PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Varese vs Verona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 98-94
15-27 28-22 30-27 25-18
Position#4
Record12-10
FormLLWWL
Points / game91.6
Allowed / game91.4
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record7-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game86.3
ItalyLega ARound 23
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Varese v Verona
17 Jan 2027
VAR v VER
upcoming
26 Mar 2023
VAR98
VER94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Verona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
W
104-90
104
90
+14
103avg 81
A08/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
106-79
106
79
+27
109avg 81
H15/01
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
80-90
80
90
-10
68avg 81
A22/01
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
80-72
80
72
+8
77avg 81
H28/01
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
91-103
91
103
-12
84avg 81
A05/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-87
75
87
-12
68avg 81
H12/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#3
L
80-84
80
84
-4
no box
A15/02
Italian Cup
Basket Napoli
#12
W
101-93
101
93
+8
92avg 81
A05/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
110-99
110
99
+11
108avg 81
H11/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
73-102
73
102
-29
68avg 81
A18/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
29-17
23-24
26-22
24-20
22-20
27-20
33-19
16-28
25-23
19-23
20-16
15-16
29-22
27-17
9-17
23-20
31-34
20-31
17-18
22-21
23-24
18-23
12-19
12-29
23-15
29-23
16-17
28-29
28-33
25-16
20-15
34-23
28-36
26-21
22-19
21-27
21-24
4-32
27-19
179.9Avg total
90.0Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)91.691.4183.0+0.255%
Season at home (11)92.889.4182.2+3.564%
Season away (11)90.593.5183.9-3.045%
Last 10 (10)90.089.9179.9+0.150%
Last 5 (5)87.893.0180.8-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)85.797.0182.7-11.314%
vs Similar (15)87.889.7177.5-1.947%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)99.992.4192.3+7.486%
This opponent (Verona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeronaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVerona
Date
Competition
Trieste
#15
W
88-81
88
81
+7
76avg 68
H02/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
57-80
57
80
-23
52avg 68
A08/01
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
81-77
81
77
+4
76avg 68
H15/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
73-76
73
76
-3
67avg 68
A21/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
82-87
82
87
-5
81avg 68
A29/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
81-97
81
97
-16
68avg 68
H04/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
68-102
68
102
-34
50avg 68
A12/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
78-76
78
76
+2
74avg 68
H05/03
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
69-73
69
73
-4
60avg 68
A12/03
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
no box
H19/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
24-17
27-24
14-15
11-19
17-18
19-22
10-21
14-20
22-18
20-17
25-22
20-18
19-23
20-10
14-25
17-24
25-25
20-19
20-19
18-20
16-21
25-24
22-32
19-25
21-23
19-22
9-32
19-20
19-18
19-13
21-25
17-24
18-21
13-18
21-10
16-16
22-26
21-17
19-19
161.3Avg total
76.9Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.486.3164.7-7.932%
Season at home (11)84.390.4174.6-6.136%
Season away (11)72.582.3154.8-9.727%
Last 10 (10)76.984.4161.3-7.530%
Last 5 (5)77.688.6166.2-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)77.187.5164.6-10.425%
vs Similar (14)77.773.8151.5+3.957%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -4.5-4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -4.5-4.5
VareseVerona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A08/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H15/01
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A22/01
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H28/01
Lega A
Tortona
#3
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A05/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H12/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A15/02
Italian Cup
Basket Napoli
#12
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A05/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H11/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A18/03
Lega A
96.8Avg total
48.0Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.046.792.7-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.844.890.6+1.053%-
Last 30 away (15)46.248.594.7-2.347%-
Last 10 (10)48.048.896.8-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)48.052.2100.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.348.991.1-6.629%-
vs Similar (15)46.344.190.3+2.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)50.750.4101.1+0.357%-
This opponent (Verona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeronaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#15
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H02/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A08/01
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H15/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A21/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A29/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H04/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A12/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H05/03
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A12/03
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H19/03
Lega A
79.8Avg total
37.7Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.680.0-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.239.882.0+2.457%-
Last 30 away (16)36.941.478.3-4.431%-
Last 10 (10)37.742.179.8-4.410%-
Last 5 (5)37.042.879.8-5.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.842.582.2-2.825%-
vs Similar (14)39.038.577.5+0.564%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.2
53.0%
51.3%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.012.1
37.8%
36.4%36.3
🏀 Free throws20.815.1
72.6%
76.1%15.1
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veronatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Verona: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.1
53.7%
51.3%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.8
31.5%
36.4%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.013.5
67.5%
76.1%13.5
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWWLLLWLWW
Verona
LLWLLLLWLW
#4
League position
#16
+0.2
Net rating
-9.1
112.1
Offensive rating
104.6
111.8
Defensive rating
113.7
54.8%
Effective FG%
51.0%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
16.2%
Turnover %
17.3%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.8%
3-point %
31.5%
61.3%
Assist %
56.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 104.6Defence111.8 · 113.7Shooting54.8% · 51.0%3-point %37.8% · 31.5%Ball care16.2% · 17.3%Off. rebounds27.2% · 29.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Varese   ■ Verona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Varese wins
0
Verona wins
DateGameScore
27/11/22Verona v Varese91-98
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/23ASassari73-102
11/03/23HPesaro110-99
05/03/23ABasket Napoli101-93
15/02/23APesaro80-84
12/02/23HOlimpia Milano75-87
05/02/23ATortona91-103
28/01/23HBrescia80-72
22/01/23ATrento80-90
15/01/23HBasket Napoli106-79
08/01/23ABrindisi104-90
Veronalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/23HVenezia92-95 OT
12/03/23ATortona69-73
05/03/23HReggiana78-76
12/02/23ABrindisi68-102
04/02/23HTreviso81-97
29/01/23AVirtus Bologna82-87
21/01/23APesaro73-76
15/01/23HBrescia81-77
08/01/23AVenezia57-80
02/01/23HTrieste88-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL55%
HomeLWWLW64%
AwayWLLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %55%64%45%
Points / game91.692.890.5
Allowed / game91.489.493.5
Point differential+0.2+3.5-3.0
Avg total183.0182.2183.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %9%18%0%
Verona
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL32%
HomeWWLWL36%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%36%27%
Points / game78.484.372.5
Allowed / game86.390.482.3
Point differential-7.9-6.1-9.7
Avg total164.7174.6154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)60% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %14%27%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2319483%84.076.7+7.3
2 Olimpia Milano2317674%82.073.4+8.7
3 Tortona2316770%81.477.0+4.4
4 Sassari2314961%86.580.2+6.3
5 Brindisi23131057%83.582.5+1.0
6 Varese22121055%91.691.4+0.2
7 Pesaro23121152%85.586.3-0.8
8 Venezia23111248%82.280.2+2.0
9 Trento23111248%75.177.4-2.3
10 Treviso23101343%80.785.8-5.1
11 Brescia2391439%83.282.3+0.9
12 Trieste2391439%78.282.9-4.7
13 Scafati2381535%78.179.5-1.4
14 Basket Napoli2381535%77.784.5-6.8
15 Verona2271532%78.486.3-7.9
16 Reggiana2371630%75.177.3-2.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1528302598
Verona2722271894
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.