PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Zadar vs FMP Beograd Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 72-75
21-25 19-9 15-22 17-19
Position#6
Record14-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#11
Record8-16
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game84.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 25· Dvorana Kresimira Cosica
Domestic2023
Meetings · Zadar v FMP Beograd
14 Apr 2026
ZAD76
FBE65
21 Mar 2025
ZAD99
FBE71
28 Mar 2024
ZAD72
FBE75
02 Dec 2022
ZAD103
FBE97
06 Feb 2022
ZAD83
FBE80
12 Mar 2021
ZAD63
FBE76
21 Dec 2018
ZAD79
FBE85
15 Jan 2018
ZAD83
FBE77
30 Sep 2016
ZAD78
FBE76
21 Nov 2009
ZAD90
FBE69
29 Nov 2008
ZAD88
FBE53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#12
W
103-84
103
84
+19
105avg 80
H27/02
Premijer liga
Split
#8
W
77-61
77
61
+16
75avg 80
H01/03
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
87-71
87
71
+16
93avg 80
A03/03
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
W
74-59
74
59
+15
69avg 80
H07/03
ABA League
Skrljevo
#12
W
87-73
87
73
+14
79avg 80
A09/03
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
92-69
92
69
+23
94avg 80
H13/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
88-65
88
65
+23
82avg 80
H16/03
ABA League
Alkar
#11
W
73-65
73
65
+8
76avg 80
A17/03
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
81-89
81
89
-8
70avg 80
A22/03
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
88-74
88
74
+14
85avg 80
H24/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
20-12
25-23
29-20
25-19
19-12
19-9
14-21
17-19
26-15
25-14
19-23
17-10
16-13
14-16
27-20
18-15
20-21
26-19
23-18
17-17
24-12
30-15
21-25
23-13
24-18
25-17
16-17
17-16
22-20
15-19
19-10
22-25
21-17
17-27
21-20
24-24
27-25
14-13
23-12
156.0Avg total
85.0Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.375.8155.2+3.558%
Season at home (12)78.266.6144.8+11.775%
Season away (12)80.485.1165.5-4.742%
Last 10 (10)85.071.0156.0+14.090%
Last 5 (5)84.472.4156.8+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.076.0141.0-11.033%
vs Similar (5)79.067.2146.2+11.8100%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)84.571.8156.2+12.786%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#4
L
72-86
72
86
-14
71avg 72
A14/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
54-87
54
87
-33
43avg 72
A21/01
ABA League
Split
#8
L
66-78
66
78
-12
57avg 72
A29/01
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
78-64
78
64
+14
75avg 72
H04/02
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
74-82
74
82
-8
57avg 72
A10/02
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
64avg 72
A14/02
Korac cup
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
86-72
86
72
+14
80avg 72
H02/03
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
L
85-94
85
94
-9
73avg 72
A11/03
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
57-88
57
88
-31
47avg 72
A16/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
W
84-76
84
76
+8
79avg 72
H21/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
14-23
18-22
22-18
13-26
19-20
14-18
8-23
18-18
9-12
26-18
13-30
19-15
29-22
16-9
14-18
15-21
20-21
20-16
19-24
16-17
20-23
19-18
20-22
26-19
19-22
28-18
13-13
16-22
23-17
21-21
25-34
16-20
15-23
14-22
12-23
21-14
17-24
26-14
20-24
153.8Avg total
73.1Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.984.5161.5-7.633%
Season at home (12)79.584.3163.8-4.833%
Season away (12)74.384.8159.1-10.433%
Last 10 (10)73.180.7153.8-7.630%
Last 5 (5)77.482.0159.4-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)73.188.6161.7-15.57%
vs Similar (10)79.975.7155.6+4.270%
vs Weaker (3)87.787.0174.7+0.767%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -6.3-6.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -6.3-6.3
ZadarFMP Beograd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#12
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H27/02
Premijer liga
Split
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H01/03
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A03/03
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H07/03
ABA League
Skrljevo
#12
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A09/03
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H13/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H16/03
ABA League
Alkar
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A17/03
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A22/03
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H24/03
Premijer liga
78.0Avg total
42.8Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.136.577.6+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.133.976.9+9.287%-
Last 30 away (15)39.139.278.3-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)42.835.278.0+7.6100%-
Last 5 (5)44.237.481.6+6.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.340.774.0-7.333%-
vs Similar (5)39.429.068.4+10.4100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)42.537.780.2+4.868%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#4
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A14/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A21/01
ABA League
Split
#8
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A29/01
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H04/02
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A10/02
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A14/02
Korac cup
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H02/03
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A11/03
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A16/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H21/03
ABA League
76.5Avg total
36.3Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.941.978.8-5.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.541.981.5-2.447%-
Last 30 away (15)34.341.976.2-7.77%-
Last 10 (10)36.340.276.5-3.920%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.278.0-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.144.179.2-9.113%-
vs Similar (10)38.339.377.6-1.040%-
vs Weaker (3)41.042.783.7-1.733%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.421.3
61.9%
54.3%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.4
34.7%
34.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws16.813.2
78.6%
73.8%13.2
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.9
49.0%
54.3%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.56.6
28.1%
34.1%19.8
🏀 Free throws20.214.9
73.8%
73.8%14.9
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WLWWWWWWWW
FMP Beograd
WLLWLLWLLL
#6
League position
#11
+18.2
Net rating
-10.7
116.8
Offensive rating
97.3
98.5
Defensive rating
108.0
57.6%
Effective FG%
46.4%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
15.7%
Turnover %
17.0%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.7%
3-point %
28.1%
63.5%
Assist %
59.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence116.8 · 97.3Defence98.5 · 108.0Shooting57.6% · 46.4%3-point %34.7% · 28.1%Ball care15.7% · 17.0%Off. rebounds31.2% · 28.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Zadar   ■ FMP Beograd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Zadar wins
5
FMP Beograd wins
DateGameScore
15/12/23FMP Beograd v Zadar77-92
17/03/23FMP Beograd v Zadar112-87
02/12/22Zadar v FMP Beograd103-97
06/02/22Zadar v FMP Beograd83-80
31/10/21FMP Beograd v Zadar83-76
12/03/21Zadar v FMP Beograd63-76
15/12/20FMP Beograd v Zadar89-99 OT
21/12/18Zadar v FMP Beograd79-85
01/10/18FMP Beograd v Zadar99-86
15/01/18Zadar v FMP Beograd83-77
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24HZabok88-74
22/03/24ABorac Mozzart81-89
17/03/24AAlkar73-65
16/03/24HCedevita Olimpija88-65
13/03/24HDubrava92-69
09/03/24ASkrljevo87-73
07/03/24HIgokea74-59
03/03/24ADubrava87-71
01/03/24HSplit77-61
27/02/24HSkrljevo103-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/24HBuducnost84-76
16/03/24APartizan57-88
11/03/24AStudentski Centar85-94
02/03/24HBorac Mozzart86-72
14/02/24ACrvena zvezda75-80
10/02/24ACedevita Olimpija74-82
04/02/24HIgokea78-64
29/01/24ASplit66-78
21/01/24ACrvena zvezda54-87
14/01/24AMega Basket72-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
ABA League 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL58%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWLWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %58%75%42%
Points / game79.378.280.4
Allowed / game75.866.685.1
Point differential+3.5+11.7-4.7
Avg total155.2144.8165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%58%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %4%0%8%
FMP Beograd
ABA League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW33%
HomeLLWWW33%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game76.979.574.3
Allowed / game84.584.384.8
Point differential-7.6-4.8-10.4
Avg total161.5163.8159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)0% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2420483%88.572.0+16.5
2 Partizan2418675%92.575.4+17.2
3 Buducnost2418675%84.676.4+8.2
4 Cedevita Olimpija2415962%85.884.2+1.7
5 Zadar24141058%79.375.8+3.5
6 Mega Basket24141058%85.982.7+3.2
7 Igokea24121250%78.581.5-2.9
8 Studentski Centar24111346%85.485.6-0.2
9 Split24111346%76.579.5-3.0
10 Cibona2491538%78.884.0-5.2
11 Borac Mozzart2491538%78.584.1-5.5
12 FMP Beograd2481633%76.984.5-7.6
13 Mornar Bar2451921%77.090.0-13.0
14 KK Krka Novo mesto2442017%74.487.3-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zadar2119151772
FMP Beograd259221975
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.