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Valur vs Hottur Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 92-58
17-19 33-15 26-15 16-9
Position#5
Record8-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game88.3
Valur 🏆
Iceland
vs
Position#11
Record4-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game93.2
IcelandPremier leagueRound 17· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda
Other2024-25
Meetings · Valur v Hottur
04 Mar 2027
VALU v HOTT
upcoming
07 Feb 2025
VALU92
HOTT58
18 Apr 2024
VALU94
HOTT74
10 Apr 2024
VALU94
HOTT75
17 Nov 2023
VALU80
HOTT69
25 Nov 2022
VALU82
HOTT79
28 Jan 2021
VALU88
HOTT81
19 Jan 2018
VALU102
HOTT94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hottur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Haukar
#12
L
97-104
97
104
-7
91avg 80
H05/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#11
W
88-77
88
77
+11
82avg 80
H08/12
Icelandic Cup
Grindavik
#4
L
90-97
90
97
-7
85avg 80
A13/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
89-80
89
80
+9
86avg 80
H20/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
83-79
83
79
+4
70avg 80
H05/01
Premier league
Thorl
#9
L
69-94
69
94
-25
60avg 80
A10/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
87-81
87
81
+6
93avg 80
H16/01
Premier league
Sindri
#7
W
99-77
99
77
+22
100avg 80
A20/01
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#10
W
81-70
81
70
+11
82avg 80
A24/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
W
88-76
88
76
+12
75avg 80
H30/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
21-35
23-23
22-29
21-29
20-15
18-13
29-20
26-30
25-18
15-31
24-18
18-20
31-16
24-20
16-24
19-18
23-31
23-13
18-17
10-23
17-24
17-26
25-21
25-23
21-23
17-18
24-17
25-19
28-22
25-13
21-23
16-22
21-22
19-9
25-17
25-28
16-20
21-17
26-11
170.6Avg total
87.1Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)88.088.3176.3-0.350%
Season at home (8)92.186.1178.2+6.075%
Season away (8)83.990.5174.4-6.625%
Last 10 (10)87.183.5170.6+3.670%
Last 5 (5)84.879.6164.4+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.384.7169.0-0.367%
vs Similar (18)87.183.3170.4+3.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)87.988.5176.4-0.638%
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHottur
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#8
L
85-88
85
88
-3
73avg 71
H29/11
Premier league
Thorl
#9
L
84-106
84
106
-22
70avg 71
A05/12
Premier league
KR Basket
#2
L
72-73
72
73
-1
58avg 71
H08/12
Icelandic Cup
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
79-82
79
82
-3
66avg 71
H12/12
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
92-89
92
89
+3
80avg 71
A19/12
Premier league
Haukar
#12
L
86-89
86
89
-3
70avg 71
H03/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
L
98-112
98
112
-14
86avg 71
A09/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
63-64
63
64
-1
48avg 71
H16/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
101-110
101
110
-9
93avg 71
A23/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
85-97
85
97
-12
77avg 71
H30/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
16-17
25-23
25-23
20-29
28-24
15-29
21-24
23-13
15-22
23-13
11-25
15-13
19-24
25-28
20-17
8-28
34-26
23-19
27-16
12-22
27-16
23-26
24-25
29-23
24-37
23-33
22-19
20-22
20-14
9-11
14-17
23-30
18-15
31-31
29-34
26-23
22-28
17-29
20-17
175.5Avg total
84.5Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.493.2179.7-6.825%
Season at home (8)84.687.0171.6-2.425%
Season away (8)88.299.5187.8-11.225%
Last 10 (10)84.591.0175.5-6.510%
Last 5 (5)86.694.4181.0-7.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)84.496.2180.6-11.821%
vs Similar (7)81.683.1164.7-1.643%
vs Weaker (3)95.783.0178.7+12.767%
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
ValurHottur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Haukar
#12
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H05/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#11
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H08/12
Icelandic Cup
Grindavik
#4
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A13/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H20/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H05/01
Premier league
Thorl
#9
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A10/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H16/01
Premier league
Sindri
#7
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A20/01
Icelandic Cup
Keflavik
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A24/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H30/01
Premier league
89.4Avg total
43.9Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.543.686.1-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.143.586.6-0.438%-
Last 30 away (14)41.843.785.5-1.943%-
Last 10 (10)43.945.589.4-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)40.845.286.0-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.741.783.3+0.033%-
vs Similar (18)42.644.286.8-1.739%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.842.985.6-0.150%-
This opponent (Hottur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HotturLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H29/11
Premier league
Thorl
#9
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A05/12
Premier league
KR Basket
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H08/12
Icelandic Cup
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H12/12
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A19/12
Premier league
Haukar
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H03/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#10
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A09/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H16/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A23/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H30/01
Premier league
86.9Avg total
41.8Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.444.886.2-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.242.383.6-1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)41.647.689.2-5.921%-
Last 10 (10)41.845.186.9-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)44.246.090.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)41.148.489.5-7.321%-
vs Similar (7)41.340.181.4+1.143%-
vs Weaker (3)45.035.780.7+9.3100%-
This opponent (Valur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.9
55.9%
53.7%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.812.2
34.1%
34.4%36.6
🏀 Free throws18.111.9
65.7%
75.6%11.9
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hotturtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hottur: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.920.9
48.7%
53.7%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.68.9
30.1%
34.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.315.4
75.9%
75.6%15.4
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valur
WWWWLWWLWL
Hottur
LLLLLWLLLL
#5
League position
#11
+4.8
Net rating
-7.4
108.8
Offensive rating
102.3
104.0
Defensive rating
109.8
53.4%
Effective FG%
47.2%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
15.2%
Turnover %
15.4%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.1%
3-point %
30.1%
66.9%
Assist %
50.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 102.3Defence104.0 · 109.8Shooting53.4% · 47.2%3-point %34.1% · 30.1%Ball care15.2% · 15.4%Off. rebounds26.1% · 27.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Valur   ■ Hottur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Valur wins
2
Hottur wins
DateGameScore
08/11/24Hottur v Valur83-70
22/04/24Hottur v Valur97-103 OT
18/04/24Valur v Hottur94-74
14/04/24Hottur v Valur84-77
10/04/24Valur v Hottur94-75
15/02/24Hottur v Valur83-92
17/11/23Valur v Hottur80-69
05/03/23Hottur v Valur81-90
11/01/23Hottur v Valur47-74
25/11/22Valur v Hottur82-79
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/25HNjardvik88-76
24/01/25AKeflavik81-70
20/01/25ASindri99-77
16/01/25HAlftanes87-81
10/01/25AThorl69-94
05/01/25HStjarnan83-79
20/12/24HTindastoll89-80
13/12/24AGrindavik90-97
08/12/24HGrindavik88-77
05/12/24HHaukar97-104
Hotturlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/25HTindastoll85-97
23/01/25ANjardvik101-110
16/01/25HGrindavik63-64
09/01/25AKeflavik98-112
03/01/25HHaukar86-89
19/12/24AAlftanes92-89
12/12/24HIR Reykjavik79-82
08/12/24HKR Basket72-73
05/12/24AThorl84-106
29/11/24HKR Basket85-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW50%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game88.092.183.9
Allowed / game88.386.190.5
Point differential-0.3+6.0-6.6
Avg total176.3178.2174.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %12%12%12%
Hottur
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeLLLLL25%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game86.484.688.2
Allowed / game93.287.099.5
Point differential-6.8-2.4-11.2
Avg total179.7171.6187.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)20% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stjarnan1713476%98.486.9+11.4
2 Tindastoll1713476%96.687.1+9.5
3 Njardvik1711665%92.589.3+3.2
4 Grindavik179853%93.190.2+2.9
5 Valur168850%88.088.3-0.3
6 Alftanes178947%90.590.6-0.1
7 KR Basket178947%92.795.4-2.6
8 Thorl178947%90.893.8-3.1
9 IR Reykjavik178947%88.093.2-5.2
10 Keflavik1771041%96.994.6+2.4
11 Hottur1641225%86.493.2-6.8
12 Haukar1741324%86.197.6-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valur1733261692
Hottur191515958
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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