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Varese vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2017
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 93-66
31-12 18-17 28-19 16-18
Position#8
Record2-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game72.8
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#5
Record2-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game75.2
ItalyLega ARound 6
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Varese v Trento
21 Mar 2027
VAR v TRE
upcoming
25 Oct 2025
VAR74
TRE85
09 Feb 2025
VAR79
TRE92
22 Oct 2023
VAR84
TRE85
16 Oct 2022
VAR91
TRE94
30 Jan 2022
VAR90
TRE89
28 Mar 2021
VAR88
TRE70
29 Dec 2019
VAR81
TRE86
21 Oct 2018
VAR93
TRE85
04 Nov 2017
VAR93
TRE66
15 Apr 2017
VAR83
TRE80
06 Mar 2016
VAR96
TRE82
09 Nov 2014
VAR70
TRE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#6
L
68-73
68
73
-5
84avg 103
A09/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
83-80
83
80
+3
110avg 103
H15/04
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
81-87
81
87
-6
91avg 103
A23/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
78-75
78
75
+3
108avg 103
H30/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
76-89
76
89
-13
98avg 103
A07/05
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
62-80
62
80
-18
84avg 103
H01/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
73-74
73
74
-1
98avg 103
A08/10
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
95-64
95
64
+31
132avg 103
H16/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
94avg 103
A23/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
81-73
81
73
+8
106avg 103
H29/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-18
21-20
17-20
23-15
20-18
16-28
18-11
29-23
23-29
24-22
20-11
14-25
28-20
17-15
17-20
16-20
18-23
20-24
19-17
19-25
17-20
16-24
13-23
16-13
15-20
19-19
18-17
21-18
20-16
28-19
22-10
25-19
13-17
14-28
17-17
23-11
18-16
26-23
9-20
28-14
153.2Avg total
76.4Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.672.8148.4+2.840%
Season at home (3)79.372.3151.7+7.067%
Season away (2)70.073.5143.5-3.50%
Last 10 (10)76.476.8153.2-0.440%
Last 5 (5)75.672.8148.4+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.981.6155.5-7.723%
vs Similar ◀ (16)76.876.0152.8+0.856%
vs Weaker (1)81.073.0154.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
65-74
65
74
-9
no box
A23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
78-74
78
74
+4
101avg 104
H30/09
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
78-79
78
79
-1
97avg 104
A08/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
W
85-75
85
75
+10
no box
H11/10
Eurocup
Brescia
#3
L
56-66
56
66
-10
85avg 104
H14/10
Lega A
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
70-81
70
81
-11
no box
A18/10
Eurocup
Cantu
#9
L
80-88
80
88
-8
111avg 104
A22/10
Lega A
Tofas
#14
L
88-91
88
91
-3
no box
H25/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#11
W
91-69
91
69
+22
115avg 104
H29/10
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#8
L
76-85
76
85
-9
no box
A01/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
14-19
17-20
21-15
13-23
25-22
15-19
25-10
23-14
19-24
20-25
16-16
25-18
21-23
18-13
21-21
10-15
13-13
19-19
14-19
21-14
24-28
16-24
9-15
22-20
22-25
19-22
17-21
26-17
26-22
19-23
17-29
15-15
29-19
20-21
27-14
21-19
18-23
16-23
21-20
154.9Avg total
76.7Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.675.2151.8+1.440%
Season at home (3)75.069.7144.7+5.367%
Season away (2)79.083.5162.5-4.50%
Last 10 (10)76.778.2154.9-1.530%
Last 5 (5)81.082.8163.8-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)85.075.0160.0+10.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (25)76.273.6149.8+2.652%
vs Weaker (3)90.073.0163.0+17.067%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
VareseTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#6
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A09/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H15/04
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A23/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H30/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A07/05
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H01/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A08/10
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H16/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A23/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H29/10
Lega A
79.9Avg total
38.0Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.441.780.1-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.941.080.9-1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)36.942.579.4-5.520%-
Last 10 (10)38.041.979.9-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)37.240.477.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.244.080.2-7.88%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.940.179.9-0.250%-
vs Weaker (1)44.039.083.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A23/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H30/09
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A08/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H11/10
Eurocup
Brescia
#3
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H14/10
Lega A
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A18/10
Eurocup
Cantu
#9
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A22/10
Lega A
Tofas
#14
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H25/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H29/10
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A01/11
Eurocup
79.3Avg total
40.0Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.276.1+3.670%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.134.372.3+3.880%-
Last 30 away (15)41.638.279.8+3.460%-
Last 10 (10)40.039.379.3+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.840.485.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.041.087.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (25)39.235.875.1+3.468%-
vs Weaker (3)47.037.084.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.121.1
51.3%
51.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.0
31.5%
34.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws17.312.7
73.4%
73.0%12.7
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.519.8
48.9%
51.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.76.0
30.5%
34.9%18.0
🏀 Free throws22.815.2
66.7%
73.0%15.2
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WLWLLLWLWL
Trento
LWLLLLWLWL
#8
League position
#5
-0.6
Net rating
+1.1
105.9
Offensive rating
98.6
106.4
Defensive rating
97.5
49.9%
Effective FG%
47.8%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
17.6%
Turnover %
19.5%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.38
31.5%
3-point %
30.5%
48.0%
Assist %
49.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 98.6Defence106.4 · 97.5Shooting49.9% · 47.8%3-point %31.5% · 30.5%Ball care17.6% · 19.5%Off. rebounds32.2% · 30.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Varese   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Varese wins
4
Trento wins
DateGameScore
15/04/17Varese v Trento83-80
18/12/16Trento v Varese84-68
06/03/16Varese v Trento96-82
15/11/15Trento v Varese89-63
02/03/15Trento v Varese78-65
09/11/14Varese v Trento70-76
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/17HPistoia81-73
23/10/17ABrescia67-73
16/10/17HCantu95-64
08/10/17AOlimpia Milano73-74
01/10/17HVenezia62-80
07/05/17ATorino76-89
30/04/17HCremona78-75
23/04/17AVenezia81-87
15/04/17HTrento83-80
09/04/17AReggiana68-73
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/17AGran Canaria76-85
29/10/17HReggiana91-69
25/10/17HTofas88-91
22/10/17ACantu80-88
18/10/17AZenit Petersburg70-81
14/10/17HBrescia56-66
11/10/17HLyon-Villeurbanne85-75
08/10/17AVenezia78-79
30/09/17HVirtus Bologna78-74
23/09/17AOlimpia Milano65-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game75.679.370.0
Allowed / game72.872.373.5
Point differential+2.8+7.0-3.5
Avg total148.4151.7143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trento
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game76.675.079.0
Allowed / game75.269.783.5
Point differential+1.4+5.3-4.5
Avg total151.8144.7162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia550100%77.267.4+9.8
2 Venezia550100%83.276.4+6.8
3 Avellino54180%77.072.6+4.4
4 Olimpia Milano54180%76.071.6+4.4
5 Torino54180%78.676.0+2.6
6 Virtus Bologna53260%83.873.0+10.8
7 Sassari53260%85.080.4+4.6
8 Varese52340%75.672.8+2.8
9 Trento52340%76.675.2+1.4
10 Pistoia52340%75.478.6-3.2
11 Cremona52340%78.482.0-3.6
12 Cantu52340%80.087.0-7.0
13 Pesaro51420%78.883.2-4.4
14 Capo d'Orlando51420%63.274.2-11.0
15 Brindisi5050%72.080.6-8.6
16 Reggiana5050%72.482.2-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese3118281693
Trento1217191866
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