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Zadar vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-73
19-24 27-19 20-17 22-13
Position#9
Record1-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game87.0
Zadar 🏆
vs
Position#8
Record2-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game94.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 7· Dvorana Kresimira Cosica
Domestic2025
Meetings · Zadar v Mega Basket
07 Dec 2026
ZAD v MEG
upcoming
14 Nov 2025
ZAD88
MEG73
02 Dec 2024
ZAD65
MEG68
06 Feb 2024
ZAD74
MEG71
17 Oct 2022
ZAD96
MEG90
04 Apr 2022
ZAD81
MEG85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Zabok
#7
W
87-83
87
83
+4
82avg 76
A10/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
83-85
83
85
-2
68avg 76
A12/10
ABA League
Samobor
#4
W
99-80
99
80
+19
101avg 76
A17/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
72-97
72
97
-25
66avg 76
A19/10
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
70-85
70
85
-15
61avg 76
H25/10
ABA League
Dubrava
#6
W
105-74
105
74
+31
106avg 76
H27/10
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
L
87-98
87
98
-11
84avg 76
A01/11
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
94-70
94
70
+24
99avg 76
A03/11
Premijer liga
KK Bosna
#11
L
77-78
77
78
-1
72avg 76
H07/11
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
82-72
82
72
+10
77avg 76
H09/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
21-16
23-30
18-20
20-19
27-25
25-20
11-21
22-11
27-15
26-28
24-26
19-19
17-28
13-27
23-23
15-17
21-23
18-19
16-26
17-21
32-16
27-15
29-22
23-22
26-25
19-24
19-27
24-17
18-20
27-16
25-17
21-23
13-23
22-8
21-24
28-11
21-24
19-18
14-19
167.8Avg total
85.6Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.087.0166.0-8.017%
Season at home (2)73.581.5155.0-8.00%
Season away (4)81.889.8171.5-8.025%
Last 10 (10)85.682.2167.8+3.450%
Last 5 (5)89.078.4167.4+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.391.3172.7-10.033%
vs Similar ◀ (8)74.471.5145.9+2.950%
vs Weaker (19)87.973.1160.9+14.889%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
L
82-89
82
89
-7
78avg 78
A04/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
80-96
80
96
-16
68avg 78
A11/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
87-92
87
92
-5
82avg 78
H16/05
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
81-86
81
86
-5
56avg 78
H18/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
73-77
73
77
-4
52avg 78
A21/05
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
81-117
81
117
-36
74avg 78
A05/10
ABA League
KK Bosna
#11
W
106-88
106
88
+18
103avg 78
H12/10
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
L
81-88
81
88
-7
76avg 78
A17/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#4
L
73-94
73
94
-21
64avg 78
A25/10
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
109-83
109
83
+26
105avg 78
H31/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-34
16-20
19-22
24-13
18-29
16-23
28-24
18-20
21-19
17-30
31-15
18-28
16-24
19-24
22-24
24-14
14-17
27-24
14-21
18-15
17-29
19-33
22-29
23-26
28-23
28-30
26-20
24-15
24-19
19-28
24-20
14-21
18-23
15-28
21-26
19-17
23-24
34-18
26-18
26-23
176.3Avg total
85.3Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.094.0184.0-4.040%
Season at home (2)107.585.5193.0+22.0100%
Season away (3)78.399.7178.0-21.30%
Last 10 (10)85.391.0176.3-5.720%
Last 5 (5)90.094.0184.0-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.290.6169.8-11.48%
vs Similar ◀ (10)86.986.4173.3+0.560%
vs Weaker (7)89.680.7170.3+8.971%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.6+1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.6+1.6
ZadarMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zabok
#7
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A10/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A12/10
ABA League
Samobor
#4
W
49-26
49
26
+23
A17/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A19/10
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H25/10
ABA League
Dubrava
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H27/10
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A01/11
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A03/11
Premijer liga
KK Bosna
#11
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H07/11
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H09/11
Premijer liga
82.9Avg total
43.7Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.936.779.6+6.270%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.534.677.1+7.971%-
Last 30 away (16)43.238.581.8+4.869%-
Last 10 (10)43.739.282.9+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)44.640.485.0+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.743.786.3-1.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.236.176.4+4.150%-
vs Weaker (19)44.135.879.9+8.279%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A04/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A11/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H16/05
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H18/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A21/05
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
36-62
36
62
-26
A05/10
ABA League
KK Bosna
#11
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H12/10
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A17/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#4
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A25/10
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H31/10
ABA League
91.1Avg total
41.2Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.345.788.9-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.942.186.9+2.860%-
Last 30 away (15)41.749.390.9-7.613%-
Last 10 (10)41.249.991.1-8.720%-
Last 5 (5)45.051.096.0-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.248.386.5-10.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)46.147.293.3-1.140%-
vs Weaker (7)47.442.089.4+5.457%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.417.6
56.1%
54.6%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.8
36.0%
35.1%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.917.0
77.6%
75.3%17.0
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.4
55.3%
54.6%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.9
34.2%
35.1%26.7
🏀 Free throws24.518.8
76.7%
75.3%18.8
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WLWLWLLWLW
Mega Basket
WLLWLLLLLL
#9
League position
#8
+4.3
Net rating
-7.3
114.7
Offensive rating
107.3
110.4
Defensive rating
114.5
55.0%
Effective FG%
53.6%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
17.8%
Turnover %
19.3%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.40
36.0%
3-point %
34.2%
69.0%
Assist %
60.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence114.7 · 107.3Defence110.4 · 114.5Shooting55.0% · 53.6%3-point %36.0% · 34.2%Ball care17.8% · 19.3%Off. rebounds31.8% · 28.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Zadar   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Zadar wins
5
Mega Basket wins
DateGameScore
30/03/25Mega Basket v Zadar75-74
02/12/24Zadar v Mega Basket65-68
06/02/24Zadar v Mega Basket74-71
05/11/23Mega Basket v Zadar91-81
23/01/23Mega Basket v Zadar80-77
17/10/22Zadar v Mega Basket96-90
04/04/22Zadar v Mega Basket81-85
19/12/21Mega Basket v Zadar70-72
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25HDinamo Zagreb82-72
07/11/25HKK Bosna77-78
03/11/25AGKK Sibenka94-70
01/11/25ABuducnost87-98
27/10/25HDubrava105-74
25/10/25HSpartak Subotica70-85
19/10/25ACedevita Olimpija72-97
17/10/25ASamobor99-80
12/10/25APerspektiva Ilirija83-85
10/10/25AZabok87-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/25HPerspektiva Ilirija109-83
25/10/25ACrvena zvezda73-94
17/10/25AVienna Basket81-88
12/10/25HKK Bosna106-88
05/10/25ACedevita Olimpija81-117
21/05/25AFMP Beograd73-77
18/05/25HFMP Beograd81-86
16/05/25HBuducnost87-92
11/05/25ABuducnost80-96
04/05/25APartizan82-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
ABA League 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%0%25%
Points / game79.073.581.8
Allowed / game87.081.589.8
Point differential-8.0-8.0-8.0
Avg total166.0155.0171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mega Basket
ABA League 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game90.0107.578.3
Allowed / game94.085.599.7
Point differential-4.0+22.0-21.3
Avg total184.0193.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubai660100%82.067.7+14.3
2 Cedevita Olimpija54180%93.478.4+15.0
3 Spartak Subotica54180%84.277.4+6.8
4 Partizan54180%86.883.6+3.2
5 Igokea54180%89.286.8+2.4
6 Buducnost64267%88.785.0+3.7
7 Crvena zvezda53260%89.881.8+8.0
8 Cluj-Napoca53260%89.082.2+6.8
9 FMP Beograd53260%88.683.2+5.4
10 Mega Basket52340%90.094.0-4.0
11 KK Bosna52340%82.287.6-5.4
12 Perspektiva Ilirija52340%83.490.6-7.2
13 Studentski Centar62433%79.880.8-1.0
14 Vienna Basket62433%74.080.7-6.7
15 Split51420%77.687.2-9.6
16 Borac Mozzart51420%71.283.6-12.4
17 Zadar61517%79.087.0-8.0
18 KK Krka Novo mesto6060%74.584.3-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zadar1927202288
Mega Basket2419171373
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