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Varese vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 76-87
17-21 19-19 16-25 24-22
Position#12
Record10-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
Position#9
Record8-13
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game84.6
ItalyLega ARound 23
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Varese v Pesaro
11 Feb 2024
VAR91
PES80
11 Mar 2023
VAR110
PES99
20 Mar 2022
VAR76
PES87
14 Mar 2021
VAR81
PES68
15 Dec 2019
VAR103
PES87
28 Apr 2019
VAR81
PES75
31 Mar 2018
VAR88
PES68
12 Mar 2017
VAR93
PES78
18 Oct 2015
VAR88
PES81
01 Feb 2015
VAR70
PES80
01 Dec 2013
VAR91
PES77
28 Apr 2013
VAR85
PES70
14 Apr 2012
VAR63
PES67
17 Oct 2010
VAR87
PES78
24 Jan 2010
VAR89
PES86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
L
99-104
99
104
-5
92avg 72
A19/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
L
94-101
94
101
-7
95avg 72
A09/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
76-68
76
68
+8
64avg 72
H15/01
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
90-84
90
84
+6
76avg 72
A28/01
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
90-89
90
89
+1
75avg 72
H30/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
80-81
80
81
-1
67avg 72
H06/02
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
80avg 72
A13/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 72
A18/02
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
90-78
90
78
+12
85avg 72
H06/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
82-74
82
74
+8
69avg 72
A14/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-28
23-20
27-21
22-35
20-25
28-31
25-14
21-31
14-19
14-21
21-17
27-11
24-23
18-19
22-22
26-20
28-18
10-23
29-24
23-24
16-25
32-16
12-28
20-12
22-22
28-17
18-24
25-19
26-16
22-29
21-22
15-15
27-23
21-15
20-19
22-21
25-22
24-13
14-18
19-21
172.1Avg total
87.8Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.886.3168.0-4.548%
Season at home (10)80.283.4163.6-3.250%
Season away (11)83.288.9172.1-5.745%
Last 10 (10)87.884.3172.1+3.570%
Last 5 (5)85.879.4165.2+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)78.785.9164.6-7.235%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.887.1170.9-3.246%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#8
L
69-72
69
72
-3
63avg 70
H19/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
91-89
91
89
+2
80avg 70
A26/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
no box
H16/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
78-110
78
110
-32
66avg 70
A20/01
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
78-89
78
89
-11
62avg 70
A23/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
105-108 OT
105
108
-3
no box
H30/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
93-87
93
87
+6
82avg 70
H06/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
57-91
57
91
-34
45avg 70
A13/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
77-86
77
86
-9
no box
A06/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
86-84
86
84
+2
80avg 70
H13/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-20
23-19
23-13
16-20
25-27
16-16
25-17
25-29
24-20
16-18
12-17
25-22
15-26
25-35
18-25
20-24
20-26
17-20
21-19
20-24
17-27
26-20
24-21
25-24
19-30
30-17
21-14
23-26
12-23
15-19
13-25
17-24
17-25
32-18
12-22
16-21
15-26
27-18
22-19
22-21
171.7Avg total
81.9Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.584.6164.1-5.138%
Season at home (10)84.583.8168.3+0.750%
Season away (11)74.985.4160.3-10.527%
Last 10 (10)81.989.8171.7-7.940%
Last 5 (5)83.691.2174.8-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.086.2159.2-13.210%
vs Similar ◀ (19)82.785.1167.7-2.442%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -7.9-7.9Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -7.9-7.9Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
VaresePesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A19/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A09/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H15/01
Lega A
Trento
#14
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A28/01
Lega A
Trento
#14
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H30/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H06/02
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A13/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A18/02
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H06/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A14/03
Lega A
87.4Avg total
44.9Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.243.384.6-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.841.981.7-2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)42.544.687.1-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)44.942.587.4+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)48.639.688.2+9.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)41.243.484.6-2.247%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.243.284.5-2.031%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#8
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H19/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A26/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H16/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
40-61
40
61
-21
A20/01
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A23/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H30/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H06/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A13/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A06/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H13/03
Lega A
84.8Avg total
39.8Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.342.581.8-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.942.580.3-4.640%-
Last 30 away (15)40.742.583.3-1.840%-
Last 10 (10)39.845.084.8-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)42.044.686.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.642.378.9-5.740%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)42.142.584.5-0.442%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.119.7
50.4%
51.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.510.9
34.6%
35.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws18.914.5
76.7%
74.7%14.5
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.517.5
47.9%
51.1%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.0
36.9%
35.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.416.6
77.6%
74.7%16.6
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WWWWLWWWLL
Pesaro
WLLWLLLWWL
#12
League position
#9
+3.5
Net rating
-7.6
112.0
Offensive rating
110.7
108.5
Defensive rating
118.3
51.1%
Effective FG%
50.9%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
13.3%
Turnover %
15.8%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.6%
3-point %
36.9%
55.9%
Assist %
50.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 110.7Defence108.5 · 118.3Shooting51.1% · 50.9%3-point %34.6% · 36.9%Ball care13.3% · 15.8%Off. rebounds28.6% · 30.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Varese   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Varese wins
3
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
05/12/21Pesaro v Varese94-75
14/03/21Varese v Pesaro81-68
08/11/20Pesaro v Varese85-78
15/12/19Varese v Pesaro103-87
28/04/19Varese v Pesaro81-75
30/12/18Pesaro v Varese78-98
31/03/18Varese v Pesaro88-68
03/12/17Pesaro v Varese74-71
12/03/17Varese v Pesaro93-78
13/11/16Pesaro v Varese83-87
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/22ABasket Napoli82-74
06/03/22HCremona90-78
18/02/22AReggiana84-82
13/02/22AVenezia93-82
06/02/22HVirtus Bologna80-81
30/01/22HTrento90-89
28/01/22ATrento90-84
15/01/22HVenezia76-68
09/01/22AFortitudo Bologna94-101
19/12/21ASassari99-104
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/22HBrindisi86-84
06/03/22AReggiana77-86
13/02/22AOlimpia Milano57-91
06/02/22HCremona93-87
30/01/22HTreviso105-108 OT
23/01/22ATrieste78-89
20/01/22ABrescia78-110
16/01/22HOlimpia Milano85-82 OT
26/12/21ABrindisi91-89
19/12/21HReggiana69-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW48%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayLWWWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %48%50%45%
Points / game81.880.283.2
Allowed / game86.383.488.9
Point differential-4.5-3.2-5.7
Avg total168.0163.6172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%10%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW38%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayWLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %38%50%27%
Points / game79.584.574.9
Allowed / game84.683.885.4
Point differential-5.1+0.7-10.5
Avg total164.1168.3160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2018290%83.769.7+14.0
2 Virtus Bologna2017385%88.879.1+9.7
3 Brescia2114767%84.778.7+6.0
4 Tortona22121055%80.379.7+0.5
5 Reggiana21111052%80.878.8+2.0
6 Sassari20101050%83.082.5+0.4
7 Venezia21101148%78.378.4-0.1
8 Brindisi21101148%81.082.4-1.4
9 Trieste21101148%77.581.0-3.5
10 Varese21101148%81.886.3-4.5
11 Treviso2191243%79.083.1-4.0
12 Trento2291341%77.279.7-2.5
13 Pesaro2181338%79.584.6-5.1
14 Basket Napoli2281436%81.884.3-2.5
15 Fortitudo Bologna2161529%81.384.6-3.3
16 Cremona2161529%80.484.6-4.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1719162476
Pesaro2119252287
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