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Venezia vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 May 2024
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 91-79
27-20 15-24 35-11 14-24
Position#4
Record18-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game78.5
Venezia 🏆
Italy
vs
Pesaro
Italy
Position#16
Record10-19
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game87.4
ItalyLega ARound 30· Palasport Giuseppe Taliercio
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Venezia v Pesaro
05 May 2024
VEN91
PES79
12 Feb 2023
VEN93
PES77
23 Oct 2021
VEN77
PES68
11 Oct 2020
VEN72
PES90
29 Dec 2019
VEN98
PES92
21 Oct 2018
VEN97
PES62
07 Jan 2018
VEN72
PES71
05 Mar 2017
VEN85
PES61
03 Apr 2016
VEN96
PES100
29 Mar 2015
VEN84
PES72
12 Jan 2014
VEN89
PES65
03 Feb 2013
VEN71
PES68
26 Feb 2012
VEN87
PES61
17 Feb 2012
VEN70
PES90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
77-100
77
100
-23
72avg 76
A17/02
Italian Cup
Scafati
#14
W
95-66
95
66
+29
92avg 76
A03/03
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
71-78
71
78
-7
67avg 76
H10/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
78-72
78
72
+6
79avg 76
H17/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
90-92
90
92
-2
81avg 76
A24/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
97-90
97
90
+7
98avg 76
A30/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
70-89
70
89
-19
57avg 76
H07/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
84-90
84
90
-6
78avg 76
A14/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
91-78
91
78
+13
94avg 76
H21/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
80-84
80
84
-4
67avg 76
A28/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
17-29
21-14
19-26
21-16
24-17
30-18
20-15
18-17
18-25
24-15
11-21
27-21
15-19
23-9
13-23
20-24
22-18
30-17
18-33
24-14
30-28
25-20
18-28
20-24
11-30
16-20
23-15
19-22
22-22
26-21
17-25
21-19
31-17
15-12
24-30
22-19
16-26
19-22
23-17
167.2Avg total
83.3Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.778.5161.2+4.162%
Season at home (14)83.974.1158.1+9.879%
Season away (15)81.582.6164.1-1.147%
Last 10 (10)83.383.9167.2-0.640%
Last 5 (5)84.486.2170.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.591.1171.6-10.625%
vs Similar (9)85.685.8171.3-0.244%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.375.6161.9+10.875%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
L
80-91
80
91
-11
71avg 70
A11/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
93-83
93
83
+10
90avg 70
H03/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
82-109
82
109
-27
68avg 70
A10/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
87-86 OT
87
86
+1
no box
H17/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
69-87
69
87
-18
56avg 70
H24/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
89-93
89
93
-4
81avg 70
A30/03
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
96-91
96
91
+5
85avg 70
A07/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
89-82
89
82
+7
80avg 70
H13/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
76-94
76
94
-18
62avg 70
A20/04
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
91-86
91
86
+5
90avg 70
H28/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
22-18
21-22
16-22
29-21
25-24
25-23
14-15
20-18
19-24
22-35
21-32
18-19
15-17
17-17
22-19
14-19
18-22
16-28
21-18
26-27
18-18
20-22
25-26
28-26
22-20
16-26
30-19
29-16
21-24
22-24
17-18
22-21
11-23
21-24
22-26
22-26
21-23
23-19
25-18
175.4Avg total
85.2Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.687.4168.0-6.834%
Season at home (15)82.186.5168.5-4.440%
Season away (14)79.188.4167.5-9.429%
Last 10 (10)85.290.2175.4-5.050%
Last 5 (5)88.289.2177.4-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.588.2166.8-9.730%
vs Similar (10)84.786.4171.1-1.740%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
VeneziaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
37-60
37
60
-23
A17/02
Italian Cup
Scafati
#14
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A03/03
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H10/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H17/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A24/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A30/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
31-54
31
54
-23
H07/04
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A14/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H21/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A28/04
Lega A
85.6Avg total
41.8Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.983.4+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.639.481.9+3.264%-
Last 30 away (16)42.442.284.6+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)41.843.885.6-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.244.287.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.547.187.6-6.638%-
vs Similar (9)42.343.285.6-0.944%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.435.680.0+8.875%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A11/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H03/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A10/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H17/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H24/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A30/03
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A07/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H13/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A20/04
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H28/04
Lega A
85.6Avg total
42.1Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.443.683.0-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.943.282.1-4.431%-
Last 30 away (14)40.144.084.1-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)42.143.585.6-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)44.044.888.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)38.244.983.2-6.620%-
vs Similar (10)41.841.082.8+0.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.6
54.1%
53.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.4
37.5%
35.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws22.116.7
75.6%
76.3%16.7
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.9
53.3%
53.1%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.1
35.4%
35.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.015.4
77.0%
76.3%15.4
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Venezia
LWLLWLWLWL
Pesaro
WLWWLLWLWL
#4
League position
#16
-1.7
Net rating
-8.8
110.1
Offensive rating
112.6
111.8
Defensive rating
121.4
55.0%
Effective FG%
53.2%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
61.1%
19.2%
Turnover %
13.5%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.5%
3-point %
35.4%
63.9%
Assist %
55.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 112.6Defence111.8 · 121.4Shooting55.0% · 53.2%3-point %37.5% · 35.4%Ball care19.2% · 13.5%Off. rebounds28.7% · 24.4%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Venezia   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Venezia wins
2
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
08/10/23Pesaro v Venezia64-76
12/02/23Venezia v Pesaro93-77
08/10/22Pesaro v Venezia90-89
01/05/22Pesaro v Venezia75-85
23/10/21Venezia v Pesaro77-68
18/09/21Pesaro v Venezia51-83
31/01/21Pesaro v Venezia65-78
11/10/20Venezia v Pesaro72-90
29/12/19Venezia v Pesaro98-92
03/02/19Pesaro v Venezia86-89
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/24ABrindisi80-84
21/04/24HTreviso91-78
14/04/24ABrescia84-90
07/04/24HVirtus Bologna70-89
30/03/24ABasket Napoli97-90
24/03/24ACremona90-92
17/03/24HOlimpia Milano78-72
10/03/24HSassari71-78
03/03/24AScafati95-66
17/02/24AOlimpia Milano77-100
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/24HCremona91-86
20/04/24ATortona76-94
13/04/24HPistoia89-82
07/04/24ASassari96-91
30/03/24ATreviso89-93
24/03/24HReggiana69-87
17/03/24HVirtus Bologna87-86 OT
10/03/24ATrento82-109
03/03/24HBrescia93-83
11/02/24AVarese80-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Venezia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL62%
HomeWLWLW79%
AwayWLWLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %62%79%47%
Points / game82.783.981.5
Allowed / game78.574.182.6
Point differential+4.1+9.8-1.1
Avg total161.2158.1164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%57%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Pesaro
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW34%
HomeWWLWW40%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %34%40%29%
Points / game80.682.179.1
Allowed / game87.486.588.4
Point differential-6.8-4.4-9.4
Avg total168.0168.5167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%13%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)75% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %7%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2921872%88.377.4+10.9
2 Olimpia Milano2921872%80.774.6+6.1
3 Brescia2920969%87.078.6+8.5
4 Venezia29181162%82.778.5+4.1
5 Reggiana29161355%80.779.7+1.0
6 Trento29151452%84.084.4-0.4
7 Pistoia29151452%81.283.4-2.2
8 Tortona29141548%80.679.0+1.6
9 Basket Napoli29131645%85.786.9-1.2
10 Sassari29131645%79.383.4-4.1
11 Cremona29121741%80.579.9+0.6
12 Scafati29121741%82.487.0-4.7
13 Varese29111838%87.090.5-3.5
14 Treviso29111838%80.985.2-4.3
15 Brindisi29101934%75.981.4-5.6
16 Pesaro29101934%80.687.4-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Venezia2715351491
Pesaro2024112479
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