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Olimpia Milano vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 99-74
25-8 24-28 23-18 27-20
Position#12
Record13-16
FormWWLLW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game76.8
Olimpia Milano 🏆
vs
Bayern
Position#16
Record11-18
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game79.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 30
European cup2022
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Bayern
10 Dec 2026
MIL v BAY
upcoming
09 Apr 2026
MIL84
BAY94
20 Dec 2024
MIL78
BAY79
05 Jan 2024
MIL76
BAY62
24 Mar 2023
MIL99
BAY74
29 Mar 2022
MIL84
BAY77
04 May 2021
MIL92
BAY89
22 Apr 2021
MIL80
BAY69
20 Apr 2021
MIL79
BAY78
21 Jan 2021
MIL75
BAY51
19 Dec 2018
MIL78
BAY80
03 Dec 2014
MIL83
BAY81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Brescia
#1
L
72-75
72
75
-3
no box
H15/02
Italian Cup
Panathinaikos
#15
W
78-76
78
76
+2
74avg 74
H23/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
83-62
83
62
+21
80avg 74
H03/03
Euroleague
Scafati
#11
W
89-80
89
80
+9
92avg 74
H05/03
Lega A
Valencia
#13
W
88-84
88
84
+4
88avg 74
A07/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
W
76-62
76
62
+14
72avg 74
H09/03
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
98-79
98
79
+19
178avg 74
A12/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
87-91
87
91
-4
82avg 74
A16/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
69-75
69
75
-6
66avg 74
H19/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
W
82-75
82
75
+7
81avg 74
A21/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
10-25
26-11
17-19
20-21
20-18
24-21
14-16
20-17
15-15
26-14
22-16
26-21
26-18
25-12
12-29
17-21
22-21
26-13
23-29
13-19
17-10
19-17
27-16
29-15
23-26
27-17
19-21
23-24
17-18
26-25
21-24
15-26
21-23
19-8
14-18
23-18
14-17
24-17
21-23
158.1Avg total
82.2Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)73.876.8150.6-2.945%
Season at home (15)73.874.1147.9-0.347%
Season away (14)73.979.6153.4-5.743%
Last 10 (10)82.275.9158.1+6.370%
Last 5 (5)82.476.4158.8+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.176.0155.1+3.157%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.976.7154.6+1.264%
vs Weaker (11)80.874.6155.5+6.264%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H18/02
German Cup
Oldenburg
#2
W
90-78
90
78
+12
no box
H19/02
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
82-90
82
90
-8
70avg 73
A23/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
no box
H02/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#2
W
76-71
76
71
+5
70avg 73
A04/03
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
76-72
76
72
+4
62avg 73
H07/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
74-102
74
102
-28
67avg 73
A09/03
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#18
W
80-79
80
79
+1
83avg 73
A12/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#17
L
75-76
75
76
-1
64avg 73
H17/03
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
87-66
87
66
+21
87avg 73
H19/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
19-21
20-13
23-26
24-16
19-19
22-19
25-24
18-18
26-21
23-22
15-29
19-23
22-15
11-18
35-24
16-17
27-26
13-7
20-21
21-19
17-17
15-14
23-22
12-26
23-29
30-26
9-21
17-25
29-27
19-10
15-17
14-20
23-18
21-18
17-20
14-22
23-15
24-14
26-15
160.1Avg total
81.0Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)76.879.6156.4-2.838%
Season at home (15)80.279.4159.6+0.853%
Season away (14)73.179.8152.9-6.621%
Last 10 (10)81.079.1160.1+1.970%
Last 5 (5)78.479.0157.4-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.782.8160.4-5.122%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.776.4155.1+2.256%
vs Weaker (12)84.877.5162.3+7.383%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +8.7+8.7Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +8.7+8.7Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
Olimpia MilanoBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#1
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H15/02
Italian Cup
Panathinaikos
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H23/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H03/03
Euroleague
Scafati
#11
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H05/03
Lega A
Valencia
#13
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A07/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H09/03
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A12/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A16/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H19/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A21/03
Euroleague
78.3Avg total
39.0Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.878.4+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.637.477.0+2.269%-
Last 30 away (14)39.540.479.9-0.929%-
Last 10 (10)39.039.378.3-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.278.2-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.135.472.6+1.771%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.741.180.8-1.445%-
vs Weaker (11)41.938.180.0+3.845%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H18/02
German Cup
Oldenburg
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H19/02
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A23/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H02/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A04/03
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H07/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A09/03
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#18
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A12/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#17
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H17/03
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H19/03
BBL
81.5Avg total
40.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.840.881.6+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.739.380.9+2.460%-
Last 30 away (15)40.042.382.3-2.327%-
Last 10 (10)40.441.181.5-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.682.2-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.441.979.3-4.422%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.638.077.6+1.644%-
vs Weaker (12)44.342.086.3+2.358%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.820.4
60.4%
53.5%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.3
38.3%
36.2%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.715.0
80.2%
78.5%15.0
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.3
49.7%
53.5%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.4
36.0%
36.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.012.3
72.4%
78.5%12.3
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLLWWWWWWL
Bayern
WLWLWWWLWW
#12
League position
#16
+12.1
Net rating
+1.0
105.1
Offensive rating
111.2
93.0
Defensive rating
110.2
59.1%
Effective FG%
51.6%
38.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
17.0%
Turnover %
18.1%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
37.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.3%
3-point %
36.0%
59.3%
Assist %
56.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 111.2Defence93.0 · 110.2Shooting59.1% · 51.6%3-point %38.3% · 36.0%Ball care17.0% · 18.1%Off. rebounds27.3% · 37.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Olimpia Milano wins
3
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
20/10/22Bayern v Olimpia Milano81-83
29/03/22Olimpia Milano v Bayern84-77
26/10/21Bayern v Olimpia Milano83-77
04/05/21Olimpia Milano v Bayern92-89
30/04/21Bayern v Olimpia Milano85-82
28/04/21Bayern v Olimpia Milano85-79
22/04/21Olimpia Milano v Bayern80-69
20/04/21Olimpia Milano v Bayern79-78
21/01/21Olimpia Milano v Bayern75-51
02/10/20Bayern v Olimpia Milano79-81 OT
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/23AFenerbahce82-75
19/03/23HVirtus Bologna69-75
16/03/23AReal Madrid87-91
12/03/23ABrindisi98-79
09/03/23HPartizan76-62
07/03/23AValencia88-84
05/03/23HScafati89-80
03/03/23HOlympiacos83-62
23/02/23HPanathinaikos78-76
15/02/23HBrescia72-75
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/23HSyntainics MBC87-66
17/03/23HAlba Berlin75-76
12/03/23ABayreuth80-79
09/03/23AOlympiacos74-102
07/03/23HLyon-Villeurbanne76-72
04/03/23AAlba Berlin76-71
02/03/23HCrvena zvezda87-80
23/02/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv82-90
19/02/23HOldenburg90-78
18/02/23HAlba Berlin83-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW45%
HomeWWWWW47%
AwayLLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %45%47%43%
Points / game73.873.873.9
Allowed / game76.874.179.6
Point differential-2.9-0.3-5.7
Avg total150.6147.9153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)33% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Bayern
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL38%
HomeWLWWL53%
AwayWLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %38%53%21%
Points / game76.880.273.1
Allowed / game79.679.479.8
Point differential-2.8+0.8-6.6
Avg total156.4159.6152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%13%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos3021970%84.376.2+8.2
2 Real Madrid3021970%85.278.5+6.7
3 Barcelona30201067%81.077.2+3.7
4 Monaco30201067%84.181.5+2.6
5 Fenerbahce30181260%84.280.6+3.6
6 Partizan30171357%84.782.2+2.5
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv30171357%82.681.4+1.2
8 Baskonia30151550%85.583.8+1.7
9 Zalgiris Kaunas30151550%75.577.8-2.3
10 Anadolu Efes30141647%82.581.8+0.7
11 Valencia30141647%82.885.7-2.8
12 Olimpia Milano29131645%73.876.8-2.9
13 Crvena zvezda30131743%76.078.2-2.2
14 Virtus Bologna30131743%78.381.8-3.5
15 Bayern29111838%76.879.6-2.8
16 Panathinaikos30102033%79.182.8-3.8
17 Alba Berlin3092130%80.184.9-4.8
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne3082227%74.780.7-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2524232799
Bayern828182074
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