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Varese vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 76-92
19-18 20-26 15-23 22-25
Position#12
Record11-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game86.2
Varese
Italy
vs
Trieste 🏆
Italy
Position#7
Record11-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game82.3
ItalyLega ARound 16
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Varese v Trieste
10 Oct 2026
VAR85
TRI84
21 Dec 2025
VAR84
TRI69
04 May 2025
VAR85
TRI80
18 Dec 2022
VAR104
TRI99
13 Apr 2022
VAR76
TRI92
25 Apr 2021
VAR73
TRI79
19 Jan 2020
VAR91
TRI85
28 Oct 2018
VAR78
TRI66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Trento
#14
W
90-89
90
89
+1
75avg 70
H30/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
80-81
80
81
-1
67avg 70
H06/02
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
80avg 70
A13/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 70
A18/02
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
90-78
90
78
+12
85avg 70
H06/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
82-74
82
74
+8
69avg 70
A14/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
L
76-87
76
87
-11
64avg 70
H20/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
77-95
77
95
-18
64avg 70
A26/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
75-72
75
72
+3
62avg 70
A03/04
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
80-89
80
89
-9
70avg 70
H10/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
10-23
29-24
23-24
16-25
32-16
12-28
20-12
22-22
28-17
18-24
25-19
26-16
22-29
21-22
15-15
27-23
21-15
20-19
22-21
25-22
24-13
14-18
19-21
17-21
19-19
16-25
24-22
6-20
26-34
15-23
30-18
16-20
19-14
19-25
21-13
16-26
29-21
22-18
13-24
165.6Avg total
82.7Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.086.2167.2-5.244%
Season at home (12)79.884.2164.0-4.342%
Season away (13)82.188.1170.2-6.046%
Last 10 (10)82.782.9165.6-0.260%
Last 5 (5)78.083.4161.4-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)78.686.1164.7-7.539%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.886.7169.4-3.942%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
W
94-88
94
88
+6
92avg 72
A03/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
76-87
76
87
-11
67avg 72
A12/02
Lega A
Tortona
#2
L
82-94
82
94
-12
no box
H17/02
Italian Cup
Venezia
#6
L
65-78
65
78
-13
56avg 72
H06/03
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
75-89
75
89
-14
66avg 72
H09/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
84-102
84
102
-18
78avg 72
A13/03
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
L
77-85
77
85
-8
70avg 72
H20/03
Lega A
Trento
#14
L
74-75
74
75
-1
72avg 72
A27/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
81-92
81
92
-11
71avg 72
H02/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
109-103 OT
109
103
+6
no box
A10/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
16-20
27-19
27-24
28-16
14-25
12-20
22-26
23-21
13-25
17-25
29-23
16-24
14-17
20-23
15-14
19-21
17-27
16-24
23-17
17-19
23-25
20-28
24-30
19-16
17-27
21-18
20-24
26-22
16-18
19-18
13-17
16-34
24-20
24-19
17-19
20-22
26-21
25-17
15-26
171.0Avg total
81.7Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.882.3161.0-3.544%
Season at home (13)77.778.2155.8-0.554%
Season away (12)79.986.8166.7-6.833%
Last 10 (10)81.789.3171.0-7.620%
Last 5 (5)85.091.4176.4-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.885.8163.6-8.030%
vs Similar ◀ (19)79.881.3161.1-1.453%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
VareseTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#14
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H30/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H06/02
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A13/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A18/02
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H06/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A14/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H20/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A26/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A03/04
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H10/04
Lega A
84.3Avg total
42.9Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.843.484.2-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.142.882.9-2.636%-
Last 30 away (16)41.443.985.4-2.544%-
Last 10 (10)42.941.484.3+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.081.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)40.543.984.4-3.444%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.342.683.9-1.233%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A03/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A12/02
Lega A
Tortona
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H17/02
Italian Cup
Venezia
#6
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H06/03
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H09/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A13/03
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H20/03
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A27/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H02/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A10/04
Lega A
83.3Avg total
38.8Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.581.0-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.639.677.1-2.044%-
Last 30 away (14)41.643.885.4-2.236%-
Last 10 (10)38.844.583.3-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.844.885.6-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.244.285.4-3.030%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)38.739.978.6-1.247%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.0
48.5%
51.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.910.8
32.8%
35.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws16.913.3
78.7%
74.7%13.3
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.9
51.7%
51.1%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.08.2
37.3%
35.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.812.3
73.2%
74.7%12.3
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWLLWWWWLW
Trieste
WLLLLLLLLW
#12
League position
#7
-1.3
Net rating
-9.3
108.6
Offensive rating
107.3
110.0
Defensive rating
116.6
48.9%
Effective FG%
53.2%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
12.7%
Turnover %
18.5%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.8%
3-point %
37.3%
61.1%
Assist %
58.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 107.3Defence110.0 · 116.6Shooting48.9% · 53.2%3-point %32.8% · 37.3%Ball care12.7% · 18.5%Off. rebounds28.0% · 29.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Varese   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Varese wins
2
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
14/11/21Trieste v Varese70-86
25/04/21Varese v Trieste73-79
27/01/21Trieste v Varese108-83
19/01/20Varese v Trieste91-85
29/09/19Trieste v Varese62-92
10/02/19Trieste v Varese96-104
28/10/18Varese v Trieste78-66
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/22HTreviso80-89
03/04/22ABrindisi75-72
26/03/22AOlimpia Milano77-95
20/03/22HPesaro76-87
14/03/22ABasket Napoli82-74
06/03/22HCremona90-78
18/02/22AReggiana84-82
13/02/22AVenezia93-82
06/02/22HVirtus Bologna80-81
30/01/22HTrento90-89
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/22AReggiana109-103 OT
02/04/22HVirtus Bologna81-92
27/03/22ATrento74-75
20/03/22HFortitudo Bologna77-85
13/03/22AOlimpia Milano84-102
09/03/22HSassari75-89
06/03/22HVenezia65-78
17/02/22HTortona82-94
12/02/22ABrescia76-87
03/02/22ATreviso94-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL44%
HomeWLWLL42%
AwayWWWLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %44%42%46%
Points / game81.079.882.1
Allowed / game86.284.288.1
Point differential-5.2-4.3-6.0
Avg total167.2164.0170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%8%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Trieste
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW44%
HomeWLLLL54%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %44%54%33%
Points / game78.877.779.9
Allowed / game82.378.286.8
Point differential-3.5-0.5-6.8
Avg total161.0155.8166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)80% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %12%15%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2421388%87.978.1+9.8
2 Olimpia Milano2520580%82.771.6+11.2
3 Brescia2518772%84.277.6+6.6
4 Venezia25131252%78.177.6+0.6
5 Tortona25131252%78.879.3-0.4
6 Sassari24121250%82.982.5+0.4
7 Reggiana25121348%81.380.3+1.0
8 Brindisi25111444%80.381.8-1.5
9 Trento25111444%77.379.6-2.4
10 Pesaro25111444%80.083.4-3.4
11 Trieste25111444%78.882.3-3.5
12 Varese25111444%81.086.2-5.2
13 Treviso24101442%78.582.3-3.9
14 Basket Napoli25101540%81.082.4-1.5
15 Fortitudo Bologna2581732%81.184.0-2.8
16 Cremona2671927%78.683.1-4.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1920152276
Trieste1826232592
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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