PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Tortona vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 104-99
22-21 32-24 24-23 26-31
Position#5
Record14-12
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game79.1
Tortona 🏆
Italy
vs
Varese
Italy
Position#12
Record11-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game86.4
ItalyLega ARound 27
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Tortona v Varese
14 Mar 2027
TOR v VAR
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
TOR90
VAR87
09 Mar 2025
TOR89
VAR82
24 Mar 2024
TOR90
VAR83
05 Feb 2023
TOR103
VAR91
16 Apr 2022
TOR104
VAR99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Trieste
#7
W
94-82
94
82
+12
no box
A17/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#3
W
94-82
94
82
+12
no box
H19/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
61-78
61
78
-17
no box
A20/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
64-81
64
81
-17
53avg 69
H06/03
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
87-83
87
83
+4
81avg 69
A13/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
83-77
83
77
+6
76avg 69
H19/03
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
61-69
61
69
-8
47avg 69
A27/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
L
70-86
70
86
-16
55avg 69
H02/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
74-73
74
73
+1
66avg 69
A10/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
81-74
81
74
+7
70avg 69
H13/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
25-13
25-17
23-29
24-18
26-23
30-15
14-26
13-25
20-16
14-12
14-25
22-19
15-21
14-23
13-18
23-19
26-23
20-23
18-18
24-19
22-16
20-20
17-22
13-13
13-15
13-28
22-13
11-22
20-26
18-20
21-18
15-17
19-21
19-16
21-19
15-26
17-15
30-13
19-20
155.4Avg total
76.9Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.979.1158.0-0.254%
Season at home (13)81.479.3160.7+2.162%
Season away (13)76.578.8155.3-2.446%
Last 10 (10)76.978.5155.4-1.660%
Last 5 (5)73.875.8149.6-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.076.3149.3-3.350%
vs Similar (16)80.178.2158.2+1.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)79.183.0162.1-3.943%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
80-81
80
81
-1
67avg 70
H06/02
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
80avg 70
A13/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 70
A18/02
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
90-78
90
78
+12
85avg 70
H06/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
82-74
82
74
+8
69avg 70
A14/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
L
76-87
76
87
-11
64avg 70
H20/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
77-95
77
95
-18
64avg 70
A26/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
75-72
75
72
+3
62avg 70
A03/04
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
80-89
80
89
-9
70avg 70
H10/04
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
76-92
76
92
-16
62avg 70
H13/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
32-16
12-28
20-12
22-22
28-17
18-24
25-19
26-16
22-29
21-22
15-15
27-23
21-15
20-19
22-21
25-22
24-13
14-18
19-21
17-21
19-19
16-25
24-22
6-20
26-34
15-23
30-18
16-20
19-14
19-25
21-13
16-26
29-21
22-18
13-24
19-18
20-26
15-23
22-25
164.5Avg total
81.3Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.886.4167.2-5.642%
Season at home (13)79.584.8164.3-5.238%
Season away (13)82.188.1170.2-6.046%
Last 10 (10)81.383.2164.5-1.950%
Last 5 (5)76.887.0163.8-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)78.384.8163.1-6.541%
vs Similar (13)82.287.1169.3-4.838%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +2.1+2.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +2.1+2.1
TortonaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#7
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A17/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#3
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H19/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A20/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H06/03
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A13/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H19/03
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A27/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H02/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A10/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H13/04
Lega A
77.4Avg total
38.4Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.938.777.6+0.230%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.439.478.8+0.129%-
Last 30 away (16)38.438.176.5+0.431%-
Last 10 (10)38.439.077.4-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)33.838.071.8-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.838.375.2-1.517%-
vs Similar (16)38.737.976.6+0.831%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.141.081.1-0.929%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H06/02
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A13/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A18/02
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H06/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A14/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H20/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A26/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A03/04
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H10/04
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H13/04
Lega A
84.7Avg total
43.0Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.642.883.5-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.142.982.9-2.833%-
Last 30 away (15)41.242.884.0-1.647%-
Last 10 (10)43.041.784.7+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.443.881.2-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)40.242.983.2-2.747%-
vs Similar (13)41.242.783.8-1.531%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.6
50.4%
51.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.2
36.2%
35.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws14.010.2
72.9%
74.7%10.2
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.1
49.3%
51.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.210.0
31.1%
35.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.414.1
81.0%
74.7%14.1
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
WWLLWWLLWW
Varese
LLWLLWWWWL
#5
League position
#12
+2.7
Net rating
-3.6
106.4
Offensive rating
107.4
103.7
Defensive rating
111.0
52.0%
Effective FG%
48.0%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
14.8%
Turnover %
13.1%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.2%
3-point %
31.1%
54.0%
Assist %
60.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 107.4Defence103.7 · 111.0Shooting52.0% · 48.0%3-point %36.2% · 31.1%Ball care14.8% · 13.1%Off. rebounds26.2% · 28.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Tortona   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tortona wins
1
Varese wins
DateGameScore
20/11/21Varese v Tortona85-76
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/22HBrescia81-74
10/04/22ACremona74-73
02/04/22HPesaro70-86
27/03/22AVenezia61-69
19/03/22HBasket Napoli83-77
13/03/22ASassari87-83
06/03/22HOlimpia Milano64-81
20/02/22AOlimpia Milano61-78
19/02/22HVirtus Bologna94-82
17/02/22ATrieste94-82
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/22HTrieste76-92
10/04/22HTreviso80-89
03/04/22ABrindisi75-72
26/03/22AOlimpia Milano77-95
20/03/22HPesaro76-87
14/03/22ABasket Napoli82-74
06/03/22HCremona90-78
18/02/22AReggiana84-82
13/02/22AVenezia93-82
06/02/22HVirtus Bologna80-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW54%
HomeWLWLW62%
AwayWLWLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %54%62%46%
Points / game78.981.476.5
Allowed / game79.179.378.8
Point differential-0.2+2.1-2.4
Avg total158.0160.7155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (2)57% (7)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Varese
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL42%
HomeLWLLL38%
AwayWWWLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %42%38%46%
Points / game80.879.582.1
Allowed / game86.484.888.1
Point differential-5.6-5.2-6.0
Avg total167.2164.3170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%8%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2522388%88.278.5+9.6
2 Olimpia Milano2621581%83.071.4+11.6
3 Brescia2618869%83.877.7+6.1
4 Venezia27151256%77.777.0+0.7
5 Tortona26141254%78.979.1-0.2
6 Reggiana26131350%81.480.3+1.1
7 Sassari26131350%82.681.8+0.8
8 Trieste26121446%79.382.0-2.8
9 Pesaro26121446%80.383.5-3.2
10 Brindisi26111542%80.281.7-1.5
11 Trento26111542%77.780.2-2.5
12 Varese26111542%80.886.4-5.6
13 Treviso25101540%78.582.8-4.3
14 Basket Napoli27101737%80.582.8-2.3
15 Fortitudo Bologna2681831%81.384.1-2.8
16 Cremona2671927%78.683.1-4.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona22322426104
Varese2124233199
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.