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Wake Forest vs Notre Dame Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 22:15
Final 74-71
25-30 49-41
Position#87
Record19-9
FormWLWLL
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game67.9
vs
Position#241
Record12-16
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game72.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Wake Forest v Notre Dame
12 Jan 2027
WAKE v NOTR
upcoming
01 Mar 2025
WAKE74
NOTR71
13 Mar 2024
WAKE72
NOTR59
25 Feb 2023
WAKE66
NOTR58
19 Feb 2022
WAKE79
NOTR74
29 Feb 2020
WAKE84
NOTR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wake Forest winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Notre Dame winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#111
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H22/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
56-63
56
63
-7
H25/01
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A29/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H01/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A06/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A08/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H13/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
77-66
77
66
+11
A15/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A22/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
75-83
75
83
-8
H27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-31
38-35
22-35
34-28
21-45
38-27
34-36
42-38
40-37
39-36
31-29
45-37
35-21
35-51
32-34
45-32
34-40
39-45
33-44
42-39
142.8Avg total
70.8Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)70.967.9138.8+2.968%
Season at home (16)72.265.5137.7+6.781%
Season away (12)69.171.2140.2-2.150%
Last 10 (10)70.872.0142.8-1.250%
Last 5 (5)74.274.4148.6-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)63.470.6134.0-7.129%
vs Similar ◀ (11)70.466.2136.5+4.273%
vs Weaker (11)75.668.4144.0+7.382%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#230
W
74-59
74
59
+15
A25/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H29/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A02/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A05/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
A13/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
60-75
60
75
-15
H17/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
73-97
73
97
-24
H20/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H22/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-27
35-32
37-37
34-31
36-25
21-38
28-29
32-38
33-26
30-39
35-41
45-39
28-35
32-40
25-50
48-47
30-30
46-42
31-41
37-42
144.2Avg total
69.9Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)73.172.3145.4+0.843%
Season at home (16)76.171.6147.8+4.556%
Season away (12)69.173.2142.2-4.125%
Last 10 (10)69.974.3144.2-4.440%
Last 5 (5)74.884.2159.0-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)67.576.2143.6-8.718%
vs Similar ◀ (13)75.170.5145.6+4.554%
vs Weaker (6)78.770.2148.8+8.567%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -4.1-4.11st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: -2.8-2.8
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -4.1-4.11st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: -2.8-2.8
Wake ForestNotre Dame
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#111
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H22/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
22-35
22
35
-13
H25/01
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
21-45
21
45
-24
A29/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H01/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A06/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H13/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A15/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A22/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H27/02
NCAA
66.3Avg total
31.1Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.033.366.2-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.232.466.7+1.850%-
Last 30 away (12)31.134.565.6-3.442%-
Last 10 (10)31.135.266.3-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)33.033.666.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)27.436.964.3-9.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)32.531.964.5+0.636%-
vs Weaker (11)36.632.969.5+3.782%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#230
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A25/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H29/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A02/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A05/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A13/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H17/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
25-50
25
50
-25
H20/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A27/02
NCAA
66.3Avg total
32.2Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.134.569.6+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.334.470.6+1.959%-
Last 30 away (13)33.534.768.2-1.238%-
Last 10 (10)32.234.166.3-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)29.839.469.2-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)30.738.268.9-7.59%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.532.369.8+5.277%-
vs Weaker (6)37.832.570.3+5.367%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Wake Forest wins
4
Notre Dame wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25HVirginia75-83
22/02/25ANC State73-85
15/02/25ASMU Mustangs77-66
13/02/25HFlorida State70-72
08/02/25ACalifornia76-66
06/02/25AStanford79-73
01/02/25HPittsburgh76-74
29/01/25ALouisville59-72
25/01/25HDuke56-63
22/01/25HNorth Carolina67-66
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/25AClemson68-83
22/02/25HPittsburgh76-72
20/02/25HSMU Mustangs73-97
17/02/25HLouisville60-75
13/02/25ABoston College97-94 OT
08/02/25HVirginia Tech63-65
05/02/25AFlorida State60-67
02/02/25AMiami (FL)57-63
29/01/25HGeorgia Tech71-68
25/01/25AVirginia74-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wake Forest
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL68%
HomeWLWLL81%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %68%81%50%
Points / game70.972.269.1
Allowed / game67.965.571.2
Point differential+2.9+6.7-2.1
Avg total138.8137.7140.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%44%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)80% (5)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Notre Dame
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeWLLLW56%
AwayWLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %43%56%25%
Points / game73.176.169.1
Allowed / game72.371.673.2
Point differential+0.8+4.5-4.1
Avg total145.4147.8142.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%31%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)43% (7)50% (2)
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2825389%82.661.0+21.6
2 Clemson2924583%77.466.2+11.2
3 Louisville2822679%79.569.3+10.2
4 SMU Mustangs2921872%81.771.9+9.7
5 Wake Forest2819968%70.967.9+2.9
6 Stanford29191066%74.370.9+3.4
7 North Carolina30191163%81.876.5+5.3
8 Pittsburgh28161257%76.871.2+5.5
9 Florida State28161257%75.872.3+3.5
10 Georgia Tech29151452%74.272.7+1.5
11 Virginia29141548%64.966.6-1.6
12 Virginia Tech29131645%70.172.5-2.4
13 Notre Dame28121643%73.172.3+0.8
14 California28121643%74.275.5-1.3
15 Boston College28121643%70.574.9-4.3
16 Syracuse29121741%75.478.8-3.4
17 NC State29111838%69.470.5-1.1
18 Miami (FL)2962321%74.180.7-6.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Wake Forest254974
Notre Dame304171
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