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Varese vs BC Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 110-103 (OT)
32-28 17-17 17-22 29-28 15-8
Position#6
Record2-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game84.5
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#12
Record1-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game98.8
Allowed / game94.8
ItalyLega ARound 5· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2026-27
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Roma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Sassari
#16
W
91-90
91
90
+1
78avg 74
H12/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
96-100
96
100
-4
94avg 74
A19/04
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
84-75
84
75
+9
78avg 74
H26/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
85-104
85
104
-19
70avg 74
A10/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
69-90
69
90
-21
50avg 74
H27/09
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
85-77
85
77
+8
78avg 74
A04/10
Lega A
Murcia
#8
L
58-85
58
85
-27
44avg 74
A07/10
Champions League
Trieste
#7
W
85-84
85
84
+1
82avg 74
H10/10
Lega A
Peristeri
#4
L
82-85
82
85
-3
80avg 74
H13/10
Champions League
Trento
#11
L
85-87
85
87
-2
72avg 74
A18/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
27-22
12-25
28-23
19-20
25-26
26-30
26-24
19-18
26-13
13-24
26-20
17-27
21-22
31-29
16-26
21-26
18-21
19-21
11-22
24-17
16-21
30-24
15-15
8-16
14-23
20-27
16-19
19-15
21-23
21-20
24-26
27-26
25-11
12-27
18-21
17-23
24-26
21-23
23-15
169.7Avg total
82.0Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.084.5165.5-3.550%
Season at home (2)77.087.0164.0-10.050%
Season away (2)85.082.0167.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)82.087.7169.7-5.740%
Last 5 (5)79.083.6162.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)83.289.7172.8-6.531%
vs Similar ◀ (16)84.683.9168.6+0.756%
vs Weaker (1)85.077.0162.0+8.0100%
This opponent (BC Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoma
Date
Competition
Treviso
#3
L
94-109
94
109
-15
87avg 86
A26/09
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
78-91
78
91
-13
69avg 86
A30/09
Eurocup
Tortona
#14
W
108-70
108
70
+38
114avg 86
H04/10
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#12
W
92-87
92
87
+5
88avg 86
H07/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
L
95-96
95
96
-1
86avg 86
A11/10
Lega A
Balkan
#32
W
77-72 OT
77
72
+5
69avg 86
H13/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#10
L
98-104
98
104
-6
92avg 86
H17/10
Lega A
Manresa
#10
L
88-108
88
108
-20
78avg 86
A20/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
19-28
22-27
27-25
18-23
20-22
18-22
22-24
25-23
31-21
24-15
28-11
22-11
21-27
27-25
22-24
33-25
24-27
13-25
25-19
13-12
16-21
18-12
22-24
29-24
26-22
13-24
30-34
21-32
25-25
24-25
18-26
183.4Avg total
91.2Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)98.894.8193.5+4.025%
Season at home (2)103.087.0190.0+16.050%
Season away (2)94.5102.5197.0-8.00%
Last 10 (8)91.292.1183.4-0.938%
Last 5 (5)90.093.4183.4-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)86.095.3181.3-9.333%
vs Similar ◀ (2)94.5102.5197.0-8.00%
vs Weaker (3)94.382.0176.3+12.367%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
VareseBC Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#16
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H12/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A19/04
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H26/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A10/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H27/09
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A04/10
Lega A
Murcia
#8
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A07/10
Champions League
Trieste
#7
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/10
Lega A
Peristeri
#4
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H13/10
Champions League
Trento
#11
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A18/10
Lega A
82.8Avg total
41.2Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.542.683.0-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.941.683.5+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)39.143.582.6-4.533%-
Last 10 (10)41.241.682.8-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.279.2-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.544.485.8-2.931%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.741.481.1-1.744%-
vs Weaker (1)40.038.078.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (BC Roma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#3
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A26/09
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A30/09
Eurocup
Tortona
#14
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H04/10
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#12
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H07/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A11/10
Lega A
Balkan
#32
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H13/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#10
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H17/10
Lega A
Manresa
#10
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A20/10
Eurocup
92.6Avg total
46.1Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)46.146.592.6-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (4)45.840.286.0+5.575%-
Last 30 away (4)46.552.899.2-6.225%-
Last 10 (8)46.146.592.6-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)46.045.291.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.346.789.0-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)51.054.5105.5-3.550%-
vs Weaker (3)46.741.087.7+5.767%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.3
52.0%
54.6%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.3
32.5%
34.8%27.9
🏀 Free throws23.716.8
70.9%
74.5%16.8
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Roma: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.5 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.121.8
60.2%
54.6%43.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.4
35.6%
34.8%31.1
🏀 Free throws21.216.6
78.2%
74.5%16.6
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LLWLWLLWLW
BC Roma
LLWLWWLL
#6
League position
#12
-6.5
Net rating
-1.0
89.4
Offensive rating
100.8
95.9
Defensive rating
101.8
50.5%
Effective FG%
57.2%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
17.3%
Turnover %
16.7%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.5%
3-point %
35.6%
67.4%
Assist %
57.2%
40%
Form (last 10/8)
38%

Profile

Offence89.4 · 100.8Defence95.9 · 101.8Shooting50.5% · 57.2%3-point %32.5% · 35.6%Ball care17.3% · 16.7%Free throws0.37 · 0.33Form (last 10/8)40% · 38%
■ Varese   ■ BC Roma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Varese wins
0
BC Roma wins
No previous meetings.
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26ATrento85-87
13/10/26HPeristeri82-85
10/10/26HTrieste85-84
07/10/26AMurcia58-85
04/10/26AScafati85-77
27/09/26HVirtus Bologna69-90
10/05/26AVirtus Bologna85-104
26/04/26HCremona84-75
19/04/26ACantu96-100
12/04/26HSassari91-90
BC Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/26AManresa88-108
17/10/26HVenezia98-104
13/10/26HBalkan77-72 OT
11/10/26AMaxima Roma95-96
07/10/26HLietkabelis92-87
04/10/26HTortona108-70
30/09/26ABahcesehir Kol.78-91
26/09/26ATreviso94-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game81.077.085.0
Allowed / game84.587.082.0
Point differential-3.5-10.0+3.0
Avg total165.5164.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BC Roma
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Losses (last 8)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game98.8103.094.5
Allowed / game94.887.0102.5
Point differential+4.0+16.0-8.0
Avg total193.5190.0197.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna440100%97.281.8+15.5
2 Olimpia Milano43175%89.878.2+11.5
3 Basket Napoli43175%93.586.5+7.0
4 Venezia43175%90.586.5+4.0
5 Verona43175%87.884.0+3.8
6 Trento43175%83.580.5+3.0
7 Treviso43175%95.294.0+1.2
8 Udine42250%81.080.8+0.2
9 Maxima Roma42250%87.290.5-3.2
10 Varese42250%81.084.5-3.5
11 BC Roma41325%98.894.8+4.0
12 Trieste41325%84.281.8+2.5
13 Reggiana41325%86.290.5-4.2
14 Tortona41325%83.095.8-12.8
15 Cantu4040%77.290.2-13.0
16 Scafati4040%76.292.2-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Varese3217172915110
BC Roma281722288103
← all games of the day
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