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Torino vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 May 2017
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 89-76
23-18 24-20 17-19 25-19
Position#12
Record12-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game85.3
Torino 🏆
Italy
vs
Varese
Italy
Position#10
Record13-16
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game79.8
ItalyLega ARound 30
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Torino v Varese
07 Apr 2019
TOR72
VAR66
09 May 2018
TOR92
VAR83
07 May 2017
TOR89
VAR76
28 Feb 2016
TOR72
VAR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TorinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTorino
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
W
90-88
90
88
+2
122avg 107
H26/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
74-81
74
81
-7
100avg 107
A05/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
76-67
76
67
+9
108avg 107
H13/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
70-89
70
89
-19
93avg 107
A19/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
87-76
87
76
+11
120avg 107
H26/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
no box
H02/04
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
76-83
76
83
-7
100avg 107
A09/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
80-91
80
91
-11
102avg 107
A15/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
79-87
79
87
-8
104avg 107
H23/04
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
89-96
89
96
-7
114avg 107
A30/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
23-21
21-24
26-20
20-18
15-25
14-13
25-25
22-16
19-21
15-13
20-17
9-25
26-11
12-35
23-18
25-11
23-21
19-19
20-25
20-13
23-19
9-18
26-28
14-24
24-21
25-9
13-29
29-17
19-25
19-23
13-26
19-14
30-18
14-27
16-28
17-35
26-19
19-19
27-23
166.5Avg total
81.2Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)81.685.3166.9-3.841%
Season at home (14)86.084.2170.2+1.857%
Season away (15)77.586.4163.9-8.927%
Last 10 (10)81.285.3166.5-4.130%
Last 5 (5)83.090.4173.4-7.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)80.085.2165.2-5.233%
vs Similar ◀ (18)82.784.3167.1-1.650%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#7
W
75-70
75
70
+5
108avg 104
H27/02
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
82-75
82
75
+7
108avg 104
A05/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
93-78
93
78
+15
120avg 104
H12/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
117avg 104
A19/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
74-72
74
72
+2
100avg 104
H26/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
85-72
85
72
+13
114avg 104
A02/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
68-73
68
73
-5
84avg 104
A09/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
83-80
83
80
+3
110avg 104
H15/04
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
81-87
81
87
-6
91avg 104
A23/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
78-75
78
75
+3
108avg 104
H30/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-11
20-14
21-22
19-23
24-28
16-21
23-11
19-15
23-22
19-29
25-18
26-9
21-23
21-11
25-20
20-24
20-20
23-16
20-22
11-14
26-24
20-20
23-14
16-14
7-18
21-20
17-20
23-15
20-18
16-28
18-11
29-23
23-29
24-22
20-11
14-25
28-20
17-15
17-20
16-20
156.6Avg total
80.6Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)77.379.8157.1-2.445%
Season at home (15)79.579.1158.5+0.453%
Season away (14)75.180.5155.6-5.436%
Last 10 (10)80.676.0156.6+4.680%
Last 5 (5)79.077.4156.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.282.1155.3-8.927%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.576.6154.1+0.960%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Torino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
TorinoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H26/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A05/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H13/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A19/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H26/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H02/04
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A09/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A15/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H23/04
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A30/04
Lega A
82.0Avg total
42.3Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.882.5+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.838.382.1+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)39.543.382.9-3.833%-
Last 10 (10)42.339.782.0+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)44.241.085.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.241.482.6-0.242%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)42.040.482.4+1.656%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#7
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H27/02
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A05/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H12/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A19/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H26/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A02/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A09/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H15/04
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A23/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H30/04
Lega A
81.3Avg total
40.4Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.942.079.9-4.130%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.041.980.9-2.940%-
Last 30 away (15)36.842.279.0-5.420%-
Last 10 (10)40.440.981.3-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.442.883.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.744.179.7-8.47%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.140.080.1+0.153%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Torino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torino: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.8
53.0%
51.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.1
32.8%
35.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws22.518.0
80.0%
74.0%18.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.323.0
53.1%
51.1%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.36.8
35.2%
35.7%20.4
🏀 Free throws18.113.5
74.6%
74.0%13.5
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 May 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Torino
LLLLLWLWLW
Varese
WLWLWWWWWW
#12
League position
#10
-10.6
Net rating
+6.1
107.4
Offensive rating
111.3
118.0
Defensive rating
105.1
51.4%
Effective FG%
53.0%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
17.5%
Turnover %
16.3%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.8%
3-point %
35.2%
53.2%
Assist %
49.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 111.3Defence118.0 · 105.1Shooting51.4% · 53.0%3-point %32.8% · 35.2%Ball care17.5% · 16.3%Off. rebounds26.4% · 31.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Torino   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Torino wins
2
Varese wins
DateGameScore
07/01/17Varese v Torino79-86
28/02/16Torino v Varese72-84
08/11/15Varese v Torino92-78
Torinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/17ABrescia89-96
23/04/17HSassari79-87
15/04/17AReggiana80-91
09/04/17ACaserta76-83
02/04/17HPistoia91-95 OT
26/03/17HCantu87-76
19/03/17AVenezia70-89
13/03/17HTrento76-67
05/03/17AOlimpia Milano74-81
26/02/17HBrindisi90-88
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/17HCremona78-75
23/04/17AVenezia81-87
15/04/17HTrento83-80
09/04/17AReggiana68-73
02/04/17ACantu85-72
26/03/17HCapo d'Orlando74-72
19/03/17ABrescia87-78
12/03/17HPesaro93-78
05/03/17AAvellino82-75
27/02/17HPistoia75-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Torino
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL41%
HomeWWWLL57%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %41%57%27%
Points / game81.686.077.5
Allowed / game85.384.286.4
Point differential-3.8+1.8-8.9
Avg total166.9170.2163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%14%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)50% (10)67% (3)
Overtime %10%21%0%
Varese
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW45%
HomeWWWWW53%
AwayWWWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %45%53%36%
Points / game77.379.575.1
Allowed / game79.879.180.5
Point differential-2.4+0.4-5.4
Avg total157.1158.5155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%27%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)80% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %7%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2922776%86.079.8+6.3
2 Venezia2920969%81.478.1+3.3
3 Avellino29191066%79.976.1+3.8
4 Trento29171259%78.473.3+5.1
5 Sassari29171259%76.973.8+3.1
6 Reggiana29171259%81.680.8+0.9
7 Brindisi29141548%83.882.0+1.8
8 Pistoia29141548%76.677.1-0.6
9 Capo d'Orlando29141548%75.676.8-1.2
10 Brescia29131645%79.281.6-2.4
11 Varese29131645%77.379.8-2.4
12 Torino29121741%81.685.3-3.8
13 Caserta29111838%77.981.4-3.4
14 Cantu29111838%78.182.3-4.2
15 Pesaro29101934%75.880.1-4.3
16 Cremona2982128%78.280.2-1.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Torino2324172589
Varese1820191976
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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