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Valparaiso vs Belmont Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 21 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#165
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#119
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game62.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Valparaiso v Belmont
21 Jan 2027
VALP v BELM
upcoming
28 Jan 2026
VALP77
BELM78
12 Feb 2025
VALP101
BELM86
10 Feb 2024
VALP78
BELM96
10 Jan 2023
VALP59
BELM74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Belmont win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#311
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H15/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H19/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A21/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H26/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A28/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H06/03
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
A07/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#304
W
80-58
80
58
+22
H03/11
NCAA
Purdue
#126
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
A06/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#64
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
49-43
27-32
35-35
44-37
31-29
40-38
36-37
38-34
42-34
37-46
28-37
35-25
31-31
33-33
38-19
42-39
20-32
38-26
32-49
37-32
149.4Avg total
75.8Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.373.0150.3+4.367%
Season at home (1)80.058.0138.0+22.0100%
Season away (2)76.080.5156.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)75.873.6149.4+2.270%
Last 5 (5)75.874.2150.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)68.570.5138.9-2.045%
vs Similar (15)74.574.9149.4-0.553%
vs Weaker (4)82.864.0146.8+18.875%
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#88
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H13/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
87-70
87
70
+17
A15/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H22/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
98-64
98
64
+34
H26/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A01/03
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
79-100
79
100
-21
H06/03
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#298
W
72-54
72
54
+18
H03/11
NCAA
Centre College
#415
W
75-45
75
45
+30
H06/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#182
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A11/11
NCAA
Furman
#81
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
45-45
46-41
24-39
63-31
39-25
48-45
44-29
54-35
40-38
34-43
41-48
38-52
27-14
45-40
33-26
42-19
32-40
43-48
30-33
42-29
153.0Avg total
81.0Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.562.2135.8+11.275%
Season at home (3)73.053.7126.7+19.3100%
Season away (1)75.088.0163.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)81.072.0153.0+9.070%
Last 5 (5)74.669.8144.4+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.062.0134.0+10.0100%
vs Similar (8)79.269.9149.1+9.488%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)84.277.7161.9+6.570%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +7.2+7.2
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: +1.8+1.82nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: +7.2+7.2
ValparaisoBelmont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#311
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H15/02
NCAA
Bradley
#91
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H19/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A21/02
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H26/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A28/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H06/03
NCAA
Bradley
#91
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A07/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#304
W
38-19
38
19
+19
H03/11
NCAA
Purdue
#126
L
20-32
20
32
-12
A06/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#64
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A12/11
NCAA
68.8Avg total
34.2Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.832.666.4+1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.529.766.3+6.867%-
Last 30 away (15)31.135.566.6-4.320%-
Last 10 (10)34.234.668.8-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)29.833.663.4-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)31.332.163.4-0.836%-
vs Similar (15)34.134.568.6-0.533%-
vs Weaker (4)40.026.866.8+13.2100%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#88
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H13/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A15/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H22/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H26/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H06/03
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#298
W
27-14
27
14
+13
H03/11
NCAA
Centre College
#415
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H06/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#182
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A11/11
NCAA
Furman
#81
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H15/11
NCAA
69.2Avg total
35.5Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.634.572.1+3.173%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.935.073.9+3.969%-
Last 30 away (14)36.134.070.1+2.179%-
Last 10 (10)35.533.769.2+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)32.632.264.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.033.063.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (8)37.233.871.0+3.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)38.435.473.7+3.075%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valparaiso wins
8
Belmont wins
DateGameScore
29/01/26Valparaiso v Belmont77-78
14/01/26Belmont v Valparaiso78-74
13/02/25Valparaiso v Belmont101-86
15/01/25Belmont v Valparaiso71-64
07/03/24Belmont v Valparaiso86-61
10/02/24Valparaiso v Belmont78-96
02/12/23Belmont v Valparaiso77-68
11/01/23Valparaiso v Belmont59-74
02/12/22Belmont v Valparaiso76-64
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ASouth Dakota St.69-81
06/11/26APurdue83-80 OT
03/11/26HWestern Illinois80-58
07/03/26ABradley84-90 OT
06/03/26HIndiana State63-62
28/02/26AEvansville79-80
26/02/26HDrake74-71
21/02/26AIllinois (Chi.)71-67
19/02/26HBradley79-72
15/02/26HIndiana State76-75
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HFurman72-62
11/11/26ALipscomb75-88
06/11/26HCentre College75-45
03/11/26HSouthern Indiana72-54
06/03/26HDrake79-100
01/03/26AIllinois State74-81
26/02/26HEvansville98-64
22/02/26HIndiana State87-70
15/02/26AMurray State87-70
13/02/26HNorthern Iowa91-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game77.380.076.0
Allowed / game73.058.080.5
Point differential+4.3+22.0-4.5
Avg total150.3138.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Belmont
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game73.573.075.0
Allowed / game62.253.788.0
Point differential+11.2+19.3-13.0
Avg total135.8126.7163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State440100%95.067.5+27.5
2 Drake330100%85.762.7+23.0
3 Illinois (Chi.)43175%79.564.8+14.8
4 Belmont43175%73.562.2+11.2
5 Southern Illinois32167%85.070.0+15.0
6 Valparaiso32167%77.373.0+4.3
7 Indiana State42250%80.265.8+14.5
8 Evansville42250%76.076.2-0.2
9 Bradley52340%59.856.4+3.4
10 Northern Iowa52340%85.286.0-0.8
11 Illinois State41325%81.275.8+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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