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Urupan vs Welcome Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 87-88
24-20 17-23 24-22 22-23
Position#10
Record10-17
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game87.5
vs
Welcome 🏆
Uruguay
Position#12
Record8-19
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game93.7
UruguayLiga UruguayaLiga Uruguaya - Final· Urupan
Other2024-25
Meetings · Urupan v Welcome
06 Apr 2025
URUP87
WELC88
20 Dec 2024
URUP92
WELC86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Urupan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Welcome winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UrupanUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUrupan
Date
Competition
Nacional
#1
L
65-121
65
121
-56
56avg 75
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
97-90
97
90
+7
89avg 75
H06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
72-91
72
91
-19
60avg 75
A13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
88-99
88
99
-11
81avg 75
A27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
94-92
94
92
+2
94avg 75
H04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
83-78
83
78
+5
74avg 75
H08/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
85-79
85
79
+6
80avg 75
H11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
77-85
77
85
-8
72avg 75
A15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
88-86
88
86
+2
80avg 75
A18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
97-102 OT
97
102
-5
88avg 75
A01/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
10-36
14-29
16-29
28-22
24-24
19-31
26-13
19-25
21-27
21-15
11-24
21-21
32-20
18-26
17-32
22-19
26-20
24-28
22-25
20-20
26-13
12-18
25-27
23-19
21-13
25-28
16-19
21-27
22-14
19-20
15-24
28-23
16-14
27-30
17-19
17-21
14-22
22-12
26-24
176.9Avg total
84.6Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)82.087.5169.5-5.537%
Season at home (13)85.192.8177.9-7.838%
Season away (14)79.182.5161.6-3.436%
Last 10 (10)84.692.3176.9-7.750%
Last 5 (5)86.086.0172.0+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)78.888.5167.3-9.725%
vs Similar (8)84.985.5170.4-0.638%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)87.883.5171.3+4.367%
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWelcome
Date
Competition
Trouville
#13
W
71-66
71
66
+5
63avg 69
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
77-112
77
112
-35
70avg 69
A08/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
59-88
59
88
-29
49avg 69
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
99-88
99
88
+11
94avg 69
H27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
72-101
72
101
-29
58avg 69
A04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
81-87
81
87
-6
66avg 69
A09/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
97-90
97
90
+7
89avg 69
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
70avg 69
H15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
106-81
106
81
+25
107avg 69
A18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
90-124
90
124
-34
78avg 69
A23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
20-19
11-15
21-17
17-29
23-23
22-30
15-30
9-22
13-23
13-21
24-22
21-21
20-32
26-18
32-17
21-25
19-34
17-28
15-14
18-25
26-20
20-21
17-21
23-24
27-20
19-20
28-26
27-21
14-22
20-19
24-15
30-15
32-19
23-28
21-19
17-34
25-35
27-23
21-32
175.1Avg total
83.7Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.993.7173.6-13.830%
Season at home (13)80.591.2171.7-10.838%
Season away (14)79.495.9175.3-16.621%
Last 10 (10)83.791.4175.1-7.750%
Last 5 (5)91.891.8183.6+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)79.795.0174.7-15.326%
vs Similar (3)84.776.7161.3+8.067%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Urupan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
UrupanWelcome
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UrupanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#1
L
35-63
35
63
-28
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H06/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H08/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A01/04
Liga Uruguaya
86.3Avg total
43.6Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.084.4+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.144.388.4-0.257%-
Last 30 away (16)40.940.181.0+0.956%-
Last 10 (10)43.642.786.3+0.970%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.278.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.644.985.5-4.244%-
vs Similar (8)42.240.182.4+2.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)47.337.084.3+10.3100%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trouville
#13
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A08/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A09/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
62-34
62
34
+28
A18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
42-69
42
69
-27
A23/03
Liga Uruguaya
89.9Avg total
42.1Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.647.786.3-9.127%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.344.884.1-5.540%-
Last 30 away (15)37.950.688.5-12.713%-
Last 10 (10)42.147.889.9-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)47.847.094.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)37.749.286.9-11.419%-
vs Similar (3)46.734.381.0+12.3100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Urupan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Urupantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urupan: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.422.4
51.6%
51.5%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.9
35.1%
33.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.415.1
74.0%
71.7%15.1
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Welcometheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Welcome: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.921.1
51.6%
51.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.2
33.2%
33.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.215.1
78.6%
71.7%15.1
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Urupan
LWLWWWLLWL
Welcome
LWWWLLWLLW
#10
League position
#12
-9.4
Net rating
-11.1
105.1
Offensive rating
107.2
114.6
Defensive rating
118.3
52.0%
Effective FG%
50.9%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
16.8%
Turnover %
14.7%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.1%
3-point %
33.2%
54.8%
Assist %
53.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 107.2Defence114.6 · 118.3Shooting52.0% · 50.9%3-point %35.1% · 33.2%Ball care16.8% · 14.7%Off. rebounds25.3% · 23.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Urupan   ■ Welcome
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Urupan wins
2
Welcome wins
DateGameScore
15/03/25Welcome v Urupan85-77
27/02/25Welcome v Urupan99-88
20/12/24Urupan v Welcome92-86
Urupanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/25AHebraica y Macabi97-102 OT
18/03/25ABigua88-86
15/03/25AWelcome77-85
11/03/25HTrouville85-79
08/03/25HUrunday83-78
04/03/25HDefensor94-92
27/02/25AWelcome88-99
13/02/25AMalvin72-91
06/02/25HTrouville97-90
03/02/25HNacional65-121
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25ABigua90-124
18/03/25ATrouville106-81
15/03/25HUrupan85-77
12/03/25HUrunday97-90
09/03/25AHebraica y Macabi81-87
04/03/25AAguada72-101
27/02/25HUrupan99-88
12/02/25APenarol59-88
08/02/25ADefensor77-112
04/02/25HTrouville71-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Urupan
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL37%
HomeLWWWW38%
AwayLLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %37%38%36%
Points / game82.085.179.1
Allowed / game87.592.882.5
Point differential-5.5-7.8-3.4
Avg total169.5177.9161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL30%
HomeLWWWW38%
AwayLLLWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %30%38%21%
Points / game79.980.579.4
Allowed / game93.791.295.9
Point differential-13.8-10.8-16.6
Avg total173.6171.7175.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%8%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %7%8%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Remeros Mercedes110100%93.070.0+23.0
2 Nacional2723485%92.478.8+13.6
3 Aguada2823582%90.180.4+9.7
4 Penarol2720774%84.075.3+8.7
5 Malvin28171161%80.477.1+3.3
6 Bigua30141647%86.585.0+1.5
7 Defensor27121544%84.882.0+2.8
8 Cordon28121643%83.586.3-2.8
9 Hebraica y Macabi28121643%84.987.6-2.8
10 Urunday27111641%77.982.2-4.3
11 Urupan27101737%82.087.5-5.5
12 Welcome2781930%79.993.7-13.8
13 Trouville2742315%72.382.6-10.3
14 Ferro Carril2020%73.595.5-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Urupan2417242287
Welcome2023222388
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