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Varese vs Fortitudo Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 103-92
24-25 21-20 31-24 27-23
Position#12
Record11-16
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game87.1
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Fortitudo Bologna
Italy
Position#15
Record9-18
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game83.6
ItalyLega ARound 28
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Varese v Fortitudo Bologna
24 Apr 2022
VAR103
FBO92
14 Feb 2021
VAR67
FBO79
06 Oct 2019
VAR83
FBO60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fortitudo Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
80avg 70
A13/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 70
A18/02
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
90-78
90
78
+12
85avg 70
H06/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
82-74
82
74
+8
69avg 70
A14/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
L
76-87
76
87
-11
64avg 70
H20/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
77-95
77
95
-18
64avg 70
A26/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
75-72
75
72
+3
62avg 70
A03/04
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
80-89
80
89
-9
70avg 70
H10/04
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
76-92
76
92
-16
62avg 70
H13/04
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
99-104
99
104
-5
89avg 70
A16/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
28-17
18-24
25-19
26-16
22-29
21-22
15-15
27-23
21-15
20-19
22-21
25-22
24-13
14-18
19-21
17-21
19-19
16-25
24-22
6-20
26-34
15-23
30-18
16-20
19-14
19-25
21-13
16-26
29-21
22-18
13-24
19-18
20-26
15-23
22-25
21-22
24-32
23-24
31-26
168.7Avg total
83.2Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.587.1168.6-5.641%
Season at home (13)79.584.8164.3-5.238%
Season away (14)83.389.2172.5-5.943%
Last 10 (10)83.285.5168.7-2.350%
Last 5 (5)81.490.4171.8-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)79.485.9165.3-6.439%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.287.7170.9-4.442%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
86-93
86
93
-7
74avg 73
H06/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
67-73
67
73
-6
58avg 73
H13/02
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
99-93 OT
99
93
+6
no box
A05/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
82-85
82
85
-3
75avg 73
H13/03
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
85-77
85
77
+8
76avg 73
A20/03
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
79-85
79
85
-6
75avg 73
A27/03
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
85-83
85
83
+2
no box
H03/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
72-77
72
77
-5
62avg 73
A10/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
L
87-88
87
88
-1
75avg 73
A13/04
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
89-69
89
69
+20
88avg 73
H16/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-30
27-20
20-20
18-23
24-18
13-24
8-13
22-18
24-20
16-14
22-20
18-26
19-25
24-21
14-22
25-17
16-19
27-17
18-21
24-20
27-19
27-28
13-21
12-17
25-22
19-25
22-15
19-21
19-17
15-26
19-17
19-17
24-20
23-21
21-24
19-23
26-20
14-20
22-14
27-15
165.4Avg total
83.1Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.683.6165.2-1.933%
Season at home (14)83.381.9165.1+1.443%
Season away (13)79.885.4165.2-5.523%
Last 10 (10)83.182.3165.4+0.840%
Last 5 (5)82.480.4162.8+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.686.5161.2-11.90%
vs Similar ◀ (19)83.381.9165.3+1.447%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
VareseFortitudo Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A13/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A18/02
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H06/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A14/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H20/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A26/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A03/04
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H10/04
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H13/04
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A16/04
Lega A
85.7Avg total
42.7Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.943.784.6-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.142.982.9-2.833%-
Last 30 away (15)41.744.586.2-2.740%-
Last 10 (10)42.743.085.7-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.246.685.8-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)40.543.684.1-3.144%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.543.885.3-2.325%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H06/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H13/02
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A05/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H13/03
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A20/03
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A27/03
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H03/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A10/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A13/04
Lega A
Trento
#14
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H16/04
Lega A
85.6Avg total
43.0Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.982.4-1.333%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.042.983.9-1.925%-
Last 30 away (14)40.140.680.7-0.643%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.685.6+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.843.687.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.544.483.8-4.99%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)41.240.481.6+0.847%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.718.7
49.6%
51.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.210.3
32.0%
35.4%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.913.7
81.1%
74.7%13.7
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.0
51.4%
51.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.0
37.3%
35.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.215.6
73.6%
74.7%15.6
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LLLWLLWWWW
Fortitudo Bologna
WLLWLWLWLL
#12
League position
#15
-4.1
Net rating
-2.2
108.9
Offensive rating
109.5
113.0
Defensive rating
111.7
48.9%
Effective FG%
53.3%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
13.2%
Turnover %
16.3%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.0%
3-point %
37.3%
60.0%
Assist %
54.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 109.5Defence113.0 · 111.7Shooting48.9% · 53.3%3-point %32.0% · 37.3%Ball care13.2% · 16.3%Off. rebounds29.2% · 24.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Varese   ■ Fortitudo Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Varese wins
3
Fortitudo Bologna wins
DateGameScore
09/01/22Fortitudo Bologna v Varese101-94
14/02/21Varese v Fortitudo Bologna67-79
04/10/20Fortitudo Bologna v Varese83-88
26/01/20Fortitudo Bologna v Varese79-76
06/10/19Varese v Fortitudo Bologna83-60
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/22ATortona99-104
13/04/22HTrieste76-92
10/04/22HTreviso80-89
03/04/22ABrindisi75-72
26/03/22AOlimpia Milano77-95
20/03/22HPesaro76-87
14/03/22ABasket Napoli82-74
06/03/22HCremona90-78
18/02/22AReggiana84-82
13/02/22AVenezia93-82
Fortitudo Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/22HTrento89-69
13/04/22APesaro87-88
10/04/22AVenezia72-77
03/04/22HCremona85-83
27/03/22ASassari79-85
20/03/22ATrieste85-77
13/03/22HVirtus Bologna82-85
05/03/22ATreviso99-93 OT
13/02/22HBrindisi67-73
06/02/22HBrescia86-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL41%
HomeLWLLL38%
AwayWWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %41%38%43%
Points / game81.579.583.3
Allowed / game87.184.889.2
Point differential-5.6-5.2-5.9
Avg total168.6164.3172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%8%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Fortitudo Bologna
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW33%
HomeLLLWW43%
AwayWWLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %33%43%23%
Points / game81.683.379.8
Allowed / game83.681.985.4
Point differential-1.9+1.4-5.5
Avg total165.2165.1165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2724389%88.978.6+10.3
2 Olimpia Milano2722581%82.471.1+11.3
3 Brescia2820871%84.577.1+7.3
4 Venezia27151256%77.777.0+0.7
5 Tortona28151354%80.080.6-0.6
6 Sassari26131350%82.681.8+0.8
7 Trieste27131448%79.481.7-2.2
8 Reggiana28131546%80.180.5-0.4
9 Pesaro28131546%80.383.9-3.6
10 Treviso26111542%79.283.1-3.9
11 Brindisi27111641%80.682.3-1.7
12 Varese27111641%81.587.1-5.6
13 Trento28111739%77.580.6-3.1
14 Basket Napoli27101737%80.582.8-2.3
15 Fortitudo Bologna2791833%81.683.6-1.9
16 Cremona2872125%78.383.3-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese24213127103
Fortitudo Bologna2520242392
← all games of the day
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