Varese vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	95.3	106.7	202.0	-11.3	17%
Season at home (3)	99.0	103.0	202.0	-4.0	33%
Season away (3)	91.7	110.3	202.0	-18.7	0%
Last 10 (10)	96.5	100.8	197.3	-4.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	95.6	104.4	200.0	-8.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	85.8	96.4	182.2	-10.6	17%
vs Similar (16)	93.4	87.8	181.1	+5.6	69%
vs Weaker (2)	84.0	80.5	164.5	+3.5	50%

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus Bologna Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBologna

Date

Competition

Venezia

76-68

66avg 79

A12/10

Lega A

Zalgiris Kaunas

#13

68-71

-3

57avg 79

H15/10

Euroleague

Monaco

85-101

101

-16

79avg 79

A18/10

Euroleague

Partizan

#12

70-69

61avg 79

A23/10

Euroleague

Cremona

#13

74-69

70avg 79

A26/10

Lega A

Bayern

84-87

-3

72avg 79

H29/10

Euroleague

Olimpia Milano

#11

90-99

-9

87avg 79

A31/10

Euroleague

Treviso

#11

104-97

104

105avg 79

H03/11

Lega A

Tortona

85-81

88avg 79

H06/11

Lega A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#16

84-77

80avg 79

H08/11

Euroleague

22-14

21-17

17-23

16-14

15-16

15-28

22-16

16-11

24-20

23-26

17-25

21-30

15-20

17-17

25-24

13-8

15-20

17-17

23-17

19-15

25-19

8-21

27-28

24-19

14-21

21-23

32-22

23-33

27-27

21-27

36-21

20-22

12-18

32-22

25-18

16-23

25-17

20-22

15-16

24-22

163.9Avg total

82.0Scored

81.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	85.3	78.5	163.8	+6.8	100%
Season at home (3)	91.0	82.0	173.0	+9.0	100%
Season away (3)	79.7	75.0	154.7	+4.7	100%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	81.9	163.9	+0.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	89.4	88.2	177.6	+1.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	74.0	82.0	156.0	-8.0	33%
vs Similar (11)	81.3	83.9	165.2	-2.6	27%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	87.0	77.5	164.5	+9.5	80%

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VareseVirtus Bologna

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	23.3	45.8	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.9	23.2	47.1	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	23.4	44.7	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.0	25.4	50.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	24.6	50.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	22.4	26.2	48.7	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.9	21.5	43.4	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	28.0	20.0	48.0	+8.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	19.9	42.2	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	17.5	39.9	+4.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	22.2	44.5	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.0	18.3	38.3	+1.7	67%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.8	21.4	43.2	+0.5	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	22.7	19.3	42.1	+3.4	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	22.8	46.3	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.2	22.6	46.8	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.9	22.9	45.9	+0.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.0	24.7	51.7	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	26.0	51.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	23.9	23.2	47.2	+0.7	42%	-
vs Similar (16)	24.2	22.2	46.4	+2.1	69%	-
vs Weaker (2)	15.5	24.5	40.0	-9.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.5	39.8	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	19.5	39.6	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	19.4	40.1	+1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	22.0	41.5	-2.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	23.0	43.4	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.3	21.3	39.7	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.6	19.5	37.1	-1.8	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	22.6	19.2	41.8	+3.4	53%	-

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Scafati

#14

47-50

-3

A14/04

Lega A

Sassari

64-41

+23

A21/04

Lega A

Treviso

#13

49-58

-9

H28/04

Lega A

Pistoia

#10

54-42

+12

A05/05

Lega A

Brescia

52-57

-5

A29/09

Lega A

Tortona

60-51

H06/10

Lega A

Trento

58-50

A13/10

Lega A

Trapani

57-52

H19/10

Lega A

Pistoia

#16

47-50

-3

H27/10

Lega A

Trieste

32-50

-18

A03/11

Lega A

102.1Avg total

52.0Scored

50.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.1	46.1	92.1	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	48.1	45.8	93.9	+2.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.2	46.3	90.6	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	52.0	50.1	102.1	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.8	50.6	101.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	46.3	49.5	95.8	-3.2	50%	-
vs Similar (16)	46.2	43.7	89.9	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	43.5	44.5	88.0	-1.0	50%	-

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia

43-31

+12

A12/10

Lega A

Zalgiris Kaunas

#13

30-44

-14

H15/10

Euroleague

Monaco

47-46

A18/10

Euroleague

Partizan

#12

32-37

-5

A23/10

Euroleague

Cremona

#13

32-37

-5

A26/10

Lega A

Bayern

33-40

-7

H29/10

Euroleague

Olimpia Milano

#11

35-44

-9

A31/10

Euroleague

Treviso

#11

48-54

-6

H03/11

Lega A

Tortona

44-40

H06/11

Lega A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#16

45-39

H08/11

Euroleague

80.1Avg total

38.9Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	39.3	82.0	+3.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	37.1	79.5	+5.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.9	41.6	84.5	+1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	41.2	80.1	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	43.4	84.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.3	39.7	78.0	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.5	40.8	80.3	-1.4	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	45.3	38.5	83.9	+6.8	67%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	22.6	44.8	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	21.5	43.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.8	23.6	46.4	-0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	24.6	46.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	25.0	45.0	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.8	25.2	42.9	-7.4	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	25.8	21.1	46.8	+4.7	81%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.7	41.0	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	19.5	41.1	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	22.0	40.9	-3.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	21.0	44.9	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	21.0	48.0	+6.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.3	21.3	40.7	-2.0	67%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.5	21.0	41.5	-0.5	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.5	19.4	39.9	+1.1	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	22.0	43.5	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	20.9	43.6	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.5	23.0	43.5	-2.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	26.1	48.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	28.8	53.6	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	21.8	21.8	43.5	+0.0	42%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.4	23.0	44.4	-1.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	16.0	36.5	+4.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.4	39.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	19.1	38.7	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	19.7	39.5	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.7	38.9	-0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	23.8	45.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	21.0	37.3	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.5	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.7	44.7	88.3	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.1	42.4	86.6	+1.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.2	46.6	89.9	-3.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	50.7	95.2	-6.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	53.8	98.6	-9.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	39.5	46.9	86.4	-7.4	17%	-
vs Similar (16)	47.2	44.1	91.2	+3.1	69%	-
vs Weaker (2)	40.5	36.0	76.5	+4.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	40.1	80.1	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.3	38.5	79.8	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	41.7	80.5	-3.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	40.7	83.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	44.8	93.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	35.7	42.3	78.0	-6.7	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	40.1	40.2	80.3	-0.1	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	40.5	38.8	79.3	+1.7	53%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 95.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.7	20.4	58.8%	52.9%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.9	11.5	35.0%	35.8%	34.5
🏀 Free throws	23.9	20.1	84.1%	76.8%	20.1

They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 81.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀23%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 23% of the points

League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.6	19.8	54.1%	52.9%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.0	7.6	33.0%	35.8%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	22.9	18.8	82.1%	76.8%	18.8

They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.5	25.9	54.5%	52.9%	51.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	11.1	39.6%	35.8%	33.3
🏀 Free throws	19.0	15.0	78.9%	76.8%	15.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.7	20.2	52.2%	52.9%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.6	8.9	34.8%	35.8%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	18.2	14.0	76.9%	76.8%	14.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.4	17.5	54.1%	52.9%	35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.8	12.2	37.3%	35.8%	36.7
🏀 Free throws	21.5	17.0	79.1%	76.8%	17.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	20.0	55.0%	52.9%	39.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.3	7.9	33.9%	35.8%	23.7
🏀 Free throws	24.0	19.1	79.6%	76.8%	19.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.1	24.0	52.0%	52.9%	47.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.1	9.5	35.0%	35.8%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	17.9	13.5	75.4%	76.8%	13.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.1	18.8	50.8%	52.9%	37.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	9.1	33.5%	35.8%	27.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.1	75.6%	76.8%	14.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Varese

LWLLLLWLWL

Virtus Bologna

WWWLLWWLLW

#12

League position

-5.8

Net rating

+0.1

118.0

Offensive rating

111.3

123.8

Defensive rating

111.2

55.7%

Effective FG%

52.3%

56.4%

Opp. effective FG%

52.2%

14.0%

Turnover %

18.1%

23.4%

Off. rebound %

31.9%

0.35

Free-throw rate

0.38

35.0%

3-point %

33.0%

53.6%

Assist %

63.5%

30%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Varese ■ Virtus Bologna

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Varese wins

Virtus Bologna wins

Date	Game	Score
21/01/24	Varese v Virtus Bologna	69-81
08/10/23	Virtus Bologna v Varese	115-84
07/05/23	Virtus Bologna v Varese	98-82
04/12/22	Varese v Virtus Bologna	100-108
06/02/22	Varese v Virtus Bologna	80-81
03/10/21	Virtus Bologna v Varese	97-56
27/02/21	Virtus Bologna v Varese	85-76
24/10/20	Varese v Virtus Bologna	73-85
19/10/19	Virtus Bologna v Varese	87-80
12/05/19	Virtus Bologna v Varese	84-72

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/11/24	A	Trieste	81-107
27/10/24	H	Pistoia	102-95
19/10/24	H	Trapani	100-109
13/10/24	A	Trento	100-106
06/10/24	H	Tortona	95-105
29/09/24	A	Brescia	94-118
05/05/24	A	Pistoia	96-78
28/04/24	H	Treviso	95-100
21/04/24	A	Sassari	112-88
14/04/24	A	Scafati	90-102

Virtus Bolognalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/24	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	84-77
06/11/24	H	Tortona	85-81
03/11/24	H	Treviso	104-97
31/10/24	A	Olimpia Milano	90-99
29/10/24	H	Bayern	84-87
26/10/24	A	Cremona	74-69
23/10/24	A	Partizan	70-69
18/10/24	A	Monaco	85-101
15/10/24	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	68-71
12/10/24	A	Venezia	76-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese

Lega A 2024-25

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	17%
Home	LLW	33%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	17%	33%	0%
Points / game	95.3	99.0	91.7
Allowed / game	106.7	103.0	110.3
Point differential	-11.3	-4.0	-18.7
Avg total	202.0	202.0	202.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Virtus Bologna

Lega A 2024-25

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	85.3	91.0	79.7
Allowed / game	78.5	82.0	75.0
Point differential	+6.8	+9.0	+4.7
Avg total	163.8	173.0	154.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Trento	7	7	0	100%	87.7	75.4	+12.3
2	Virtus Bologna	6	6	0	100%	85.3	78.5	+6.8
3	Trapani	7	5	2	71%	93.3	84.3	+9.0
4	Brescia	7	5	2	71%	92.3	87.7	+4.6
5	Trieste	7	5	2	71%	88.7	84.6	+4.1
6	Olimpia Milano	7	5	2	71%	82.0	81.9	+0.1
7	Tortona	7	4	3	57%	83.6	80.7	+2.9
8	Reggiana	7	4	3	57%	80.3	78.6	+1.7
9	Pistoia	6	3	3	50%	75.7	80.0	-4.3
10	Venezia	7	3	4	43%	74.9	75.4	-0.6
11	Treviso	7	2	5	29%	83.6	87.4	-3.9
12	Scafati	7	2	5	29%	83.4	88.7	-5.3
13	Sassari	6	1	5	17%	81.8	87.0	-5.2
14	Varese	6	1	5	17%	95.3	106.7	-11.3
15	Cremona	7	1	6	14%	75.6	80.4	-4.9
16	Basket Napoli	7	0	7	0%	81.3	89.4	-8.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Varese	24	27	25	28	104
Virtus Bologna	22	22	30	21	95

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Varese vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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