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Virtus Roma vs Venezia Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 17 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 18:30
Postponed
Position#15
Record7-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Position#7
Record11-10
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game75.3
ItalyLega ARound 32
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Virtus Roma v Venezia
08 Nov 2020
VRO71
VEN89
17 Apr 2020
VRO v VEN
upcoming
01 Feb 2015
VRO62
VEN72
05 Jan 2014
VRO87
VEN92
16 Mar 2013
VRO74
VEN69
30 Dec 2011
VRO89
VEN80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A14/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
53-83
53
83
-30
H22/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
68-97
68
97
-29
H12/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
A19/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
92-103
92
103
-11
A26/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H02/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
92-95
92
95
-3
A08/02
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H07/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-30
17-22
13-15
28-15
15-25
13-22
12-16
13-20
17-10
26-30
21-18
13-21
19-31
22-27
25-16
22-22
14-22
15-28
21-21
18-26
15-20
20-12
23-23
18-21
22-32
29-26
24-22
17-23
21-21
27-15
14-25
18-20
18-22
23-19
16-28
35-26
19-24
16-30
27-19
26-20
170.4Avg total
80.7Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.585.5164.0-7.032%
Season at home (11)76.783.2159.9-6.536%
Season away (11)80.387.7168.0-7.527%
Last 10 (10)80.789.7170.4-9.010%
Last 5 (5)86.692.0178.6-5.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.587.8166.3-9.420%
vs Similar (5)75.275.2150.4+0.040%
vs Weaker (5)88.275.4163.6+12.8100%
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H15/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
104-85
104
85
+19
A22/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H26/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
98-92
98
92
+6
H29/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A04/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A12/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H18/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
71-83
71
83
-12
H25/01
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A02/02
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
22-21
13-18
16-12
30-29
28-23
21-18
25-15
10-17
30-26
18-21
21-13
28-28
26-21
20-18
24-25
14-10
18-15
15-16
17-29
17-23
23-8
21-17
20-24
21-17
15-20
20-14
24-19
21-21
18-23
16-19
16-20
21-22
20-17
16-21
20-21
25-23
13-14
15-14
26-22
157.7Avg total
80.3Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.075.3153.3+2.752%
Season at home (11)75.669.4145.0+6.382%
Season away (10)80.681.9162.5-1.320%
Last 10 (10)80.377.4157.7+2.960%
Last 5 (5)77.675.8153.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.070.5135.5-5.525%
vs Similar (8)79.081.2160.2-2.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)79.974.7154.7+5.272%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
Virtus RomaVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A14/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H22/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
29-50
29
50
-21
H12/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A19/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A26/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H02/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A08/02
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H07/03
Lega A
86.6Avg total
39.8Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.443.283.6-2.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.741.782.3-1.067%-
Last 30 away (15)40.144.884.9-4.727%-
Last 10 (10)39.846.886.6-7.030%-
Last 5 (5)42.044.286.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)38.546.084.5-7.530%-
vs Similar (5)42.835.478.2+7.480%-
vs Weaker (5)45.639.885.4+5.880%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H15/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A22/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H26/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H29/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A04/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A12/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H18/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H25/01
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A02/02
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H09/02
Lega A
81.7Avg total
41.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.338.677.9+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.536.875.2+1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)40.240.680.9-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.881.7+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.676.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.832.568.2+3.275%-
vs Similar (8)40.643.684.2-3.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)39.537.777.2+1.856%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.524.3
54.6%
52.0%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.96.7
32.1%
35.1%20.1
🏀 Free throws16.511.3
68.5%
73.6%11.3
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.3
50.8%
52.0%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.3
36.7%
35.1%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.712.2
73.1%
73.6%12.2
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Roma
LLLLLLLLLW
Venezia
WLLWWLWWWL
#15
League position
#7
-9.5
Net rating
+4.4
107.4
Offensive rating
113.4
116.9
Defensive rating
109.0
52.5%
Effective FG%
52.7%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
16.9%
Turnover %
17.3%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.1%
3-point %
36.7%
51.6%
Assist %
55.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 113.4Defence116.9 · 109.0Shooting52.5% · 52.7%3-point %32.1% · 36.7%Ball care16.9% · 17.3%Off. rebounds29.2% · 33.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Virtus Roma   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Virtus Roma wins
5
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
26/12/19Venezia v Virtus Roma79-77
01/02/15Virtus Roma v Venezia62-72
19/10/14Venezia v Virtus Roma74-57
04/05/14Venezia v Virtus Roma75-83
05/01/14Virtus Roma v Venezia87-92
16/03/13Virtus Roma v Venezia74-69
18/11/12Venezia v Virtus Roma67-75
22/04/12Venezia v Virtus Roma83-69
30/12/11Virtus Roma v Venezia89-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20HSassari88-93
08/02/20AFortitudo Bologna92-95
02/02/20HPistoia80-81
26/01/20ACremona92-103
19/01/20ABrindisi81-88 OT
12/01/20HVirtus Bologna68-97
29/12/19AReggiana88-96
26/12/19AVenezia77-79
22/12/19HBrescia53-83
14/12/19ATrento88-82
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20HTreviso79-73
02/02/20ACantu77-81
25/01/20HVirtus Bologna71-83
18/01/20HFortitudo Bologna80-70
12/01/20ATrieste81-72
04/01/20ABrescia64-70
29/12/19HPesaro98-92
26/12/19HVirtus Roma79-77
22/12/19AReggiana104-85
15/12/19HOlimpia Milano70-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL32%
HomeWLLLL36%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%36%27%
Points / game78.576.780.3
Allowed / game85.583.287.7
Point differential-7.0-6.5-7.5
Avg total164.0159.9168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Venezia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW52%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayLWLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%82%20%
Points / game78.075.680.6
Allowed / game75.369.481.9
Point differential+2.7+6.3-1.3
Avg total153.3145.0162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)75% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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