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Olimpia Milano vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 102-70
19-22 31-9 30-27 22-12
Position#1
Record17-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Position#10
Record12-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game86.2
ItalyLega ARound 25
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Pesaro
29 Oct 2023
MIL82
PES90
15 May 2023
MIL86
PES57
13 May 2023
MIL94
PES68
09 Apr 2023
MIL102
PES70
13 Feb 2022
MIL91
PES57
14 Feb 2021
MIL87
PES59
03 Jan 2021
MIL97
PES93
05 Apr 2020
MIL v PES
upcoming
10 Feb 2019
MIL111
PES74
29 Apr 2018
MIL70
PES75
02 Jan 2017
MIL88
PES84
17 Apr 2016
MIL82
PES78
30 Nov 2014
MIL96
PES61
31 Mar 2014
MIL95
PES64
06 Apr 2013
MIL93
PES65
31 May 2012
MIL84
PES68
29 May 2012
MIL84
PES75
29 Jan 2012
MIL81
PES70
16 Jan 2011
MIL94
PES84
29 Nov 2009
MIL89
PES86
25 Jan 2009
MIL91
PES81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
W
98-79
98
79
+19
178avg 73
A12/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
87-91
87
91
-4
82avg 73
A16/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
69-75
69
75
-6
66avg 73
H19/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
W
82-75
82
75
+7
81avg 73
A21/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
W
99-74
99
74
+25
102avg 73
H24/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#8
L
74-83
74
83
-9
67avg 73
A26/03
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
69-89
69
89
-20
69avg 73
A28/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
66-85
66
85
-19
55avg 73
A30/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
L
73-76
73
76
-3
61avg 73
H02/04
Lega A
Barcelona
#3
W
84-76
84
76
+8
85avg 73
H07/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-15
23-26
27-17
19-21
23-24
17-18
26-25
21-24
15-26
21-23
19-8
14-18
23-18
14-17
24-17
21-23
25-8
24-28
23-18
27-20
21-11
14-26
15-23
24-23
16-22
16-25
16-21
21-21
21-29
15-24
20-13
10-19
22-15
18-16
12-27
21-18
18-21
21-15
19-12
26-28
160.4Avg total
80.1Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.773.5155.2+8.271%
Season at home (11)82.072.7154.7+9.382%
Season away (13)81.474.2155.5+7.262%
Last 10 (10)80.180.3160.4-0.240%
Last 5 (5)73.281.8155.0-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.078.3156.3-0.356%
vs Similar (9)79.677.9157.4+1.756%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)78.674.5153.1+4.255%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
L
74-110
74
110
-36
60avg 73
A29/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
85-74
85
74
+11
74avg 73
H05/02
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
77-93
77
93
-16
65avg 73
A12/02
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
84-80
84
80
+4
no box
H15/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#1
L
57-74
57
74
-17
no box
A18/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#9
L
70-100
70
100
-30
50avg 73
H05/03
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
99-110
99
110
-11
92avg 73
A11/03
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
88-79
88
79
+9
88avg 73
H18/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
76-88
76
88
-12
67avg 73
A26/03
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
70-84
70
84
-14
64avg 73
H02/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
15-32
19-28
19-21
24-15
15-21
18-19
28-19
7-28
30-20
23-29
17-16
29-12
15-23
23-29
17-16
16-14
6-22
14-15
21-23
15-15
10-26
24-27
21-32
23-34
36-28
21-26
19-22
18-22
17-15
24-22
29-20
24-32
18-13
12-23
22-20
16-20
17-24
19-20
18-20
167.2Avg total
78.0Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)84.986.2171.1-1.450%
Season at home (12)84.384.2168.5+0.258%
Season away (12)85.488.3173.8-2.942%
Last 10 (10)78.089.2167.2-11.230%
Last 5 (5)80.692.2172.8-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.986.8165.7-7.833%
vs Similar (11)85.581.2166.6+4.364%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
Olimpia MilanoPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A12/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A16/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H19/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A21/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H24/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A26/03
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A28/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A30/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H02/04
Lega A
Barcelona
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H07/04
Euroleague
80.3Avg total
39.6Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.478.3-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.736.575.2+2.373%-
Last 30 away (15)39.042.381.3-3.320%-
Last 10 (10)39.640.780.3-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)36.440.877.2-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.339.175.4-2.856%-
vs Similar (9)39.941.080.9-1.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.037.878.8+3.245%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
L
36-61
36
61
-25
A29/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H05/02
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A12/02
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H15/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#1
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A18/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#9
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H05/03
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A11/03
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H18/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A26/03
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H02/04
Lega A
81.7Avg total
37.2Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.381.7-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.939.180.1+1.864%-
Last 30 away (16)39.943.283.1-3.438%-
Last 10 (10)37.244.581.7-7.320%-
Last 5 (5)38.845.884.6-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.742.682.3-2.933%-
vs Similar (11)41.139.880.9+1.373%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.316.9
54.0%
51.3%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.09.7
40.4%
36.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.817.0
78.0%
76.1%17.0
They take 55.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.416.6
48.3%
51.3%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.4
35.9%
36.4%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.514.1
72.3%
76.1%14.1
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLLLLWWLLW
Pesaro
LLWLLLWLWL
#1
League position
#10
+1.5
Net rating
-11.2
101.7
Offensive rating
105.9
100.2
Defensive rating
117.1
56.9%
Effective FG%
50.8%
39.6%
Opp. effective FG%
59.4%
15.8%
Turnover %
16.6%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.31
40.4%
3-point %
35.9%
60.9%
Assist %
59.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 105.9Defence100.2 · 117.1Shooting56.9% · 50.8%3-point %40.4% · 35.9%Ball care15.8% · 16.6%Off. rebounds21.6% · 25.9%Free throws0.39 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Olimpia Milano wins
2
Pesaro wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/23HBarcelona84-76
02/04/23HVenezia73-76
30/03/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv66-85
28/03/23AAnadolu Efes69-89
26/03/23ABrescia74-83
24/03/23HBayern99-74
21/03/23AFenerbahce82-75
19/03/23HVirtus Bologna69-75
16/03/23AReal Madrid87-91
12/03/23ABrindisi98-79
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/23HTrento70-84
26/03/23AVirtus Bologna76-88
18/03/23HBrescia88-79
11/03/23AVarese99-110
05/03/23HBrindisi70-100
18/02/23ABrescia57-74
15/02/23HVarese84-80
12/02/23AVenezia77-93
05/02/23HReggiana85-74
29/01/23ASassari74-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL71%
HomeWWWLL82%
AwayLWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %71%82%62%
Points / game81.782.081.4
Allowed / game73.572.774.2
Point differential+8.2+9.3+7.2
Avg total155.2154.7155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%55%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Pesaro
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL50%
HomeWWLWL58%
AwayWLLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %50%58%42%
Points / game84.984.385.4
Allowed / game86.284.288.3
Point differential-1.4+0.2-2.9
Avg total171.1168.5173.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%17%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2519676%83.677.3+6.3
2 Olimpia Milano2417771%81.773.5+8.2
3 Tortona2517868%81.477.5+3.8
4 Sassari25151060%85.880.0+5.8
5 Varese25141156%91.791.4+0.3
6 Brindisi24131154%83.282.5+0.8
7 Venezia25131252%82.279.9+2.3
8 Trento25131252%75.976.7-0.8
9 Pesaro24121250%84.986.2-1.4
10 Brescia25111444%82.981.6+1.3
11 Trieste25101540%77.982.8-4.9
12 Treviso25101540%80.886.1-5.3
13 Reggiana2591636%75.677.1-1.5
14 Basket Napoli2591636%77.883.8-6.1
15 Scafati2481633%77.879.5-1.7
16 Verona2581732%79.486.4-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano19313022102
Pesaro229271270
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