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Zadar vs FMP Beograd Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-65
13-20 28-16 27-13 8-16
Position#9
Record10-13
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game80.0
Zadar 🏆
vs
Position#10
Record11-12
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game83.8
EuropeABA LeagueRound 8· Dvorana Kresimira Cosica
Domestic2025
Meetings · Zadar v FMP Beograd
14 Apr 2026
ZAD76
FBE65
21 Mar 2025
ZAD99
FBE71
28 Mar 2024
ZAD72
FBE75
02 Dec 2022
ZAD103
FBE97
06 Feb 2022
ZAD83
FBE80
12 Mar 2021
ZAD63
FBE76
21 Dec 2018
ZAD79
FBE85
15 Jan 2018
ZAD83
FBE77
30 Sep 2016
ZAD78
FBE76
21 Nov 2009
ZAD90
FBE69
29 Nov 2008
ZAD88
FBE53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
81-67
81
67
+14
77avg 79
A14/03
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
90-78
90
78
+12
90avg 79
H18/03
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
L
81-92
81
92
-11
89avg 79
A20/03
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#16
W
69-62
69
62
+7
63avg 79
H23/03
ABA League
Split
#18
W
79-59
79
59
+20
74avg 79
A27/03
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
99-79
99
79
+20
102avg 79
H29/03
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#10
L
55-85
55
85
-30
35avg 79
A31/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
67-65
67
65
+2
57avg 79
A03/04
ABA League
Alkar
#9
W
69-58
69
58
+11
67avg 79
A04/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
100-70
100
70
+30
96avg 79
H10/04
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
16-13
20-22
26-11
22-18
23-25
20-14
25-21
22-18
15-19
27-31
17-24
16-21
17-19
20-18
16-4
17-18
22-11
22-16
18-14
18-16
29-21
29-19
23-23
15-19
13-19
15-18
12-29
18-9
14-26
21-14
14-16
19-7
15-14
18-17
17-20
25-18
26-18
28-16
21-18
150.5Avg total
79.0Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.480.0159.4-0.643%
Season at home (12)80.278.0158.2+2.250%
Season away (11)78.582.2160.6-3.736%
Last 10 (10)79.071.5150.5+7.580%
Last 5 (5)78.071.4149.4+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.093.0171.0-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)68.870.5139.3-1.750%
vs Weaker (21)86.170.8157.0+15.386%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Dubai
#1
L
82-98
82
98
-16
70avg 71
A26/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
L
73-82
73
82
-9
65avg 71
H02/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#16
W
73-72
73
72
+1
66avg 71
A08/02
ABA League
Mega Basket
#8
W
102-87
102
87
+15
101avg 71
H15/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
58avg 71
A07/03
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
101-106
101
106
-5
94avg 71
A13/03
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
W
98-89
98
89
+9
94avg 71
A22/03
ABA League
Mega Basket
#8
W
84-79
84
79
+5
75avg 71
A28/03
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
85-55
85
55
+30
68avg 71
H31/03
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
69-49
69
49
+20
56avg 71
H06/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
13-21
25-22
18-25
23-18
21-24
11-20
18-20
18-19
16-16
19-16
20-21
32-17
19-18
25-28
26-24
15-18
17-22
13-17
28-20
28-22
25-33
25-24
23-27
30-21
22-23
20-20
26-25
26-19
18-25
11-16
29-19
19-15
19-13
18-15
29-12
7-13
16-11
27-15
19-10
163.4Avg total
84.0Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.283.8168.0+0.448%
Season at home (11)84.680.1164.7+4.555%
Season away (12)83.887.2171.0-3.342%
Last 10 (10)84.079.4163.4+4.660%
Last 5 (5)87.475.6163.0+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.8101.2190.0-12.50%
vs Similar ◀ (17)81.179.0160.1+2.153%
vs Weaker (9)89.680.8170.3+8.878%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +3.3+3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +3.3+3.3
ZadarFMP Beograd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A14/03
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H18/03
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A20/03
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#16
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H23/03
ABA League
Split
#18
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A27/03
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H29/03
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#10
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A31/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A03/04
ABA League
Alkar
#9
W
34-21
34
21
+13
A04/04
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H10/04
Premijer liga
73.1Avg total
38.1Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.736.978.6+4.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.137.880.9+5.469%-
Last 30 away (14)40.035.975.9+4.164%-
Last 10 (10)38.135.073.1+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.433.471.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.740.777.3-4.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)34.337.371.7-3.017%-
vs Weaker (21)44.536.280.7+8.286%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubai
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A26/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H02/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#16
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A08/02
ABA League
Mega Basket
#8
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H15/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A07/03
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A13/03
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A22/03
ABA League
Mega Basket
#8
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A28/03
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H31/03
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
23-24
23
24
-1
H06/04
ABA League
80.8Avg total
41.0Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.541.783.3-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.238.780.9+3.571%-
Last 30 away (16)40.944.485.3-3.425%-
Last 10 (10)41.039.880.8+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.081.0+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.847.288.0-6.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.140.880.9-0.747%-
vs Weaker (9)44.641.085.6+3.656%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.117.7
56.9%
54.6%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.4
39.0%
35.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws14.79.9
67.3%
75.3%9.9
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.5
51.5%
54.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.5
34.6%
35.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.417.2
76.8%
75.3%17.2
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WWWLWWWLWW
FMP Beograd
WWWWLLWWLL
#9
League position
#10
+8.8
Net rating
+5.4
99.0
Offensive rating
97.2
90.2
Defensive rating
91.8
57.6%
Effective FG%
51.6%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
17.1%
Turnover %
14.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.36
39.0%
3-point %
34.6%
66.5%
Assist %
57.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.0 · 97.2Defence90.2 · 91.8Shooting57.6% · 51.6%3-point %39.0% · 34.6%Ball care17.1% · 14.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Zadar   ■ FMP Beograd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Zadar wins
5
FMP Beograd wins
DateGameScore
31/03/26FMP Beograd v Zadar85-55
21/03/25Zadar v FMP Beograd99-71
17/11/24FMP Beograd v Zadar67-83
28/03/24Zadar v FMP Beograd72-75
15/12/23FMP Beograd v Zadar77-92
17/03/23FMP Beograd v Zadar112-87
02/12/22Zadar v FMP Beograd103-97
06/02/22Zadar v FMP Beograd83-80
31/10/21FMP Beograd v Zadar83-76
12/03/21Zadar v FMP Beograd63-76
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/26HDubrovnik100-70
04/04/26AAlkar69-58
03/04/26ABorac Mozzart67-65
31/03/26AFMP Beograd55-85
29/03/26HDinamo Zagreb99-79
27/03/26ASplit79-59
23/03/26HStudentski Centar69-62
20/03/26ADubrava81-92
18/03/26HKvarner90-78
14/03/26ACedevita Junior81-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/26HSpartak Subotica69-49
31/03/26HZadar85-55
28/03/26AMega Basket84-79
22/03/26AVienna Basket98-89
13/03/26APerspektiva Ilirija101-106
07/03/26ASpartak Subotica73-77
15/02/26HMega Basket102-87
08/02/26AStudentski Centar73-72
02/02/26HBorac Mozzart73-82
26/01/26ADubai82-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
ABA League 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW43%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayLWWLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %43%50%36%
Points / game79.480.278.5
Allowed / game80.078.082.2
Point differential-0.6+2.2-3.7
Avg total159.4158.2160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %13%17%9%
FMP Beograd
ABA League 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW48%
HomeLLWWW55%
AwayWLLWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %48%55%42%
Points / game84.284.683.8
Allowed / game83.880.187.2
Point differential+0.4+4.5-3.3
Avg total168.0164.7171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)-40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubai2320387%89.577.6+11.9
2 Partizan2320387%91.580.2+11.3
3 Crvena zvezda2318578%92.184.3+7.8
4 Buducnost2317674%88.881.3+7.5
5 Cluj-Napoca23131057%91.488.5+3.0
6 Spartak Subotica24131154%80.780.2+0.5
7 Cedevita Olimpija23121152%87.083.2+3.8
8 FMP Beograd23111248%84.283.8+0.4
9 Zadar23101343%79.480.0-0.6
10 KK Bosna23101343%82.086.3-4.3
11 Igokea23101343%82.589.0-6.5
12 Mega Basket24101442%86.091.0-5.0
13 KK Krka Novo mesto2491538%78.581.2-2.7
14 Perspektiva Ilirija2491538%84.087.5-3.5
15 Borac Mozzart2481633%79.884.3-4.5
16 Vienna Basket2481633%84.289.1-4.9
17 Studentski Centar2471729%78.282.0-3.8
18 Split2461825%83.292.1-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zadar132827876
FMP Beograd2016131665
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