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Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 118-119
28-30 32-36 26-28 32-25
Position#20
Record37-44
FormLLWLW
Points / game110.5
Allowed / game109.9
vs
Position#29
Record17-64
FormLLLLL
Points / game107.9
Allowed / game120.5
USANBA· Kaseya Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Miami Heat v Washington Wizards
03 Dec 2026
MIA v WAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
MIA152
WAS136
10 Mar 2026
MIA150
WAS129
13 Apr 2025
MIA118
WAS119
03 Mar 2025
MIA106
WAS90
10 Mar 2024
MIA108
WAS110
03 Nov 2023
MIA121
WAS114
25 Nov 2022
MIA110
WAS107
23 Nov 2022
MIA113
WAS105
28 Dec 2021
MIA119
WAS112
18 Nov 2021
MIA112
WAS97
05 Feb 2021
MIA122
WAS95
03 Feb 2021
MIA100
WAS103
22 Jan 2020
MIA134
WAS129
06 Dec 2019
MIA112
WAS103
04 Jan 2019
MIA115
WAS109
10 Nov 2018
MIA110
WAS116
10 Mar 2018
MIA129
WAS102
15 Nov 2017
MIA93
WAS102
12 Apr 2017
MIA110
WAS102
12 Dec 2016
MIA112
WAS101
20 Feb 2016
MIA114
WAS94
07 Dec 2015
MIA103
WAS114
19 Dec 2014
MIA103
WAS105
29 Oct 2014
MIA107
WAS95
10 Mar 2014
MIA99
WAS90
03 Nov 2013
MIA103
WAS93
06 Jan 2013
MIA99
WAS71
15 Dec 2012
MIA102
WAS72
21 Apr 2012
MIA84
WAS86
25 Feb 2011
MIA121
WAS113
29 Nov 2010
MIA105
WAS94
27 Nov 2009
MIA84
WAS94
10 Nov 2009
MIA90
WAS76
28 Jan 2009
MIA93
WAS71
14 Nov 2008
MIA97
WAS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
112-86
112
86
+26
113avg 104
H25/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
122-112
122
112
+10
117avg 104
H27/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
118-95
118
95
+23
116avg 104
A29/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
120-94
120
94
+26
122avg 104
A31/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
124-103
124
103
+21
118avg 104
A02/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
108-110
108
110
-2
96avg 104
H03/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
115-121 OT
115
121
-6
103avg 104
H06/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
117-105
117
105
+12
113avg 104
H07/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
111-119
111
119
-8
101avg 104
A10/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
153-104
153
104
+49
157avg 104
A12/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
29-18
26-30
29-16
22-32
38-23
33-25
29-32
34-29
28-24
34-22
22-20
36-23
22-24
34-28
28-19
29-22
30-23
32-36
33-22
27-22
23-27
35-35
23-26
30-22
27-35
31-24
23-30
29-28
32-25
22-30
34-22
32-27
20-31
32-34
27-27
35-24
36-30
39-18
43-32
224.9Avg total
120.0Scored
104.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (81)110.5109.9220.4+0.646%
Season at home (40)111.5110.0221.5+1.548%
Season away (41)109.5109.9219.4-0.344%
Last 10 (10)120.0104.9224.9+15.170%
Last 5 (5)120.8111.8232.6+9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)103.2111.5214.7-8.49%
vs Similar (12)114.2112.0226.2+2.242%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)119.799.7219.4+20.086%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
119-114
119
114
+5
102avg 97
A26/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
109-162
109
162
-53
87avg 97
H27/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
112-115
112
115
-3
87avg 97
H29/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
94-120
94
120
-26
76avg 97
H31/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
116-111
116
111
+5
110avg 97
H02/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
97-109
97
109
-12
78avg 97
H03/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
90-124
90
124
-34
74avg 97
A06/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
98-104
98
104
-6
86avg 97
A08/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
103-122
103
122
-19
86avg 97
H09/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
89-119
89
119
-30
77avg 97
A12/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
45-29
22-29
30-27
22-29
31-45
30-38
27-42
21-37
28-23
31-28
26-31
27-33
23-36
24-22
28-34
19-28
26-26
29-26
36-25
25-34
27-32
18-29
31-20
21-28
18-34
21-26
29-40
22-24
35-21
13-27
25-24
25-32
23-25
27-28
29-36
24-33
24-26
19-32
25-38
21-23
222.7Avg total
102.7Scored
120.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (81)107.9120.5228.3-12.621%
Season at home (41)109.5122.3231.8-12.820%
Season away (40)106.2118.6224.8-12.422%
Last 10 (10)102.7120.0222.7-17.320%
Last 5 (5)95.4115.6211.0-20.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)106.9118.9225.9-12.022%
vs Similar (3)116.7116.7233.3+0.067%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -7.4-7.4
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -7.4-7.4
Miami HeatWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H25/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H27/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
62-53
62
53
+9
A29/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
58-47
58
47
+11
A31/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
59-45
59
45
+14
A02/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H03/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H06/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H07/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A10/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
71-54
71
54
+17
A12/04
NBA
109.8Avg total
58.7Scored
51.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.352.5109.8+4.867%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.552.0109.5+5.565%-
Last 30 away (13)57.053.1110.1+3.969%-
Last 10 (10)58.751.1109.8+7.680%-
Last 5 (5)58.254.2112.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)54.852.2107.0+2.655%-
vs Similar (12)57.854.8112.7+3.058%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)60.348.9109.1+11.4100%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A26/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
61-83
61
83
-22
H27/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H29/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
47-58
47
58
-11
H31/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H02/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
45-61
45
61
-16
H03/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A06/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A08/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H09/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A12/04
NBA
109.6Avg total
51.4Scored
58.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.659.1113.7-4.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.158.1114.2-2.140%-
Last 30 away (15)53.160.0113.1-6.927%-
Last 10 (10)51.458.2109.6-6.830%-
Last 5 (5)45.056.0101.0-11.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)54.059.0113.1-5.033%-
vs Similar (3)59.759.3119.0+0.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 120.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.429.5
53.2%
54.3%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.615.5
43.5%
35.9%46.5
🏀 Free throws18.514.5
78.4%
77.8%14.5
They take 91.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 102.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.325.6
51.9%
54.3%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.212.3
32.2%
35.9%36.9
🏀 Free throws18.514.4
77.8%
77.8%14.4
They take 87.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WLWLLWWWWW
Washington Wizards
LLLLLWLLLW
#20
League position
#29
+15.6
Net rating
-17.6
122.1
Offensive rating
104.0
106.5
Defensive rating
121.6
58.0%
Effective FG%
50.3%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
11.6%
Turnover %
13.1%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
20.7%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.21
43.5%
3-point %
32.2%
62.2%
Assist %
57.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence122.1 · 104.0Defence106.5 · 121.6Shooting58.0% · 50.3%3-point %43.5% · 32.2%Ball care11.6% · 13.1%Off. rebounds27.4% · 20.7%Free throws0.20 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Miami Heat wins
2
Washington Wizards wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25ANew Orleans Pelicans153-104
10/04/25AChicago Bulls111-119
07/04/25HPhiladelphia 76ers117-105
06/04/25HMilwaukee Bucks115-121 OT
03/04/25HMemphis Grizzlies108-110
02/04/25ABoston Celtics124-103
31/03/25AWashington Wizards120-94
29/03/25APhiladelphia 76ers118-95
27/03/25HAtlanta Hawks122-112
25/03/25HGolden State Warriors112-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25AChicago Bulls89-119
09/04/25HPhiladelphia 76ers103-122
08/04/25AIndiana Pacers98-104
06/04/25ABoston Celtics90-124
03/04/25HOrlando Magic97-109
02/04/25HSacramento Kings116-111
31/03/25HMiami Heat94-120
29/03/25HBrooklyn Nets112-115
27/03/25HIndiana Pacers109-162
26/03/25APhiladelphia 76ers119-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW46%
HomeWWLLW48%
AwayWWWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games814041
Win %46%48%44%
Points / game110.5111.5109.5
Allowed / game109.9110.0109.9
Point differential+0.6+1.5-0.3
Avg total220.4221.5219.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%35%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (24)18% (11)46% (13)
Overtime %10%10%10%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games814140
Win %21%20%22%
Points / game107.9109.5106.2
Allowed / game120.5122.3118.6
Point differential-12.6-12.8-12.4
Avg total228.3231.8224.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%5%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)43% (7)100% (6)
Overtime %2%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder79651482%120.7107.9+12.8
2 Cleveland Cavaliers81641779%122.0112.2+9.8
3 Boston Celtics81602174%116.6107.4+9.1
4 Houston Rockets79512865%114.9109.8+5.1
5 New York Knicks80503062%116.0111.8+4.2
6 Los Angeles Lakers81503162%113.8112.2+1.6
7 Los Angeles Clippers81493260%112.7108.1+4.7
8 Denver Nuggets81493260%120.7116.9+3.8
9 Indiana Pacers81493260%117.3115.1+2.2
10 Golden State Warriors80483260%114.0110.6+3.5
11 Minnesota Timberwolves81483359%114.3109.3+4.9
12 Memphis Grizzlies81473458%121.6117.1+4.5
13 Milwaukee Bucks79453457%115.3113.0+2.3
14 Detroit Pistons81443754%115.3113.3+2.0
15 Orlando Magic80413951%105.4105.3+0.1
16 Dallas Mavericks80394149%114.5115.2-0.6
17 Sacramento Kings81394248%115.8115.5+0.3
18 Atlanta Hawks79384148%118.5119.9-1.3
19 Chicago Bulls81384347%117.8119.6-1.8
20 Miami Heat81374446%110.5109.9+0.6
21 Phoenix Suns81364544%113.8116.7-2.9
22 Portland Trail Blazers81354643%110.9114.3-3.4
23 San Antonio Spurs81334841%113.8116.7-2.9
24 Toronto Raptors81305137%110.8115.0-4.3
25 Brooklyn Nets81265532%105.1112.2-7.1
26 Philadelphia 76ers81245730%109.7115.8-6.1
27 New Orleans Pelicans81216026%110.0119.3-9.4
28 Charlotte Hornets81196223%105.3114.5-9.1
29 Utah Jazz81176421%112.0121.3-9.3
30 Washington Wizards81176421%107.9120.5-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat28322632118
Washington Wizards30362825119
← all games of the day
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