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Varese vs Reggiana Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 81-85
14-29 26-20 15-17 26-19
Position#4
Record14-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game91.7
vs
Position#14
Record8-16
FormLWWLW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game77.0
ItalyLega ARound 25
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Varese v Reggiana
01 Feb 2026
VAR61
REG76
16 Mar 2025
VAR63
REG78
29 Dec 2023
VAR116
REG93
08 Apr 2023
VAR81
REG85
24 Oct 2021
VAR67
REG106
13 Dec 2020
VAR76
REG89
22 Mar 2020
VAR v REG
upcoming
03 Mar 2019
VAR92
REG80
15 Apr 2018
VAR80
REG73
11 Dec 2016
VAR81
REG71
24 Apr 2016
VAR77
REG69
25 Oct 2014
VAR112
REG118
13 Oct 2013
VAR83
REG64
25 Nov 2012
VAR91
REG78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Reggiana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Trento
#7
L
80-90
80
90
-10
68avg 82
A22/01
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
80-72
80
72
+8
77avg 82
H28/01
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
91-103
91
103
-12
84avg 82
A05/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-87
75
87
-12
68avg 82
H12/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#3
L
80-84
80
84
-4
no box
A15/02
Italian Cup
Basket Napoli
#12
W
101-93
101
93
+8
92avg 82
A05/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
110-99
110
99
+11
108avg 82
H11/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
73-102
73
102
-29
68avg 82
A18/03
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
98-94
98
94
+4
97avg 82
H26/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
97-95
97
95
+2
91avg 82
A02/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-28
25-23
19-23
20-16
15-16
29-22
27-17
9-17
23-20
31-34
20-31
17-18
22-21
23-24
18-23
12-19
12-29
23-15
29-23
16-17
28-29
28-33
25-16
20-15
34-23
28-36
26-21
22-19
21-27
21-24
4-32
27-19
15-27
28-22
30-27
25-18
28-21
20-30
24-22
25-22
180.4Avg total
88.5Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)92.191.7183.8+0.558%
Season at home (12)93.289.8183.0+3.567%
Season away (12)91.093.6184.6-2.650%
Last 10 (10)88.591.9180.4-3.450%
Last 5 (5)95.896.6192.4-0.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)87.5101.2188.7-13.70%
vs Similar ◀ (14)88.489.8178.1-1.450%
vs Weaker (9)99.392.9192.2+6.489%
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReggiana
Date
Competition
Trento
#7
W
84-68
84
68
+16
88avg 68
A15/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
73-68
73
68
+5
66avg 68
H22/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
74-81
74
81
-7
69avg 68
A29/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
74-85
74
85
-11
68avg 68
A05/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
63-74
63
74
-11
53avg 68
H12/02
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
76-78
76
78
-2
67avg 68
A05/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
80-62
80
62
+18
76avg 68
H12/03
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
80-75
80
75
+5
69avg 68
A18/03
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
69-78
69
78
-9
58avg 68
A26/03
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
78-70 OT
78
70
+8
no box
H02/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-13
24-20
17-16
20-19
18-15
21-23
26-17
8-13
15-13
22-24
23-13
14-31
15-24
21-15
19-18
19-28
17-26
16-13
22-18
8-17
20-19
18-19
13-19
25-21
21-14
20-9
21-22
18-17
24-16
11-22
26-19
19-18
11-21
18-31
23-10
17-16
14-20
14-16
17-15
18-12
149.0Avg total
75.1Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)75.277.0152.2-1.733%
Season at home (12)78.378.8157.2-0.542%
Season away (12)72.275.1147.2-2.925%
Last 10 (10)75.173.9149.0+1.250%
Last 5 (5)76.672.6149.2+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)68.878.5147.2-9.825%
vs Similar ◀ (17)77.378.4155.7-1.135%
vs Weaker (5)75.673.0148.6+2.640%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -2.6-2.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -2.6-2.6
VareseReggiana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#7
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A22/01
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H28/01
Lega A
Tortona
#3
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A05/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H12/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A15/02
Italian Cup
Basket Napoli
#12
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A05/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H11/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A18/03
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H26/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A02/04
Lega A
97.4Avg total
47.0Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.447.393.7-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.744.990.6+0.753%-
Last 30 away (15)47.149.796.7-2.640%-
Last 10 (10)47.050.497.4-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)50.254.4104.6-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.551.394.8-7.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)46.443.990.2+2.564%-
vs Weaker (9)49.650.399.9-0.844%-
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#7
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A15/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H22/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A29/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A05/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H12/02
Lega A
Verona
#16
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A05/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H12/03
Lega A
Trieste
#15
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A18/03
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A26/03
Lega A
Scafati
#11
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H02/04
Lega A
73.6Avg total
36.3Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.839.476.2-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.940.176.9-3.233%-
Last 30 away (15)36.838.775.5-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)36.337.373.6-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)34.237.471.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.841.480.1-2.650%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)36.940.076.9-3.129%-
vs Weaker (5)33.634.267.8-0.620%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.8
53.0%
51.3%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.9
38.4%
36.4%35.7
🏀 Free throws22.817.0
74.6%
76.1%17.0
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.3
50.7%
51.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.8
33.5%
36.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.613.8
74.2%
76.1%13.8
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WWLWWLLLWL
Reggiana
WLWWLLLLWW
#4
League position
#14
-0.4
Net rating
-4.3
112.9
Offensive rating
102.4
113.3
Defensive rating
106.7
55.1%
Effective FG%
50.5%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
17.0%
Turnover %
19.6%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.4%
3-point %
33.5%
63.5%
Assist %
55.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 102.4Defence113.3 · 106.7Shooting55.1% · 50.5%3-point %38.4% · 33.5%Ball care17.0% · 19.6%Off. rebounds28.0% · 30.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Varese   ■ Reggiana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Varese wins
6
Reggiana wins
DateGameScore
22/10/22Reggiana v Varese81-87
18/02/22Reggiana v Varese82-84
24/10/21Varese v Reggiana67-106
11/04/21Reggiana v Varese95-77
13/12/20Varese v Reggiana76-89
23/11/19Reggiana v Varese81-74
03/03/19Varese v Reggiana92-80
04/11/18Reggiana v Varese74-68
15/04/18Varese v Reggiana80-73
16/12/17Reggiana v Varese76-66
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/23ATreviso97-95
26/03/23HVerona98-94
18/03/23ASassari73-102
11/03/23HPesaro110-99
05/03/23ABasket Napoli101-93
15/02/23APesaro80-84
12/02/23HOlimpia Milano75-87
05/02/23ATortona91-103
28/01/23HBrescia80-72
22/01/23ATrento80-90
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/23HScafati78-70 OT
26/03/23AVenezia69-78
18/03/23ATrieste80-75
12/03/23HBasket Napoli80-62
05/03/23AVerona76-78
12/02/23HVirtus Bologna63-74
05/02/23APesaro74-85
29/01/23ABrindisi74-81
22/01/23HOlimpia Milano73-68
15/01/23ATrento84-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW58%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game92.193.291.0
Allowed / game91.789.893.6
Point differential+0.5+3.5-2.6
Avg total183.8183.0184.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Reggiana
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW33%
HomeLWLWW42%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %33%42%25%
Points / game75.278.372.2
Allowed / game77.078.875.1
Point differential-1.7-0.5-2.9
Avg total152.2157.2147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2519676%83.677.3+6.3
2 Olimpia Milano2417771%81.773.5+8.2
3 Tortona2517868%81.477.5+3.8
4 Sassari25151060%85.880.0+5.8
5 Varese24141058%92.191.7+0.5
6 Brindisi24131154%83.282.5+0.8
7 Venezia25131252%82.279.9+2.3
8 Trento25131252%75.976.7-0.8
9 Pesaro24121250%84.986.2-1.4
10 Brescia24101442%82.781.7+1.0
11 Trieste25101540%77.982.8-4.9
12 Treviso25101540%80.886.1-5.3
13 Basket Napoli2591636%77.883.8-6.1
14 Scafati2481633%77.879.5-1.7
15 Reggiana2481633%75.277.0-1.7
16 Verona2481633%79.486.3-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1426152681
Reggiana2920171985
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