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Welcome vs Trouville Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 71-66
19-15 20-19 11-15 21-17
Position#12
Record3-14
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game95.0
Welcome 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#13
Record4-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game83.4
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Gimnasio Óscar Magurno
Other2024-25
Meetings · Welcome v Trouville
03 Feb 2025
WELC71
TROU66
18 Jan 2019
WELC71
TROU81
12 Dec 2017
WELC81
TROU83
25 Nov 2016
WELC84
TROU81
08 Jan 2016
WELC73
TROU91
12 Jan 2013
WELC97
TROU103
04 Nov 2011
WELC79
TROU63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Welcome winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trouville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWelcome
Date
Competition
Defensor
#5
L
111-120 OT
111
120
-9
107avg 65
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
66-91
66
91
-25
56avg 65
H11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
86-92
86
92
-6
74avg 65
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
74-104
74
104
-30
60avg 65
H06/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
84-81
84
81
+3
74avg 65
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
97-86 OT
97
86
+11
86avg 65
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
82-87
82
87
-5
75avg 65
H21/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
88-83
88
83
+5
74avg 65
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
70-97
70
97
-27
60avg 65
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
69-117
69
117
-48
53avg 65
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
15-26
27-18
28-28
21-17
18-28
12-21
15-25
18-21
14-21
30-27
24-23
23-26
22-17
22-29
7-32
19-23
20-12
21-21
24-25
8-26
23-23
26-19
24-13
17-22
26-26
19-19
20-20
16-25
19-26
28-17
25-15
13-31
22-23
22-24
13-19
21-28
23-29
13-30
12-30
178.5Avg total
82.7Scored
95.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.695.0172.6-17.418%
Season at home (9)77.196.1173.2-19.011%
Season away (8)78.293.8172.0-15.525%
Last 10 (10)82.795.8178.5-13.130%
Last 5 (5)81.294.0175.2-12.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)78.293.4171.5-15.215%
vs Similar ◀ (1)77.083.0160.0-6.00%
vs Weaker (3)92.784.3177.0+8.3100%
This opponent (Trouville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrouvilleUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrouville
Date
Competition
Defensor
#5
L
59-90
59
90
-31
44avg 67
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
65-83
65
83
-18
59avg 67
A17/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
78-74
78
74
+4
68avg 67
H03/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
56-97
56
97
-41
52avg 67
H07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
68-71
68
71
-3
58avg 67
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
79-88
79
88
-9
50avg 67
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
87-92
87
92
-5
77avg 67
A18/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
81-77
81
77
+4
73avg 67
A23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
75-93
75
93
-18
66avg 67
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
68-73
68
73
-5
58avg 67
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
6-28
15-26
14-18
24-18
20-19
12-19
18-22
15-23
23-16
23-23
14-17
18-18
7-27
15-27
22-18
12-25
15-27
18-11
21-19
14-14
25-24
22-18
17-26
15-20
27-26
16-23
15-21
29-22
13-16
20-22
13-21
35-18
16-23
24-22
18-21
17-27
12-20
18-9
19-20
19-24
155.4Avg total
71.6Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)73.083.4156.4-10.424%
Season at home (9)71.882.3154.1-10.622%
Season away (8)74.484.6159.0-10.225%
Last 10 (10)71.683.8155.4-12.220%
Last 5 (5)78.084.6162.6-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)74.784.1158.8-9.427%
vs Similar ◀ (3)34.332.366.7+2.067%
vs Weaker (1)20.00.020.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Welcome) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
WelcomeTrouville
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Defensor
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H06/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H21/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
85.4Avg total
38.2Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.146.683.6-9.523%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.044.282.2-6.231%-
Last 30 away (14)36.049.385.3-13.314%-
Last 10 (10)38.247.285.4-9.020%-
Last 5 (5)37.651.889.4-14.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)36.047.783.7-11.615%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)39.035.074.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker (3)45.341.086.3+4.367%-
This opponent (Trouville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrouvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Defensor
#5
L
21-54
21
54
-33
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A17/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H03/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
22-54
22
54
-32
H07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A18/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
77.3Avg total
34.7Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)36.244.981.1-8.722%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.244.979.1-10.823%-
Last 30 away (14)38.144.983.1-6.821%-
Last 10 (10)34.742.677.3-7.930%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.679.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)36.345.281.4-8.923%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)35.039.074.0-4.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Welcome) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Welcometheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Welcome: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.520.7
49.9%
51.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.3
34.2%
33.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.912.6
70.4%
71.7%12.6
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trouvilletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trouville: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.416.2
48.5%
51.5%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.59.8
31.1%
33.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws13.28.8
66.7%
71.7%8.8
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Welcome
LLWLWWLLLL
Trouville
LLWLLLLWLL
#12
League position
#13
-15.7
Net rating
-16.6
99.8
Offensive rating
96.1
115.5
Defensive rating
112.6
50.4%
Effective FG%
47.6%
58.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
19.7%
Turnover %
18.6%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.20
34.2%
3-point %
31.1%
57.7%
Assist %
63.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 96.1Defence115.5 · 112.6Shooting50.4% · 47.6%3-point %34.2% · 31.1%Ball care19.7% · 18.6%Off. rebounds26.4% · 27.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Welcome   ■ Trouville
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Welcome wins
9
Trouville wins
DateGameScore
02/12/24Trouville v Welcome83-77
18/01/19Welcome v Trouville71-81
05/11/18Trouville v Welcome83-61
12/12/17Welcome v Trouville81-83
03/11/17Trouville v Welcome80-73
26/11/16Welcome v Trouville84-81
09/01/16Welcome v Trouville73-91
05/12/15Trouville v Welcome80-66
29/11/15Trouville v Welcome86-59
12/01/13Welcome v Trouville97-103
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/25HNacional69-117
27/01/25AMalvin70-97
24/01/25AHebraica y Macabi88-83
21/01/25HBigua82-87
16/01/25AUrunday97-86 OT
10/01/25HCordon84-81
06/01/25HAguada74-104
20/12/24AUrupan86-92
11/12/24HPenarol66-91
05/12/24HDefensor111-120 OT
Trouvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/25HMalvin68-73
27/01/25APenarol75-93
23/01/25ANacional81-77
18/01/25ABigua87-92
13/01/25HHebraica y Macabi79-88
10/01/25HUrunday68-71
07/01/25HPenarol56-97
03/01/25HCordon78-74
17/12/24AAguada65-83
13/12/24ADefensor59-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL18%
HomeLLWLL11%
AwayLLWWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %18%11%25%
Points / game77.677.178.2
Allowed / game95.096.193.8
Point differential-17.4-19.0-15.5
Avg total172.6173.2172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %12%11%12%
Trouville
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL24%
HomeWLLLL22%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %24%22%25%
Points / game73.071.874.4
Allowed / game83.482.384.6
Point differential-10.4-10.6-10.2
Avg total156.4154.1159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional1817194%94.376.4+17.9
2 Aguada1713476%90.380.1+10.2
3 Penarol1813572%84.774.4+10.2
4 Malvin1712571%80.376.5+3.8
5 Defensor178947%85.982.4+3.5
6 Bigua178947%84.685.5-0.9
7 Hebraica y Macabi178947%85.087.5-2.5
8 Cordon1771041%84.586.6-2.1
9 Urunday1861233%78.884.9-6.1
10 Urupan1851328%79.686.7-7.1
11 Trouville1741324%73.083.4-10.4
12 Welcome1731418%77.695.0-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Welcome1920112171
Trouville1519151766
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