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Virginia vs Duke Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 62-80
29-43 33-37
Position#230
Record13-12
FormWLWWW
Points / game64.6
Allowed / game64.9
Virginia
USA
vs
Duke 🏆
USA
Position#7
Record22-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game60.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Virginia v Duke
17 Feb 2025
VIRG62
DUKE80
11 Mar 2023
VIRG49
DUKE59
11 Feb 2023
VIRG69
DUKE62
23 Feb 2022
VIRG61
DUKE65
29 Feb 2020
VIRG52
DUKE50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#127
L
65-88
65
88
-23
A11/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H16/01
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H22/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
59-74
59
74
-15
H25/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A30/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H01/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
73-57
73
57
+16
A04/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
75-61
75
61
+14
H08/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-40
35-48
25-27
27-27
28-39
39-42
41-23
33-33
27-39
32-35
40-29
42-42
31-38
43-37
34-19
39-38
41-36
34-25
40-33
33-37
138.1Avg total
69.4Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)64.664.9129.5-0.452%
Season at home (15)64.160.5124.5+3.660%
Season away (10)65.371.6136.9-6.340%
Last 10 (10)69.468.7138.1+0.750%
Last 5 (5)75.466.8142.2+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)57.968.9126.8-10.921%
vs Similar (13)67.762.8130.5+4.969%
vs Weaker (3)72.057.7129.7+14.3100%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#241
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H11/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
89-54
89
54
+35
H15/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
88-63
88
63
+25
A19/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A25/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H28/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H01/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
83-54
83
54
+29
A06/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A08/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
78-57
78
57
+21
H13/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
106-70
106
70
+36
H15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
44-36
42-42
50-26
39-28
40-34
48-29
35-22
28-34
33-37
41-27
47-25
40-45
37-23
46-31
41-35
30-42
38-23
40-34
49-34
57-36
146.8Avg total
82.5Scored
64.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.060.8141.8+20.288%
Season at home (17)82.660.6143.2+21.988%
Season away (8)77.661.0138.6+16.688%
Last 10 (10)82.564.3146.8+18.290%
Last 5 (5)85.065.6150.6+19.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)70.351.0121.3+19.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)79.961.8141.7+18.181%
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +11.9+11.92nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +6.3+6.3
-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +11.9+11.92nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +6.3+6.3
VirginiaDuke
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#127
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A11/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H16/01
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H22/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H25/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A30/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H01/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
34-19
34
19
+15
A04/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H08/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A15/02
NCAA
66.0Avg total
33.7Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.430.160.6+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (19)30.329.159.4+1.347%-
Last 30 away (11)30.632.062.6-1.436%-
Last 10 (10)33.732.366.0+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.231.068.2+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)27.330.557.8-3.229%-
vs Similar (13)32.431.463.8+1.046%-
vs Weaker (3)36.723.059.7+13.7100%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#241
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H11/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H15/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A19/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
35-22
35
22
+13
A25/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H28/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H01/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
37-23
37
23
+14
A06/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A08/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H13/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H15/02
NCAA
70.9Avg total
41.4Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.428.466.9+10.087%-
Last 30 at home (21)39.427.967.3+11.686%-
Last 30 away (9)36.129.865.9+6.389%-
Last 10 (10)41.429.570.9+11.990%-
Last 5 (5)42.428.070.4+14.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)34.725.360.0+9.3100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)38.928.867.6+10.185%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Virginia wins
4
Duke wins
DateGameScore
02/03/24Duke v Virginia73-48
12/03/23Virginia v Duke49-59
11/02/23Virginia v Duke69-62 OT
24/02/22Virginia v Duke61-65
08/02/22Duke v Virginia68-69
21/02/21Duke v Virginia66-65
29/02/20Virginia v Duke52-50
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25AVirginia Tech73-70
08/02/25HGeorgia Tech75-61
04/02/25APittsburgh73-57
01/02/25HVirginia Tech74-75
30/01/25AMiami (FL)82-71
25/01/25HNotre Dame59-74
22/01/25HBoston College74-56
18/01/25ALouisville67-81
16/01/25HSMU Mustangs52-54
11/01/25AStanford65-88
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25HStanford106-70
13/02/25HCalifornia78-57
08/02/25AClemson71-77
06/02/25ASyracuse83-54
01/02/25HNorth Carolina87-70
28/01/25HNC State74-64
25/01/25AWake Forest63-56
19/01/25ABoston College88-63
15/01/25HMiami (FL)89-54
11/01/25HNotre Dame86-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW52%
HomeLWLLW60%
AwayLLWWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %52%60%40%
Points / game64.664.165.3
Allowed / game64.960.571.6
Point differential-0.4+3.6-6.3
Avg total129.5124.5136.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%33%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)40% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Duke
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWWWL88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25178
Win %88%88%88%
Points / game81.082.677.6
Allowed / game60.860.661.0
Point differential+20.2+21.9+16.6
Avg total141.8143.2138.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+76%76%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2522388%81.060.8+20.2
2 Clemson2621581%77.466.4+11.0
3 Louisville2620677%79.569.0+10.5
4 SMU Mustangs2519676%82.171.4+10.8
5 Wake Forest2619773%70.666.7+3.9
6 Stanford26161062%74.671.8+2.7
7 Pittsburgh25151060%77.271.1+6.2
8 Florida State25151060%75.370.9+4.4
9 North Carolina26151158%80.376.8+3.5
10 Virginia25131252%64.664.9-0.4
11 Georgia Tech26131350%74.673.5+1.1
12 California26121446%74.775.7-1.0
13 Notre Dame25111444%73.270.9+2.3
14 Virginia Tech25111444%70.072.6-2.6
15 Syracuse26111542%74.978.6-3.7
16 NC State25101540%69.468.6+0.8
17 Boston College25101540%71.777.1-5.4
18 Miami (FL)2561924%75.279.9-4.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia293362
Duke433780
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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