
25-25
25-23
21-24
18-24
21-28
27-23
21-16
172.0Avg total
90.4Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)87.285.0172.2+2.260%
Season at home (21)89.983.5173.4+6.467%
Season away (21)84.586.5171.0-2.052%
Last 10 (10)90.481.6172.0+8.870%
Last 5 (5)89.283.6172.8+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.093.5180.5-6.50%
vs Similar ◀ (14)90.489.1179.6+1.364%
vs Weaker (14)87.076.1163.1+10.964%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
102-96
102
96
+6
101avg 87
H07/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
102-84
102
84
+18
102avg 87
H09/04
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
W
96-89
96
89
+7
90avg 87
A12/04
ACB
Dubai
#11
W
95-85
95
85
+10
83avg 87
A17/04
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
84-81
84
81
+3
75avg 87
A19/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
82-96
82
96
-14
69avg 87
H25/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
67-68
67
68
-1
61avg 87
H28/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
105-107 OT
105
107
-2
106avg 87
H30/04
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
L
102-104
102
104
-2
97avg 87
A03/05
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
91-87
91
87
+4
90avg 87
A06/05
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
24-30
27-29
24-13
27-23
29-24
26-22
20-15
27-23
21-26
28-19
20-21
24-19
21-28
34-20
16-18
20-19
25-21
21-19
18-22
19-22
22-23
22-30
19-21
15-23
17-16
17-15
18-14
23-24
25-25
23-25
24-21
22-18
34-30
26-30
20-26
24-18
28-21
23-27
16-21
182.3Avg total
92.6Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)90.786.4177.0+4.363%
Season at home (21)89.382.2171.6+7.176%
Season away (20)92.090.8182.8+1.350%
Last 10 (10)92.689.7182.3+2.960%
Last 5 (5)89.492.4181.8-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)88.186.3174.4+1.860%
vs Weaker (20)94.886.5181.2+8.370%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
PanathinaikosValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A02/04
Euroleague
Promitheas
#9
W
57-20
57
20
+37
A04/04
Basket League
Barcelona
#8
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A07/04
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A09/04
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H17/04
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H21/04
Euroleague
Mykonos
#7
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H25/04
Basket League
Valencia
#3
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A28/04
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A30/04
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H06/05
Euroleague
87.5Avg total
47.8Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.140.985.0+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.844.390.1+1.560%-
Last 30 away (15)42.537.580.0+4.960%-
Last 10 (10)47.839.787.5+8.180%-
Last 5 (5)45.240.285.4+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.550.086.5-13.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)45.244.389.5+0.957%-
vs Weaker (14)44.136.280.4+7.971%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H07/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H09/04
Euroleague
Unicaja
#9
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A12/04
ACB
Dubai
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A17/04
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A19/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H25/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H28/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H30/04
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A03/05
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A06/05
Euroleague
93.1Avg total
47.4Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.443.289.6+3.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.742.389.0+4.450%-
Last 30 away (16)46.144.190.1+2.044%-
Last 10 (10)47.445.793.1+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)45.844.089.8+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.744.588.2-0.830%-
vs Weaker (20)47.742.690.3+5.155%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 65.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws2.6 pts a game · 4% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers22.217.3
77.9%
60.4%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.5
37.1%
35.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws3.42.6
76.5%
78.2%2.6
They take 47.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws5.2 pts a game · 7% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers19.316.4
85.0%
60.4%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.511.5
34.3%
35.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws7.65.2
68.4%
78.2%5.2
They take 52.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 63% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
LWWWWWLWWL
Valencia
WLLLLWWWWW
#7
League position
#3
+10.0
Net rating
-0.9
33.9
Offensive rating
55.4
23.9
Defensive rating
56.3
66.0%
Effective FG%
63.7%
66.4%
Opp. effective FG%
61.0%
15.9%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.07
Free-throw rate
0.14
37.1%
3-point %
34.3%
72.4%
Assist %
76.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence33.9 · 55.4Defence23.9 · 56.3Shooting66.0% · 63.7%3-point %37.1% · 34.3%Ball care15.9% · 15.1%Free throws0.07 · 0.14Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Panathinaikos wins
5
Valencia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/26HValencia87-91
30/04/26AValencia107-105 OT
28/04/26AValencia68-67
25/04/26HMykonos97-76
21/04/26HMonaco87-79
17/04/26HAnadolu Efes97-62
09/04/26AValencia84-102
07/04/26ABarcelona93-79
04/04/26APromitheas96-63
02/04/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv88-92
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/26APanathinaikos91-87
03/05/26AManresa102-104
30/04/26HPanathinaikos105-107 OT
28/04/26HPanathinaikos67-68
25/04/26HReal Madrid82-96
19/04/26ABasquet Girona84-81
17/04/26ADubai95-85
12/04/26AUnicaja96-89
09/04/26HPanathinaikos102-84
07/04/26HOlimpia Milano102-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL60%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLWLWW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %60%67%52%
Points / game87.289.984.5
Allowed / game85.083.586.5
Point differential+2.2+6.4-2.0
Avg total172.2173.4171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%38%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)33% (6)75% (8)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Valencia
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW63%
HomeWWWLL76%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412120
Win %63%76%50%
Points / game90.789.392.0
Allowed / game86.482.290.8
Point differential+4.3+7.1+1.3
Avg total177.0171.6182.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%48%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)57% (7)50% (8)
Overtime %7%5%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos41291271%90.782.9+7.8
2 Real Madrid42271564%87.882.6+5.1
3 Fenerbahce42271564%82.480.6+1.8
4 Valencia41261563%90.786.4+4.3
5 Panathinaikos42251760%87.285.0+2.2
6 Zalgiris Kaunas42241857%87.083.2+3.8
7 Hapoel Tel-Aviv42241857%87.385.4+1.9
8 Barcelona40221855%84.383.5+0.8
9 Crvena zvezda39211854%87.286.1+1.1
10 Monaco43232053%88.787.2+1.5
11 Dubai38191950%88.188.0+0.1
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv38182047%90.192.7-2.5
13 Olimpia Milano38172145%86.187.2-1.2
14 Bayern38172145%80.883.7-2.9
15 Partizan38162242%81.686.6-4.9
16 Paris38152339%90.190.9-0.9
17 Virtus Bologna38142437%81.886.4-4.6
18 Baskonia38132534%88.393.1-4.7
19 Anadolu Efes38122632%80.184.3-4.2
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne3883021%79.386.6-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos1522193086
Valencia2618162989
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