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Valur vs Hottur Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 04 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
7.4/10
🔥 Hot
Position#8
Record2-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game101.5
IcelandPremier leagueRound 18· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Other2026-27
Meetings · Valur v Hottur
04 Mar 2027
VALU v HOTT
upcoming
07 Feb 2025
VALU92
HOTT58
18 Apr 2024
VALU94
HOTT74
10 Apr 2024
VALU94
HOTT75
17 Nov 2023
VALU80
HOTT69
25 Nov 2022
VALU82
HOTT79
28 Jan 2021
VALU88
HOTT81
19 Jan 2018
VALU102
HOTT94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Hottur win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#1
W
79-72
79
72
+7
72avg 76
H26/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
67-93
67
93
-26
65avg 76
A30/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
85-79
85
79
+6
80avg 76
H04/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
82-109
82
109
-27
78avg 76
A06/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
90-77
90
77
+13
81avg 76
H08/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#6
W
81-74
81
74
+7
71avg 76
H16/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
93-85
93
85
+8
85avg 76
A22/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
87-84
87
84
+3
82avg 76
H30/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
86-73
86
73
+13
no box
A06/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
68-80
68
80
-12
no box
H12/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
22-22
19-16
19-15
20-26
20-22
12-18
15-27
23-18
24-21
22-24
16-16
28-20
12-30
23-31
19-28
22-22
24-19
23-18
21-18
29-26
16-28
17-14
19-6
25-18
21-20
26-24
21-23
23-21
29-18
18-26
17-19
25-19
23-25
13-12
25-17
9-21
32-20
15-18
12-21
164.4Avg total
81.8Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.278.8163.0+5.383%
Season at home (4)81.578.8160.2+2.875%
Season away (2)89.579.0168.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)81.882.6164.4-0.870%
Last 5 (5)83.079.2162.2+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.188.6170.7-6.433%
vs Similar (14)86.485.3171.6+1.164%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)87.582.0169.5+5.583%
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHottur
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#8
L
75-97
75
97
-22
no box
A01/03
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
103-95
103
95
+8
no box
H06/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
83-84
83
84
-1
no box
A14/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
99-95
99
95
+4
no box
H27/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
77-111
77
111
-34
63avg 87
A08/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
103-98
103
98
+5
95avg 87
A16/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
108-96
108
96
+12
101avg 87
H22/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
99-112
99
112
-13
89avg 87
A29/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
H05/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#1
L
92-112
92
112
-20
no box
A12/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
19-26
23-19
14-37
30-28
32-30
13-26
28-11
18-22
16-17
26-30
23-15
26-24
22-20
19-24
32-27
26-26
17-31
15-24
19-30
23-18
27-28
31-20
22-32
28-25
27-29
27-18
26-24
28-35
29-25
17-18
25-34
22-23
17-23
18-24
16-10
23-21
22-29
33-32
14-30
189.2Avg total
91.2Scored
98.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.0101.5193.5-9.533%
Season at home (2)90.588.0178.5+2.550%
Season away (4)92.8108.2201.0-15.525%
Last 10 (10)91.298.0189.2-6.840%
Last 5 (5)95.099.6194.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)85.596.4182.0-10.923%
vs Similar (5)91.492.6184.0-1.240%
vs Weaker (2)97.084.5181.5+12.550%
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -3.1-3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -3.1-3.1
ValurHottur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H26/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A30/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H04/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A06/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H08/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#6
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H16/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A22/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H30/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A06/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H12/11
Premier league
88.1Avg total
44.6Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.443.385.7-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.042.985.9+0.144%-
Last 30 away (14)41.743.985.6-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)44.643.588.1+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)46.443.289.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.843.984.7-3.133%-
vs Similar (14)43.143.686.6-0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)42.541.884.3+0.750%-
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A01/03
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H06/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A14/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H27/03
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A08/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A16/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H22/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A29/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H05/11
Premier league
KR Basket
#1
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A12/11
Premier league
96.6Avg total
47.1Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.947.590.4-4.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.545.589.0-1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)42.349.591.7-7.213%-
Last 10 (10)47.149.596.6-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)49.251.2100.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)42.248.891.0-6.623%-
vs Similar (5)46.648.294.8-1.640%-
vs Weaker (2)43.537.080.5+6.5100%-
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.6
52.2%
56.2%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.0
32.5%
33.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.513.2
71.4%
73.9%13.2
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hotturtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hottur: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.0
49.4%
56.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.810.8
32.9%
33.0%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.617.8
78.8%
73.9%17.8
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur
LWWWWWLWLW
Hottur
LLLWWLWLWL
#4
League position
#8
+0.3
Net rating
-9.0
91.9
Offensive rating
101.3
91.5
Defensive rating
110.2
50.8%
Effective FG%
49.4%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
13.3%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.5%
3-point %
32.9%
62.1%
Assist %
55.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence91.9 · 101.3Defence91.5 · 110.2Shooting50.8% · 49.4%3-point %32.5% · 32.9%Ball care13.3% · 14.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Valur   ■ Hottur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Valur wins
2
Hottur wins
DateGameScore
07/02/25Valur v Hottur92-58
08/11/24Hottur v Valur83-70
22/04/24Hottur v Valur97-103 OT
18/04/24Valur v Hottur94-74
14/04/24Hottur v Valur84-77
10/04/24Valur v Hottur94-75
15/02/24Hottur v Valur83-92
17/11/23Valur v Hottur80-69
05/03/23Hottur v Valur81-90
11/01/23Hottur v Valur47-74
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HAlftanes68-80
06/11/26ASindri86-73
30/10/26HArmann87-84
22/10/26ANjardvik93-85
16/10/26HGrindavik81-74
08/10/26HStjarnan90-77
06/05/26AGrindavik82-109
04/05/26HGrindavik85-79
30/04/26AGrindavik67-93
26/04/26HGrindavik79-72
Hotturlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AKR Basket92-112
05/11/26HTindastoll73-80
29/10/26AKeflavik99-112
22/10/26HIR Reykjavik108-96
16/10/26AStjarnan103-98
08/10/26AAlftanes77-111
27/03/25HAlftanes99-95
14/03/25AIR Reykjavik83-84
06/03/25HThorl103-95
01/03/25AKR Basket75-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game84.281.589.5
Allowed / game78.878.879.0
Point differential+5.3+2.8+10.5
Avg total163.0160.2168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hottur
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%50%25%
Points / game92.090.592.8
Allowed / game101.588.0108.2
Point differential-9.5+2.5-15.5
Avg total193.5178.5201.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KR Basket660100%100.785.8+14.8
2 Alftanes65183%107.091.7+15.3
3 Tindastoll65183%91.883.7+8.2
4 Valur65183%84.278.8+5.3
5 Keflavik64267%105.0102.0+3.0
6 Grindavik64267%90.087.3+2.7
7 Stjarnan63350%97.593.3+4.2
8 Hottur62433%92.0101.5-9.5
9 Njardvik61517%87.394.3-7.0
10 IR Reykjavik61517%92.3102.3-10.0
11 Sindri6060%83.893.0-9.2
12 Armann6060%85.3103.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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