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Varese vs Reggiana Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:45
Final 63-78
14-20 15-13 16-20 18-25
Position#12
Record6-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game98.7
Varese
Italy
vs
Reggiana 🏆
Italy
Position#7
Record13-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game77.9
ItalyLega ARound 22· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Varese v Reggiana
01 Feb 2026
VAR61
REG76
16 Mar 2025
VAR63
REG78
29 Dec 2023
VAR116
REG93
08 Apr 2023
VAR81
REG85
24 Oct 2021
VAR67
REG106
13 Dec 2020
VAR76
REG89
22 Mar 2020
VAR v REG
upcoming
03 Mar 2019
VAR92
REG80
15 Apr 2018
VAR80
REG73
11 Dec 2016
VAR81
REG71
24 Apr 2016
VAR77
REG69
25 Oct 2014
VAR112
REG118
13 Oct 2013
VAR83
REG64
25 Nov 2012
VAR91
REG78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Reggiana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
L
80-97
80
97
-17
68avg 81
A22/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
89-86
89
86
+3
86avg 81
H28/12
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
86-81
86
81
+5
84avg 81
A05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
92-89
92
89
+3
88avg 81
H12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
96-111
96
111
-15
88avg 81
A19/01
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
77-118
77
118
-41
64avg 81
H25/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
92-119
92
119
-27
84avg 81
A02/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
79-92
79
92
-13
71avg 81
H09/02
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
93-106 OT
93
106
-13
88avg 81
A02/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
82-89 OT
82
89
-7
64avg 81
A09/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
24-26
21-28
18-21
22-12
27-27
19-29
21-18
26-30
20-13
18-12
22-26
25-18
31-25
17-29
19-17
28-28
31-17
14-36
23-30
19-30
21-28
18-35
19-25
22-28
27-35
18-32
25-24
25-25
13-27
19-22
22-18
32-23
23-26
14-18
20-22
14-18
19-23
20-13
22-21
185.4Avg total
86.6Scored
98.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)88.598.7187.2-10.229%
Season at home (10)90.996.7187.6-5.850%
Season away (11)86.3100.5186.8-14.39%
Last 10 (10)86.698.8185.4-12.230%
Last 5 (5)84.6104.8189.4-20.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)88.098.2186.2-10.226%
vs Similar (11)92.891.0183.8+1.845%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Reggiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReggiana
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
W
69-67
69
67
+2
58avg 74
A25/01
Lega A
Tenerife
#2
L
69-91
69
91
-22
62avg 74
A28/01
Champions League
Cremona
#13
W
78-51
78
51
+27
75avg 74
H01/02
Lega A
Petkim Spor
#11
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
87avg 74
A04/02
Champions League
Treviso
#11
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
80avg 74
A09/02
Lega A
Trento
#1
L
80-85
80
85
-5
73avg 74
A13/02
Italian Cup
Sassari
#10
W
84-58
84
58
+26
89avg 74
H01/03
Lega A
Manresa
#9
W
85-70
85
70
+15
78avg 74
H05/03
Champions League
Trapani
#3
L
89-94
89
94
-5
86avg 74
H09/03
Lega A
Tenerife
#2
L
74-84
74
84
-10
70avg 74
H12/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-26
26-6
20-25
12-10
21-23
13-19
17-26
18-23
20-18
12-12
22-11
24-10
19-25
16-17
27-17
17-20
18-26
22-22
19-12
18-17
22-15
22-27
20-14
16-29
19-25
24-12
22-12
19-9
19-23
22-15
24-13
20-19
10-21
32-18
23-25
24-30
20-14
20-17
21-20
13-33
159.0Avg total
81.3Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.277.9159.1+3.362%
Season at home (11)81.374.8156.1+6.555%
Season away (10)81.181.3162.4-0.270%
Last 10 (10)81.377.7159.0+3.660%
Last 5 (5)82.478.2160.6+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.689.9169.5-10.212%
vs Similar (11)79.280.3159.5-1.164%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)82.369.2151.5+13.190%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -7.6-7.6Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.9-1.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -7.6-7.6Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.9-1.9
VareseReggiana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A22/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H28/12
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
59-45
59
45
+14
A19/01
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H25/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
49-63
49
63
-14
A02/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H09/02
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A02/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A09/03
Lega A
94.7Avg total
46.6Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.747.495.1+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.347.997.1+1.464%-
Last 30 away (16)46.446.993.3-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)46.648.194.7-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.052.695.6-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)47.248.896.0-1.753%-
vs Similar (11)48.744.893.5+3.955%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Reggiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A25/01
Lega A
Tenerife
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A28/01
Champions League
Cremona
#13
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H01/02
Lega A
Petkim Spor
#11
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A04/02
Champions League
Treviso
#11
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A09/02
Lega A
Trento
#1
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A13/02
Italian Cup
Sassari
#10
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H01/03
Lega A
Manresa
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H05/03
Champions League
Trapani
#3
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H09/03
Lega A
Tenerife
#2
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H12/03
Champions League
76.9Avg total
38.8Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.478.6-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.237.476.6+1.871%-
Last 30 away (16)39.241.180.3-1.931%-
Last 10 (10)38.838.176.9+0.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.037.479.4+4.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.942.481.2-3.538%-
vs Similar (11)37.640.578.2-2.936%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)40.735.576.2+5.270%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.817.5
53.4%
52.9%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.512.0
35.8%
35.8%36.0
🏀 Free throws19.114.6
76.4%
76.8%14.6
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.8
52.4%
52.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.9
33.8%
35.8%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.612.3
69.9%
76.8%12.3
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LLLLLLWWWL
Reggiana
LLWWLWWWLW
#12
League position
#7
-15.8
Net rating
+5.0
107.5
Offensive rating
110.0
123.3
Defensive rating
104.9
53.5%
Effective FG%
51.7%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
16.9%
Turnover %
17.4%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
36.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.8%
3-point %
33.8%
64.1%
Assist %
59.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 110.0Defence123.3 · 104.9Shooting53.5% · 51.7%3-point %35.8% · 33.8%Ball care16.9% · 17.4%Off. rebounds22.5% · 36.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Varese   ■ Reggiana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Varese wins
7
Reggiana wins
DateGameScore
22/12/24Reggiana v Varese97-80
17/03/24Reggiana v Varese113-80
29/12/23Varese v Reggiana116-93
08/04/23Varese v Reggiana81-85
22/10/22Reggiana v Varese81-87
18/02/22Reggiana v Varese82-84
24/10/21Varese v Reggiana67-106
11/04/21Reggiana v Varese95-77
13/12/20Varese v Reggiana76-89
23/11/19Reggiana v Varese81-74
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25ATortona82-89 OT
02/03/25ATrapani93-106 OT
09/02/25HTrento79-92
02/02/25AOlimpia Milano92-119
25/01/25HBrescia77-118
19/01/25APistoia96-111
12/01/25HTreviso92-89
05/01/25ASassari86-81
28/12/24HBasket Napoli89-86
22/12/24AReggiana80-97
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25HTenerife74-84
09/03/25HTrapani89-94
05/03/25HManresa85-70
01/03/25HSassari84-58
13/02/25ATrento80-85
09/02/25ATreviso94-90 OT
04/02/25APetkim Spor91-87 OT
01/02/25HCremona78-51
28/01/25ATenerife69-91
25/01/25ATortona69-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayWLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %29%50%9%
Points / game88.590.986.3
Allowed / game98.796.7100.5
Point differential-10.2-5.8-14.3
Avg total187.2187.6186.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%18%
Reggiana
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeLLWWL55%
AwayWLLWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %62%55%70%
Points / game81.281.381.1
Allowed / game77.974.881.3
Point differential+3.3+6.5-0.2
Avg total159.1156.1162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%45%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2116576%84.877.8+7.0
2 Trapani2216673%94.583.8+10.6
3 Brescia2216673%91.185.7+5.4
4 Trento2115671%87.782.5+5.1
5 Olimpia Milano2215768%88.684.0+4.6
6 Reggiana2113862%81.277.9+3.3
7 Trieste2213959%86.485.5+1.0
8 Tortona2112957%85.585.3+0.2
9 Venezia21111052%80.278.4+1.8
10 Treviso2181338%85.188.0-2.9
11 Sassari2171433%80.384.8-4.5
12 Cremona2161529%77.282.1-5.0
13 Scafati2161529%86.992.6-5.7
14 Varese2161529%88.598.7-10.2
15 Basket Napoli2151624%81.986.9-5.0
16 Pistoia2151624%82.288.9-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1415161863
Reggiana2013202578
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