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Virtus Bologna vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 89-84
22-26 17-21 26-21 24-16
Position#14
Record13-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Position#12
Record15-18
FormLLLWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game77.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 34
European cup2022
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Olimpia Milano
24 Jan 2027
VIR v MIL
upcoming
30 Dec 2026
VIR v MIL
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
VIR104
MIL94
02 Jan 2026
VIR97
MIL85
27 Sep 2025
VIR86
MIL93
02 Jun 2025
VIR66
MIL85
31 May 2025
VIR68
MIL67
04 Apr 2025
VIR90
MIL70
02 Mar 2025
VIR86
MIL80
12 Feb 2025
VIR77
MIL91
08 Jun 2024
VIR72
MIL64
06 Jun 2024
VIR75
MIL86
10 Mar 2024
VIR84
MIL75
14 Nov 2023
VIR86
MIL79
21 Jun 2023
VIR85
MIL66
16 Jun 2023
VIR93
MIL89
14 Jun 2023
VIR69
MIL61
13 Apr 2023
VIR89
MIL84
02 Jan 2023
VIR74
MIL96
16 Jun 2022
VIR84
MIL78
10 Jun 2022
VIR75
MIL68
08 Jun 2022
VIR62
MIL66
10 Apr 2022
VIR83
MIL65
11 Jun 2021
VIR73
MIL62
09 Jun 2021
VIR76
MIL58
27 Dec 2020
VIR68
MIL73
29 Dec 2019
VIR83
MIL70
14 Oct 2018
VIR79
MIL88
11 Mar 2018
VIR67
MIL73
28 Feb 2016
VIR85
MIL101
22 May 2015
VIR65
MIL92
29 Dec 2014
VIR58
MIL81
10 Nov 2013
VIR79
MIL71
03 Oct 2012
VIR67
MIL64
16 Feb 2012
VIR77
MIL82
05 Feb 2012
VIR68
MIL80
19 Dec 2010
VIR81
MIL94
08 Nov 2009
VIR83
MIL87
01 Feb 2009
VIR70
MIL60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
W
83-68
83
68
+15
79avg 77
A12/03
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
68-81
68
81
-13
66avg 77
A16/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
75-69
75
69
+6
67avg 77
A19/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
79-96
79
96
-17
70avg 77
H24/03
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
W
88-76
88
76
+12
86avg 77
H26/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
80-111
80
111
-31
76avg 77
A28/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
67-86
67
86
-19
58avg 77
A30/03
Euroleague
Trieste
#15
L
78-80
78
80
-2
68avg 77
A02/04
Lega A
Valencia
#13
L
68-79
68
79
-11
69avg 77
A06/04
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#12
L
81-89
81
89
-8
74avg 77
H08/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
14-14
26-17
19-25
22-21
15-20
16-22
15-18
26-15
23-21
8-19
18-14
12-26
21-24
25-18
21-28
32-24
13-18
23-12
20-22
13-28
20-34
20-25
27-24
13-13
14-23
11-24
29-26
20-16
25-29
14-19
19-16
19-17
19-23
19-18
11-21
14-21
20-20
15-28
32-20
160.2Avg total
76.7Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)77.782.7160.4-5.039%
Season at home (16)79.679.9159.5-0.250%
Season away (17)75.985.4161.2-9.529%
Last 10 (10)76.783.5160.2-6.830%
Last 5 (5)74.889.0163.8-14.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.589.8167.3-12.320%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.476.5154.9+1.950%
vs Weaker (11)82.977.0159.9+5.973%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
87-91
87
91
-4
82avg 74
A16/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
69-75
69
75
-6
66avg 74
H19/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
W
82-75
82
75
+7
81avg 74
A21/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
W
99-74
99
74
+25
102avg 74
H24/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#8
L
74-83
74
83
-9
67avg 74
A26/03
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
69-89
69
89
-20
69avg 74
A28/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
66-85
66
85
-19
55avg 74
A30/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
L
73-76
73
76
-3
61avg 74
H02/04
Lega A
Barcelona
#3
W
84-76
84
76
+8
85avg 74
H07/04
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
W
102-70
102
70
+32
100avg 74
H09/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
17-18
26-25
21-24
15-26
21-23
19-8
14-18
23-18
14-17
24-17
21-23
25-8
24-28
23-18
27-20
21-11
14-26
15-23
24-23
16-22
16-25
16-21
21-21
21-29
15-24
20-13
10-19
22-15
18-16
12-27
21-18
18-21
21-15
19-12
26-28
19-22
31-9
30-27
22-12
159.9Avg total
80.5Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)74.577.3151.8-2.845%
Season at home (17)75.974.2150.1+1.653%
Season away (16)73.180.5153.6-7.438%
Last 10 (10)80.579.4159.9+1.140%
Last 5 (5)78.879.2158.0-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.078.3156.3-0.356%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.578.4155.9-0.950%
vs Weaker (12)80.674.1154.7+6.558%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
Virtus BolognaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#6
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A12/03
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A19/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H24/03
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H26/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
33-62
33
62
-29
A28/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A30/03
Euroleague
Trieste
#15
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A02/04
Lega A
Valencia
#13
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A06/04
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#12
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H08/04
Lega A
79.8Avg total
37.9Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.279.6-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.340.180.4+0.253%-
Last 30 away (13)38.440.378.7-1.946%-
Last 10 (10)37.941.979.8-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)35.444.880.2-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.345.782.0-9.430%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.237.477.6+2.950%-
vs Weaker (11)42.337.579.8+4.773%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A16/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H19/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A21/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H24/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A26/03
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A28/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A30/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H02/04
Lega A
Barcelona
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H07/04
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H09/04
Lega A
79.1Avg total
39.4Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.478.6-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.436.175.6+3.375%-
Last 30 away (14)38.943.182.0-4.114%-
Last 10 (10)39.439.779.1-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.679.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.339.175.4-2.856%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.942.182.0-2.238%-
vs Weaker (12)41.837.279.0+4.550%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.116.4
51.1%
53.5%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.4
35.5%
36.2%28.2
🏀 Free throws16.213.3
82.1%
78.5%13.3
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.016.1
53.7%
53.5%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.010.4
41.6%
36.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.716.1
77.8%
78.5%16.1
They take 55.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
LLLLLWLWLW
Olimpia Milano
WWLLLLWWLL
#14
League position
#12
-10.1
Net rating
+1.6
105.9
Offensive rating
114.9
116.0
Defensive rating
113.3
52.0%
Effective FG%
57.6%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
17.7%
Turnover %
16.5%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
22.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.5%
3-point %
41.6%
65.1%
Assist %
63.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 114.9Defence116.0 · 113.3Shooting52.0% · 57.6%3-point %35.5% · 41.6%Ball care17.7% · 16.5%Off. rebounds23.7% · 22.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/23HBasket Napoli81-89
06/04/23AValencia68-79
02/04/23ATrieste78-80
30/03/23AAnadolu Efes67-86
28/03/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv80-111
26/03/23HPesaro88-76
24/03/23HReal Madrid79-96
19/03/23AOlimpia Milano75-69
16/03/23AMonaco68-81
12/03/23AVenezia83-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/23HPesaro102-70
07/04/23HBarcelona84-76
02/04/23HVenezia73-76
30/03/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv66-85
28/03/23AAnadolu Efes69-89
26/03/23ABrescia74-83
24/03/23HBayern99-74
21/03/23AFenerbahce82-75
19/03/23HVirtus Bologna69-75
16/03/23AReal Madrid87-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL39%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %39%50%29%
Points / game77.779.675.9
Allowed / game82.779.985.4
Point differential-5.0-0.2-9.5
Avg total160.4159.5161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%19%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)57% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW45%
HomeWWWWW53%
AwayWLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %45%53%38%
Points / game74.575.973.1
Allowed / game77.374.280.5
Point differential-2.8+1.6-7.4
Avg total151.8150.1153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%24%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)33% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos34241071%84.075.8+8.2
2 Real Madrid34231168%85.679.4+6.2
3 Barcelona33221167%80.876.9+3.9
4 Monaco33211264%83.681.6+2.1
5 Maccabi Tel Aviv34201459%83.681.0+2.6
6 Partizan33191458%85.282.7+2.5
7 Fenerbahce34191556%84.281.7+2.5
8 Zalgiris Kaunas33181555%76.077.2-1.2
9 Baskonia34181653%86.784.0+2.7
10 Crvena zvezda34171750%77.277.9-0.6
11 Anadolu Efes33161748%82.981.6+1.3
12 Olimpia Milano33151845%74.577.3-2.8
13 Valencia33151845%82.285.6-3.5
14 Virtus Bologna33132039%77.782.7-5.0
15 Panathinaikos33112233%79.282.7-3.5
16 Bayern33112233%76.580.5-4.0
17 Alba Berlin34112332%80.184.4-4.3
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne3482624%74.382.0-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2217262489
Olimpia Milano2621211684
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