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Trento vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 109-82
18-20 24-19 35-22 32-21
Position#6
Record10-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game83.5
Trento 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record6-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game86.0
ItalyLega ARound 22· BLM Group Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Trento v Pesaro
10 Mar 2024
TRE109
PES82
04 Dec 2022
TRE79
PES75
23 Apr 2022
TRE82
PES83
07 Feb 2021
TRE70
PES81
11 Mar 2020
TRE v PES
upcoming
14 Apr 2019
TRE81
PES76
19 Nov 2017
TRE91
PES74
26 Mar 2017
TRE97
PES91
08 Nov 2015
TRE81
PES74
11 Apr 2015
TRE77
PES65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
85-79
85
79
+6
85avg 74
H16/01
Eurocup
Brescia
#3
L
69-93
69
93
-24
61avg 74
H20/01
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
83-88
83
88
-5
78avg 74
A23/01
Eurocup
Venezia
#4
L
68-93
68
93
-25
56avg 74
A27/01
Lega A
Buducnost
#13
L
78-97
78
97
-19
73avg 74
H31/01
Eurocup
Varese
#12
W
90-84
90
84
+6
82avg 74
H04/02
Lega A
Aris
#11
L
77-84
77
84
-7
66avg 74
A07/02
Eurocup
Treviso
#13
L
82-85
82
85
-3
73avg 74
H11/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
57-80
57
80
-23
48avg 74
A14/02
Italian Cup
Reggiana
#5
L
75-77
75
77
-2
72avg 74
A02/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
18-23
27-16
20-20
17-25
15-27
15-25
22-16
18-28
20-14
22-24
23-22
15-22
14-22
18-24
21-25
14-22
25-23
17-34
22-18
20-29
25-15
21-21
24-19
25-15
16-19
11-17
25-33
21-17
13-33
23-14
25-21
17-20
6-19
12-26
22-15
23-14
18-18
17-24
17-21
162.4Avg total
76.4Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.083.5165.5-1.448%
Season at home (10)86.784.7171.4+2.060%
Season away (11)77.882.4160.2-4.536%
Last 10 (10)76.486.0162.4-9.620%
Last 5 (5)76.282.0158.2-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.185.6163.8-7.525%
vs Similar ◀ (19)80.882.9163.7-2.137%
vs Weaker (2)84.577.0161.5+7.5100%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#10
W
74-73
74
73
+1
65avg 71
A17/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
81-88
81
88
-7
70avg 71
H23/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
66-83
66
83
-17
51avg 71
A30/12
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
69-79
69
79
-10
54avg 71
H07/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
75-93
75
93
-18
64avg 71
A14/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
65-85
65
85
-20
56avg 71
H21/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
78-86
78
86
-8
71avg 71
H28/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
82-83
82
83
-1
75avg 71
A04/02
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
80-91
80
91
-11
71avg 71
A11/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
93-83
93
83
+10
90avg 71
H03/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
30-15
17-14
10-21
21-18
24-19
21-24
15-27
19-15
13-26
16-17
18-25
20-13
8-28
14-27
27-11
22-22
11-25
16-22
26-24
19-21
13-19
16-26
17-19
22-28
18-25
19-15
19-18
24-16
20-24
20-16
18-27
21-29
22-18
21-22
16-22
29-21
25-24
25-23
14-15
160.7Avg total
76.3Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.086.0165.0-7.029%
Season at home (11)81.486.9168.3-5.527%
Season away (10)76.485.1161.5-8.730%
Last 10 (10)76.384.4160.7-8.120%
Last 5 (5)79.685.6165.2-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)76.287.5163.6-11.326%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.585.7170.2-1.336%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.9-2.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.9-2.9
TrentoPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H16/01
Eurocup
Brescia
#3
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H20/01
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A23/01
Eurocup
Venezia
#4
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A27/01
Lega A
Buducnost
#13
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H31/01
Eurocup
Varese
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H04/02
Lega A
Aris
#11
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A07/02
Eurocup
Treviso
#13
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H11/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A14/02
Italian Cup
Reggiana
#5
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A02/03
Lega A
78.5Avg total
36.0Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.479.3-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.640.482.0+1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)36.440.576.9-4.131%-
Last 10 (10)36.042.578.5-6.530%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.876.6-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.642.281.9-2.638%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)39.539.779.2-0.247%-
vs Weaker (2)37.041.078.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A17/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H23/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A30/12
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H07/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A14/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H21/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H28/01
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A04/02
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A11/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H03/03
Lega A
82.7Avg total
39.8Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.443.582.9-4.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.642.181.7-2.644%-
Last 30 away (14)39.245.184.4-5.929%-
Last 10 (10)39.842.982.7-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.645.087.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.845.182.9-7.321%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.140.882.9+1.364%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.0
48.6%
53.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.0
32.7%
35.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws14.311.7
81.8%
76.3%11.7
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.217.2
46.2%
53.1%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.7
31.5%
35.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.214.8
73.3%
76.3%14.8
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
LLLLWLLLLW
Pesaro
WLLLLLLLLW
#6
League position
#16
-13.5
Net rating
-10.9
97.2
Offensive rating
98.5
110.7
Defensive rating
109.4
48.8%
Effective FG%
46.7%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
18.7%
Turnover %
15.7%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
23.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.7%
3-point %
31.5%
71.5%
Assist %
62.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence97.2 · 98.5Defence110.7 · 109.4Shooting48.8% · 46.7%3-point %32.7% · 31.5%Ball care18.7% · 15.7%Off. rebounds24.6% · 23.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Trento   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Trento wins
2
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
10/12/23Pesaro v Trento74-87
02/04/23Pesaro v Trento70-84
04/12/22Trento v Pesaro79-75
23/04/22Trento v Pesaro82-83
31/10/21Pesaro v Trento75-79
07/02/21Trento v Pesaro70-81
17/10/20Pesaro v Trento57-71
09/11/19Pesaro v Trento95-101 OT
14/04/19Trento v Pesaro81-76
23/12/18Pesaro v Trento65-77
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24AReggiana75-77
14/02/24AOlimpia Milano57-80
11/02/24HTreviso82-85
07/02/24AAris77-84
04/02/24HVarese90-84
31/01/24HBuducnost78-97
27/01/24AVenezia68-93
23/01/24ACluj-Napoca83-88
20/01/24HBrescia69-93
16/01/24HSlask Wroclaw85-79
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HBrescia93-83
11/02/24AVarese80-91
04/02/24AScafati82-83
28/01/24HBrindisi78-86
21/01/24HOlimpia Milano65-85
14/01/24ABasket Napoli75-93
07/01/24HSassari69-79
30/12/23AVirtus Bologna66-83
23/12/23HVarese81-88
17/12/23APistoia74-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL48%
HomeWLLWL60%
AwayLLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %48%60%36%
Points / game82.086.777.8
Allowed / game83.584.782.4
Point differential-1.4+2.0-4.5
Avg total165.5171.4160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%30%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Pesaro
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeLLLLW27%
AwayWLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %29%27%30%
Points / game79.081.476.4
Allowed / game86.086.985.1
Point differential-7.0-5.5-8.7
Avg total165.0168.3161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia2116576%88.176.1+12.0
2 Virtus Bologna2115671%88.676.4+12.2
3 Olimpia Milano2115671%79.572.4+7.1
4 Venezia2215768%82.176.5+5.7
5 Basket Napoli22121055%85.684.5+1.1
6 Reggiana22121055%79.881.1-1.3
7 Tortona22111150%79.678.3+1.3
8 Trento21101148%82.083.5-1.4
9 Scafati21101148%83.186.7-3.5
10 Pistoia21101148%78.282.6-4.4
11 Sassari22101245%76.581.4-4.9
12 Cremona2191243%81.279.2+2.0
13 Varese2291341%84.489.0-4.5
14 Treviso2271532%79.584.5-4.9
15 Pesaro2161529%79.086.0-7.0
16 Brindisi2251723%73.582.2-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento18243532109
Pesaro2019222182
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