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Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 121-114
34-34 26-20 41-27 20-33
Position#18
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game104.6
Allowed / game111.6
vs
Position#29
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game115.2
Allowed / game126.2
USANBA· Kaseya Center (Miami)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Miami Heat v Washington Wizards
03 Dec 2026
MIA v WAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
MIA152
WAS136
10 Mar 2026
MIA150
WAS129
13 Apr 2025
MIA118
WAS119
03 Mar 2025
MIA106
WAS90
10 Mar 2024
MIA108
WAS110
03 Nov 2023
MIA121
WAS114
25 Nov 2022
MIA110
WAS107
23 Nov 2022
MIA113
WAS105
28 Dec 2021
MIA119
WAS112
18 Nov 2021
MIA112
WAS97
05 Feb 2021
MIA122
WAS95
03 Feb 2021
MIA100
WAS103
22 Jan 2020
MIA134
WAS129
06 Dec 2019
MIA112
WAS103
04 Jan 2019
MIA115
WAS109
10 Nov 2018
MIA110
WAS116
10 Mar 2018
MIA129
WAS102
15 Nov 2017
MIA93
WAS102
12 Apr 2017
MIA110
WAS102
12 Dec 2016
MIA112
WAS101
20 Feb 2016
MIA114
WAS94
07 Dec 2015
MIA103
WAS114
19 Dec 2014
MIA103
WAS105
29 Oct 2014
MIA107
WAS95
10 Mar 2014
MIA99
WAS90
03 Nov 2013
MIA103
WAS93
06 Jan 2013
MIA99
WAS71
15 Dec 2012
MIA102
WAS72
21 Apr 2012
MIA84
WAS86
25 Feb 2011
MIA121
WAS113
29 Nov 2010
MIA105
WAS94
27 Nov 2009
MIA84
WAS94
10 Nov 2009
MIA90
WAS76
28 Jan 2009
MIA93
WAS71
14 Nov 2008
MIA97
WAS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
94-109
94
109
-15
72avg 100
H08/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
95-108
95
108
-13
88avg 100
H10/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
69avg 100
A13/06
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#5
W
107-90
107
90
+17
no box
A03/07
California Classic
Sacramento Kings
#2
L
83-95
83
95
-12
no box
A06/07
California Classic
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
103-102
103
102
+1
91avg 100
H25/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
111-119
111
119
-8
102avg 100
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
90-106
90
106
-16
78avg 100
A29/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
114-122
114
122
-8
109avg 100
A31/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
105-109
105
109
-4
94avg 100
H01/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
24-29
20-29
26-27
21-20
30-35
22-31
22-22
24-22
27-22
20-26
18-24
22-16
36-24
26-27
23-23
14-21
26-26
30-21
13-27
26-29
32-18
25-28
20-27
28-25
27-35
33-27
23-32
31-26
22-29
20-25
17-26
28-28
24-34
21-35
41-25
32-29
24-17
27-29
22-34
204.5Avg total
99.1Scored
105.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)104.6111.6216.2-7.020%
Season at home (2)104.0105.5209.5-1.550%
Season away (3)105.0115.7220.7-10.70%
Last 10 (10)99.1105.4204.5-6.320%
Last 5 (5)104.6111.6216.2-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)102.0105.3207.3-3.333%
vs Similar (13)112.7109.8222.5+2.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)105.096.0201.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#25
L
109-116
109
116
-7
93avg 107
H31/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
109-118
109
118
-9
105avg 107
A02/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
128-140
128
140
-12
118avg 107
H04/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
116-134
116
134
-18
101avg 107
A05/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
114-108
114
108
+6
109avg 107
H07/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
109-114
109
114
-5
99avg 107
H09/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
120-143
120
143
-23
110avg 107
A25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
113-106
113
106
+7
101avg 107
H28/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
107-126
107
126
-19
97avg 107
H30/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
121-130
121
130
-9
109avg 107
A01/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-24
31-36
33-25
13-31
31-34
30-19
18-33
30-32
29-32
33-43
35-39
31-26
32-33
28-34
30-39
26-28
26-23
27-28
36-20
25-37
39-31
28-24
18-32
24-27
39-34
29-39
28-37
24-33
25-22
37-24
30-34
21-26
19-42
32-35
24-31
32-18
30-25
21-34
31-40
39-31
238.1Avg total
114.6Scored
123.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)115.2126.2241.5-11.025%
Season at home (2)110.0116.0226.0-6.050%
Season away (2)120.5136.5257.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)114.6123.5238.1-8.920%
Last 5 (5)114.0123.8237.8-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)112.0123.8235.8-11.811%
vs Similar (17)111.8114.7226.5-2.935%
vs Weaker (4)120.2113.0233.2+7.275%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -2.4-2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -2.4-2.4
Miami HeatWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H08/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H10/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A13/06
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#5
W
58-40
58
40
+18
A03/07
California Classic
Sacramento Kings
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A06/07
California Classic
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H25/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A29/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A31/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H01/11
NBA
103.1Avg total
52.2Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.753.6107.3+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (12)55.350.5105.8+4.867%-
Last 30 away (18)52.655.7108.3-3.233%-
Last 10 (10)52.250.9103.1+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)54.854.0108.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)51.253.4104.6-2.233%-
vs Similar (13)55.855.5111.3+0.454%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)58.043.5101.5+14.5100%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#25
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H31/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
61-53
61
53
+8
A02/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
62-75
62
75
-13
H04/04
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A05/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H07/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H09/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
62-46
62
46
+16
H28/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
51-77
51
77
-26
H30/10
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A01/11
NBA
121.4Avg total
59.8Scored
61.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.658.2114.8-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.957.9116.8+1.065%-
Last 30 away (13)53.558.7112.2-5.215%-
Last 10 (10)59.861.6121.4-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)59.862.0121.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)55.062.8117.8-7.822%-
vs Similar (17)56.256.6112.8-0.447%-
vs Weaker (4)61.855.0116.8+6.875%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 100.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.124.9
45.2%
54.4%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.412.0
35.9%
36.3%36.0
🏀 Free throws17.814.7
82.6%
78.2%14.7
They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 114.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.831.0
54.6%
54.4%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.611.9
32.5%
36.3%35.7
🏀 Free throws22.616.9
74.8%
78.2%16.9
They take 93.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LLLLWLWLLL
Washington Wizards
LLWLLWLLLL
#18
League position
#29
-7.9
Net rating
-8.4
103.9
Offensive rating
107.7
111.8
Defensive rating
116.1
48.5%
Effective FG%
52.3%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
11.1%
Turnover %
12.4%
21.2%
Off. rebound %
21.5%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.9%
3-point %
32.5%
63.4%
Assist %
61.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 107.7Defence111.8 · 116.1Shooting48.5% · 52.3%3-point %35.9% · 32.5%Ball care11.1% · 12.4%Off. rebounds21.2% · 21.5%Free throws0.20 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami Heat wins
4
Washington Wizards wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/23HBrooklyn Nets105-109
31/10/23AMilwaukee Bucks114-122
29/10/23AMinnesota Timberwolves90-106
27/10/23ABoston Celtics111-119
25/10/23HDetroit Pistons103-102
06/07/23ASacramento Kings83-95
03/07/23ALos Angeles Lakers107-90
13/06/23ADenver Nuggets89-94
10/06/23HDenver Nuggets95-108
08/06/23HDenver Nuggets94-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/23AAtlanta Hawks121-130
30/10/23HBoston Celtics107-126
28/10/23HMemphis Grizzlies113-106
25/10/23AIndiana Pacers120-143
09/04/23HHouston Rockets109-114
07/04/23HMiami Heat114-108
05/04/23AAtlanta Hawks116-134
04/04/23HMilwaukee Bucks128-140
02/04/23ANew York Knicks109-118
31/03/23HOrlando Magic109-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game104.6104.0105.0
Allowed / game111.6105.5115.7
Point differential-7.0-1.5-10.7
Avg total216.2209.5220.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game115.2110.0120.5
Allowed / game126.2116.0136.5
Point differential-11.0-6.0-16.0
Avg total241.5226.0257.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics440100%127.0106.5+20.5
2 Dallas Mavericks440100%122.5113.5+9.0
3 Golden State Warriors54180%112.8104.0+8.8
4 Denver Nuggets54180%110.8103.6+7.2
5 New Orleans Pelicans54180%108.8108.6+0.2
6 Philadelphia 76ers43175%117.8105.5+12.2
7 Los Angeles Clippers53260%121.4109.2+12.2
8 Atlanta Hawks53260%122.8117.2+5.6
9 Orlando Magic53260%107.6104.0+3.6
10 Oklahoma City Thunder53260%111.4111.8-0.4
11 Los Angeles Lakers53260%114.0114.8-0.8
12 Indiana Pacers53260%119.6123.2-3.6
13 Milwaukee Bucks53260%114.2118.6-4.4
14 San Antonio Spurs53260%115.0121.2-6.2
15 Minnesota Timberwolves42250%105.8100.8+5.0
16 Sacramento Kings42250%119.2116.2+3.0
17 Brooklyn Nets42250%118.8116.2+2.5
18 Phoenix Suns52340%112.8111.0+1.8
19 Portland Trail Blazers52340%103.0108.6-5.6
20 Chicago Bulls52340%105.4112.8-7.4
21 New York Knicks62433%103.3103.3+0.0
22 Detroit Pistons62433%110.0110.5-0.5
23 Toronto Raptors62433%104.5106.0-1.5
24 Utah Jazz62433%114.3118.0-3.7
25 Cleveland Cavaliers62433%105.7110.8-5.2
26 Charlotte Hornets41325%113.8120.5-6.8
27 Houston Rockets41325%107.8116.8-9.0
28 Washington Wizards41325%115.2126.2-11.0
29 Miami Heat51420%104.6111.6-7.0
30 Memphis Grizzlies5050%106.6118.0-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat34264120121
Washington Wizards34202733114
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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