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Brescia vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 83-74
11-21 26-14 23-15 23-24
Position#8
Record8-14
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game82.6
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#1
Record17-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game73.0
ItalyLega ARound 23
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Brescia v Olimpia Milano
31 May 2026
BRE85
MIL79
29 May 2026
BRE72
MIL88
05 Nov 2025
BRE98
MIL92
28 Sep 2025
BRE76
MIL90
15 Mar 2025
BRE73
MIL79
15 Feb 2025
BRE69
MIL74
30 May 2024
BRE86
MIL96
30 Dec 2023
BRE72
MIL64
26 Mar 2023
BRE83
MIL74
20 Mar 2022
BRE82
MIL74
14 Mar 2021
BRE92
MIL99
07 Sep 2020
BRE79
MIL91
19 Jan 2020
BRE78
MIL72
20 Apr 2019
BRE92
MIL86
30 May 2018
BRE70
MIL76
28 May 2018
BRE74
MIL80
22 Apr 2018
BRE88
MIL85
23 Oct 2016
BRE80
MIL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
L
80-93
80
93
-13
71avg 74
H12/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
A15/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#3
W
74-57
74
57
+17
no box
H18/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
84-76
84
76
+8
no box
A19/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#7
L
76-83
76
83
-7
64avg 74
A05/03
Lega A
Venezia
#10
L
64-90
64
90
-26
49avg 74
A08/03
Eurocup
Trieste
#15
W
95-59
95
59
+36
no box
H12/03
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#9
L
65-74
65
74
-9
56avg 74
H15/03
Eurocup
Pesaro
#10
L
79-88
79
88
-9
68avg 74
A18/03
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
84-82
84
82
+2
no box
H21/03
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
19-21
22-20
22-27
20-19
25-10
11-26
19-17
14-16
22-6
15-14
23-21
17-16
23-14
21-21
23-25
18-19
24-17
18-21
16-26
21-25
13-22
14-28
16-15
26-20
27-14
21-17
21-8
17-18
12-20
19-14
17-22
22-18
15-17
22-24
20-29
24-16
28-20
17-21
15-25
155.0Avg total
77.6Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)83.282.6165.8+0.536%
Season at home (11)84.979.9164.8+5.055%
Season away (11)81.585.4166.8-3.918%
Last 10 (10)77.677.4155.0+0.250%
Last 5 (5)77.478.6156.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)79.085.0164.0-6.020%
vs Similar (15)77.180.6157.7-3.533%
vs Weaker (9)85.676.0161.6+9.667%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#15
W
78-76
78
76
+2
74avg 74
H23/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
83-62
83
62
+21
80avg 74
H03/03
Euroleague
Scafati
#11
W
89-80
89
80
+9
92avg 74
H05/03
Lega A
Valencia
#13
W
88-84
88
84
+4
88avg 74
A07/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
W
76-62
76
62
+14
72avg 74
H09/03
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
98-79
98
79
+19
178avg 74
A12/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
87-91
87
91
-4
82avg 74
A16/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
69-75
69
75
-6
66avg 74
H19/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
W
82-75
82
75
+7
81avg 74
A21/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
W
99-74
99
74
+25
102avg 74
H24/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
20-18
24-21
14-16
20-17
15-15
26-14
22-16
26-21
26-18
25-12
12-29
17-21
22-21
26-13
23-29
13-19
17-10
19-17
27-16
29-15
23-26
27-17
19-21
23-24
17-18
26-25
21-24
15-26
21-23
19-8
14-18
23-18
14-17
24-17
21-23
25-8
24-28
23-18
27-20
160.7Avg total
84.9Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.473.0155.4+9.577%
Season at home (10)82.972.4155.3+10.590%
Season away (12)82.073.4155.4+8.667%
Last 10 (10)84.975.8160.7+9.180%
Last 5 (5)87.078.8165.8+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.575.8156.3+4.767%
vs Similar (12)79.776.5156.2+3.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)80.874.6155.5+6.264%
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +7.7+7.7Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +7.7+7.7Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
BresciaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H12/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A15/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#3
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H18/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A19/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A05/03
Lega A
Venezia
#10
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A08/03
Eurocup
Trieste
#15
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H12/03
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#9
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H15/03
Eurocup
Pesaro
#10
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A18/03
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#19
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H21/03
Eurocup
75.7Avg total
40.4Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.179.5+1.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.138.878.9+1.367%-
Last 30 away (15)40.639.580.1+1.167%-
Last 10 (10)40.435.375.7+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.079.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.242.282.4-2.060%-
vs Similar (15)38.541.079.5-2.553%-
vs Weaker (9)43.035.478.4+7.689%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H23/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H03/03
Euroleague
Scafati
#11
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H05/03
Lega A
Valencia
#13
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A07/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H09/03
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A12/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A16/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H19/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A21/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H24/03
Euroleague
79.4Avg total
41.0Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.938.978.8+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.237.677.8+2.669%-
Last 30 away (14)39.540.479.9-0.929%-
Last 10 (10)41.038.479.4+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.683.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.736.072.7+0.767%-
vs Similar (12)40.540.781.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.938.180.0+3.845%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.714.7
46.4%
51.3%29.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.38.2
36.8%
36.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.917.3
82.8%
76.1%17.3
They take 54.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.020.3
61.5%
51.3%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.6
39.3%
36.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.415.7
80.9%
76.1%15.7
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WLLWLLWWWL
Olimpia Milano
WWLLWWWWWW
#8
League position
#1
-4.5
Net rating
+14.3
111.5
Offensive rating
107.7
116.0
Defensive rating
93.4
50.0%
Effective FG%
60.5%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
38.2%
14.3%
Turnover %
16.9%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.8%
3-point %
39.3%
62.9%
Assist %
57.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 107.7Defence116.0 · 93.4Shooting50.0% · 60.5%3-point %36.8% · 39.3%Ball care14.3% · 16.9%Off. rebounds25.6% · 28.7%Free throws0.39 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Brescia   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Brescia wins
7
Olimpia Milano wins
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/23HCedevita Olimpija84-82
18/03/23APesaro79-88
15/03/23HLietkabelis65-74
12/03/23HTrieste95-59
08/03/23AVenezia64-90
05/03/23ATrento76-83
19/02/23AVirtus Bologna84-76
18/02/23HPesaro74-57
15/02/23AOlimpia Milano75-72
12/02/23HSassari80-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/23HBayern99-74
21/03/23AFenerbahce82-75
19/03/23HVirtus Bologna69-75
16/03/23AReal Madrid87-91
12/03/23ABrindisi98-79
09/03/23HPartizan76-62
07/03/23AValencia88-84
05/03/23HScafati89-80
03/03/23HOlympiacos83-62
23/02/23HPanathinaikos78-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL36%
HomeWLLLW55%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %36%55%18%
Points / game83.284.981.5
Allowed / game82.679.985.4
Point differential+0.5+5.0-3.9
Avg total165.8164.8166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)40% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %14%9%18%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL77%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %77%90%67%
Points / game82.482.982.0
Allowed / game73.072.473.4
Point differential+9.5+10.5+8.6
Avg total155.4155.3155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2218482%83.876.7+7.1
2 Olimpia Milano2217577%82.473.0+9.5
3 Tortona2216673%81.976.7+5.1
4 Sassari2213959%86.680.5+6.0
5 Brindisi23131057%83.582.5+1.0
6 Varese22121055%91.691.4+0.2
7 Pesaro22121055%86.086.3-0.3
8 Venezia23111248%82.280.2+2.0
9 Trento23111248%75.177.4-2.3
10 Treviso23101343%80.785.8-5.1
11 Trieste2391439%78.282.9-4.7
12 Brescia2281436%83.282.6+0.5
13 Scafati2381535%78.179.5-1.4
14 Basket Napoli2381535%77.784.5-6.8
15 Verona2271532%78.486.3-7.9
16 Reggiana2371630%75.177.3-2.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia1126232383
Olimpia Milano2114152474
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