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Zadar vs FMP Beograd Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 63-76
15-10 22-26 16-20 10-20
Position#10
Record6-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#8
Record6-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game80.7
EuropeABA LeagueRound 21
Domestic2020
Meetings · Zadar v FMP Beograd
14 Apr 2026
ZAD76
FBE65
21 Mar 2025
ZAD99
FBE71
28 Mar 2024
ZAD72
FBE75
02 Dec 2022
ZAD103
FBE97
06 Feb 2022
ZAD83
FBE80
12 Mar 2021
ZAD63
FBE76
21 Dec 2018
ZAD79
FBE85
15 Jan 2018
ZAD83
FBE77
30 Sep 2016
ZAD78
FBE76
21 Nov 2009
ZAD90
FBE69
29 Nov 2008
ZAD88
FBE53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Split
#2
L
62-82
62
82
-20
no box
A06/02
Premijer liga
Split
#11
W
89-76
89
76
+13
88avg 63
A07/02
ABA League
Cibona
#3
W
84-82
84
82
+2
no box
H10/02
Croatian Cup
Split
#2
W
79-70
79
70
+9
no box
A13/02
Croatian Cup
Partizan
#7
W
96-94 OT
96
94
+2
no box
H27/02
ABA League
Zabok
#7
L
75-79
75
79
-4
no box
H28/02
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#8
W
96-78
96
78
+18
no box
A02/03
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#5
L
71-77
71
77
-6
70avg 63
A04/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
75-98
75
98
-23
66avg 63
A06/03
ABA League
Dubrava
#11
W
94-77
94
77
+17
no box
A09/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
10-17
17-18
21-27
22-15
26-17
21-15
20-29
19-19
25-15
19-16
21-32
24-19
13-15
20-16
22-20
19-17
22-20
20-18
22-28
15-23
9-23
22-13
29-20
19-15
27-27
28-18
22-18
21-18
20-20
11-24
19-15
15-22
18-21
18-23
24-32
27-22
21-21
21-20
25-14
163.4Avg total
82.1Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)69.371.5140.8-2.235%
Season at home (7)68.470.1138.6-1.729%
Season away (10)69.972.4142.3-2.540%
Last 10 (10)82.181.3163.4+0.860%
Last 5 (5)82.281.8164.0+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.184.2159.4-9.125%
vs Similar ◀ (6)85.072.5157.5+12.5100%
vs Weaker (15)78.866.9145.7+11.980%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#5
L
74-84
74
84
-10
67avg 73
A20/12
ABA League
Mega Soccerbet
#6
L
91-92 OT
91
92
-1
no box
H25/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#3
W
91-88
91
88
+3
72avg 73
H30/12
ABA League
Primorska
#15
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A05/01
ABA League
Split
#11
W
96-92 OT
96
92
+4
no box
H15/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
88-99
88
99
-11
78avg 73
H30/01
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#4
L
67-73
67
73
-6
no box
H11/02
Korac cup
Cedevita Olimpija
#3
L
86-94
86
94
-8
no box
A27/02
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
97-76
97
76
+21
102avg 73
A02/03
ABA League
Igokea
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
77avg 73
H06/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
18-21
23-22
11-21
18-25
23-12
17-20
19-20
20-27
24-17
24-24
23-20
–
–
–
–
15-27
26-15
19-14
15-19
25-38
16-25
18-22
29-14
19-20
13-18
12-20
23-15
22-27
29-31
17-18
18-18
25-24
24-20
23-14
25-18
20-21
21-29
17-28
24-9
157.7Avg total
79.2Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.480.7158.1-3.333%
Season at home (10)81.585.8167.3-4.340%
Season away (8)72.274.2146.5-2.025%
Last 10 (10)79.278.5157.7+0.740%
Last 5 (5)84.085.8169.8-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.490.8170.1-11.414%
vs Similar ◀ (6)87.788.8176.5-1.250%
vs Weaker (8)71.849.9121.6+21.9100%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +3.7+3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +3.7+3.7
ZadarFMP Beograd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#2
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A06/02
Premijer liga
Split
#11
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A07/02
ABA League
Cibona
#3
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H10/02
Croatian Cup
Split
#2
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A13/02
Croatian Cup
Partizan
#7
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H27/02
ABA League
Zabok
#7
L
24-46
24
46
-22
H28/02
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#8
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A02/03
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A04/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A06/03
ABA League
Dubrava
#11
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A09/03
Premijer liga
77.2Avg total
38.6Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.436.075.4+3.466%-
Last 30 at home (10)40.135.175.2+5.070%-
Last 30 away (19)39.136.575.6+2.563%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.677.2+0.070%-
Last 5 (5)38.442.480.8-4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.238.674.9-2.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.734.377.0+8.383%-
vs Weaker (14)40.134.975.0+5.379%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A20/12
ABA League
Mega Soccerbet
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H25/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#3
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H30/12
ABA League
Split
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H15/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
41-63
41
63
-22
H30/01
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#4
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H11/02
Korac cup
Cedevita Olimpija
#3
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A27/02
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A02/03
ABA League
Igokea
#4
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H06/03
ABA League
88.6Avg total
42.2Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)41.543.785.2-2.232%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.542.584.0-1.133%-
Last 30 away (13)41.545.186.6-3.531%-
Last 10 (9)42.246.388.6-4.122%-
Last 5 (5)42.850.693.4-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.448.187.6-8.77%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.844.388.2-0.533%-
vs Weaker (6)45.333.578.8+11.8100%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.6
53.6%
52.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.95.9
29.6%
36.1%17.7
🏀 Free throws21.515.9
74.0%
75.0%15.9
They take 54.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.7
54.3%
52.4%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.8
34.6%
36.1%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.315.2
71.4%
75.0%15.2
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WLLWLWWWWL
FMP Beograd
LWLLLWWWLL
#10
League position
#8
-9.2
Net rating
-8.4
96.9
Offensive rating
110.8
106.1
Defensive rating
119.2
50.3%
Effective FG%
53.4%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
58.7%
20.9%
Turnover %
16.9%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.34
29.6%
3-point %
34.6%
60.4%
Assist %
62.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.9 · 110.8Defence106.1 · 119.2Shooting50.3% · 53.4%3-point %29.6% · 34.6%Ball care20.9% · 16.9%Off. rebounds23.2% · 33.3%Free throws0.39 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Zadar   ■ FMP Beograd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Zadar wins
6
FMP Beograd wins
DateGameScore
15/12/20FMP Beograd v Zadar89-99 OT
21/12/18Zadar v FMP Beograd79-85
01/10/18FMP Beograd v Zadar99-86
15/01/18Zadar v FMP Beograd83-77
23/10/17FMP Beograd v Zadar91-76
16/12/16FMP Beograd v Zadar94-77
30/09/16Zadar v FMP Beograd78-76
27/02/10FMP Beograd v Zadar83-81
21/11/09Zadar v FMP Beograd90-69
27/02/09FMP Beograd v Zadar82-78
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/21ADubrava94-77
06/03/21ABuducnost75-98
04/03/21AMornar Bar71-77
02/03/21AGKK Sibenka96-78
28/02/21HZabok75-79
27/02/21HPartizan96-94 OT
13/02/21ASplit79-70
10/02/21HCibona84-82
07/02/21ASplit89-76
06/02/21ASplit62-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/21HIgokea82-87
02/03/21AKK Krka Novo mesto97-76
27/02/21ACedevita Olimpija86-94
11/02/21HVojvodina Novi Sad67-73
30/01/21HBuducnost88-99
15/01/21HSplit96-92 OT
05/01/21APrimorska20-0
30/12/20HCedevita Olimpija91-88
25/12/20HMega Soccerbet91-92 OT
20/12/20AMornar Bar74-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
ABA League 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL35%
HomeLLLWW29%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %35%29%40%
Points / game69.368.469.9
Allowed / game71.570.172.4
Point differential-2.2-1.7-2.5
Avg total140.8138.6142.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%14%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %12%14%10%
FMP Beograd
ABA League 2020
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayLLWLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %33%40%25%
Points / game77.481.572.2
Allowed / game80.785.874.2
Point differential-3.3-4.3-2.0
Avg total158.1167.3146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%10%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %17%30%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1715288%77.362.8+14.5
2 Cedevita Olimpija1815383%82.972.9+10.0
3 Buducnost1714382%79.272.1+7.1
4 Mornar Bar2016480%78.069.5+8.4
5 Igokea1915479%74.468.7+5.6
6 Mega Soccerbet2013765%79.576.1+3.4
7 Cibona1871139%69.673.7-4.2
8 Partizan1971237%77.477.3+0.1
9 Zadar1761135%69.371.5-2.2
10 FMP Beograd1861233%77.480.7-3.3
11 KK Krka Novo mesto1961332%68.373.8-5.5
12 Split2061430%72.479.0-6.6
13 Borac Mozzart1841422%74.879.5-4.7
14 Primorska200200%0.020.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zadar1522161063
FMP Beograd1026202076
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