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Varese vs Reggiana Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 67-106
19-25 11-24 20-27 17-30
Position#12
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Position#8
Record2-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game86.0
ItalyLega ARound 5
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Varese v Reggiana
01 Feb 2026
VAR61
REG76
16 Mar 2025
VAR63
REG78
29 Dec 2023
VAR116
REG93
08 Apr 2023
VAR81
REG85
24 Oct 2021
VAR67
REG106
13 Dec 2020
VAR76
REG89
22 Mar 2020
VAR v REG
upcoming
03 Mar 2019
VAR92
REG80
15 Apr 2018
VAR80
REG73
11 Dec 2016
VAR81
REG71
24 Apr 2016
VAR77
REG69
25 Oct 2014
VAR112
REG118
13 Oct 2013
VAR83
REG64
25 Nov 2012
VAR91
REG78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Reggiana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
L
73-79
73
79
-6
60avg 70
H25/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
84-108
84
108
-24
73avg 70
A10/05
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
70-80
70
80
-10
no box
A06/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#4
L
82-92
82
92
-10
no box
H08/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cremona
#12
W
86-78
86
78
+8
no box
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#4
L
61-77
61
77
-16
no box
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#3
W
75-72
75
72
+3
61avg 70
H26/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
56-97
56
97
-41
41avg 70
A03/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
79-82
79
82
-3
70avg 70
H10/10
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
78-94
78
94
-16
65avg 70
A17/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
17-25
16-13
20-26
16-30
29-31
23-20
16-27
16-19
21-10
17-32
16-19
26-23
19-24
22-27
15-18
24-19
21-23
19-17
22-19
18-17
17-23
9-20
17-17
27-12
11-25
21-21
16-14
17-21
18-23
15-28
6-25
19-21
21-19
24-20
15-22
18-29
15-14
20-29
25-22
160.3Avg total
74.4Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.086.2158.2-14.225%
Season at home (2)77.077.0154.0+0.050%
Season away (2)67.095.5162.5-28.50%
Last 10 (10)74.485.9160.3-11.520%
Last 5 (5)69.884.4154.2-14.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)78.186.1164.2-8.136%
vs Similar (15)80.285.5165.7-5.333%
vs Weaker (1)98.088.0186.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Reggiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReggiana
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
80-67
80
67
+13
no box
A05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#2
L
71-75
71
75
-4
no box
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
78-66
78
66
+12
no box
H11/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#2
L
73-76
73
76
-3
no box
A13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
81-80
81
80
+1
74avg 69
A26/09
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
102-90
102
90
+12
101avg 69
H03/10
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
93-96 OT
93
96
-3
no box
A10/10
Lega A
Gilboa Galil
#36
W
93-70
93
70
+23
no box
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#14
L
74-78
74
78
-4
64avg 69
H16/10
Lega A
Saratov
#2
L
84-91
84
91
-7
no box
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
24-9
28-14
10-23
24-15
16-20
16-20
15-20
15-20
20-14
28-15
15-17
16-23
17-24
16-16
24-13
28-23
18-12
18-26
17-19
26-27
17-25
35-20
24-18
26-17
17-18
21-24
19-24
22-18
20-19
33-20
18-13
18-25
19-15
20-21
17-17
18-23
21-16
23-22
22-30
161.8Avg total
82.9Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.586.0173.5+1.550%
Season at home (2)88.084.0172.0+4.050%
Season away (2)87.088.0175.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)82.978.9161.8+4.050%
Last 5 (5)89.285.0174.2+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.384.7157.0-12.30%
vs Similar (16)78.378.6156.9-0.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)84.870.5155.2+14.2100%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
VareseReggiana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H25/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
45-61
45
61
-16
A10/05
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A06/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H08/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cremona
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H26/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A03/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H10/10
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A17/10
Lega A
81.3Avg total
39.0Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.941.881.7-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.439.179.6+1.356%-
Last 30 away (14)39.344.884.1-5.521%-
Last 10 (10)39.042.381.3-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.240.877.0-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.644.083.6-4.436%-
vs Similar (15)39.640.379.9-0.740%-
vs Weaker (1)48.033.081.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Reggiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#2
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H11/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#2
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A26/09
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H03/10
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A10/10
Lega A
Gilboa Galil
#36
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#14
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H16/10
Lega A
Saratov
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
78.4Avg total
40.0Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.539.878.2-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.839.778.5-0.854%-
Last 30 away (17)38.239.878.0-1.641%-
Last 10 (10)40.038.478.4+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.681.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.244.181.3-6.922%-
vs Similar (16)39.238.277.4+1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)42.236.078.2+6.2100%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.4
54.0%
51.1%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.4
33.3%
35.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.113.3
69.6%
74.7%13.3
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.0
50.5%
51.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.8
38.9%
35.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws14.911.7
78.5%
74.7%11.7
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LLLWLWLLLL
Reggiana
LLWLWWLWLW
#12
League position
#8
-13.2
Net rating
+0.7
103.9
Offensive rating
113.4
117.1
Defensive rating
112.7
52.4%
Effective FG%
53.7%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
19.7%
Turnover %
15.0%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.3%
3-point %
38.9%
46.0%
Assist %
62.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 113.4Defence117.1 · 112.7Shooting52.4% · 53.7%3-point %33.3% · 38.9%Ball care19.7% · 15.0%Off. rebounds27.5% · 29.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Varese   ■ Reggiana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Varese wins
6
Reggiana wins
DateGameScore
11/04/21Reggiana v Varese95-77
13/12/20Varese v Reggiana76-89
23/11/19Reggiana v Varese81-74
03/03/19Varese v Reggiana92-80
04/11/18Reggiana v Varese74-68
15/04/18Varese v Reggiana80-73
16/12/17Reggiana v Varese76-66
09/04/17Reggiana v Varese73-68
11/12/16Varese v Reggiana81-71
24/04/16Varese v Reggiana77-69
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/21ACremona78-94
10/10/21HOlimpia Milano79-82
03/10/21AVirtus Bologna56-97
26/09/21HBrescia75-72
14/09/21ASassari61-77
12/09/21HCremona86-78
08/09/21HSassari82-92
06/09/21ACremona70-80
10/05/21ABrindisi84-108
25/04/21HTrieste73-79
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/21ASaratov84-91
16/10/21HTrento74-78
13/10/21HGilboa Galil93-70
10/10/21ASassari93-96 OT
03/10/21HBasket Napoli102-90
26/09/21AFortitudo Bologna81-80
13/09/21AVenezia73-76
11/09/21HFortitudo Bologna78-66
07/09/21HVenezia71-75
05/09/21AFortitudo Bologna80-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game72.077.067.0
Allowed / game86.277.095.5
Point differential-14.2+0.0-28.5
Avg total158.2154.0162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Reggiana
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game87.588.087.0
Allowed / game86.084.088.0
Point differential+1.5+4.0-1.0
Avg total173.5172.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano550100%85.471.4+14.0
2 Virtus Bologna54180%93.276.0+17.2
3 Brindisi54180%88.681.6+7.0
4 Sassari43175%80.579.8+0.8
5 Trieste53260%78.475.8+2.6
6 Treviso53260%77.076.2+0.8
7 Reggiana42250%87.586.0+1.5
8 Cremona52340%80.081.6-1.6
9 Basket Napoli52340%83.086.4-3.4
10 Trento52340%79.483.2-3.8
11 Venezia52340%74.879.2-4.4
12 Tortona52340%76.285.0-8.8
13 Brescia41325%79.880.5-0.8
14 Varese41325%72.086.2-14.2
15 Fortitudo Bologna51420%82.686.4-3.8
16 Pesaro51420%72.478.0-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1911201767
Reggiana25242730106
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