PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Zadar vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 74-71
17-17 23-14 16-21 18-19
Position#6
Record10-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game76.8
Zadar 🏆
vs
Position#4
Record9-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game83.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 19· Dvorana Kresimira Cosica
Domestic2023
Meetings · Zadar v Mega Basket
07 Dec 2026
ZAD v MEG
upcoming
14 Nov 2025
ZAD88
MEG73
02 Dec 2024
ZAD65
MEG68
06 Feb 2024
ZAD74
MEG71
17 Oct 2022
ZAD96
MEG90
04 Apr 2022
ZAD81
MEG85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#2
L
57-67
57
67
-10
49avg 79
H30/12
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
101-97
101
97
+4
104avg 79
A03/01
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
79-73
79
73
+6
70avg 79
H09/01
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
L
78-86
78
86
-8
65avg 79
A13/01
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
79-58
79
58
+21
80avg 79
A15/01
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
70-53
70
53
+17
65avg 79
H19/01
ABA League
Bosco
#13
W
105-64
105
64
+41
104avg 79
H21/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
65-67
65
67
-2
61avg 79
A26/01
Premijer liga
Cibona
#12
W
88-71
88
71
+17
87avg 79
A29/01
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#8
W
83-64
83
64
+19
92avg 79
A04/02
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
16-21
14-10
12-22
25-24
25-26
27-24
24-23
18-21
21-12
24-19
16-21
21-25
21-19
14-18
22-24
21-24
20-14
22-0
16-20
23-12
11-16
19-13
17-12
29-12
29-16
24-14
23-22
19-17
20-23
22-13
4-14
11-20
29-16
26-22
22-13
16-13
21-8
25-20
21-23
150.5Avg total
80.5Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.976.8157.7+4.156%
Season at home (8)78.267.9146.1+10.462%
Season away (10)83.083.9166.9-0.950%
Last 10 (10)80.570.0150.5+10.570%
Last 5 (5)82.263.8146.0+18.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.772.0143.7-0.333%
vs Similar ◀ (4)83.284.2167.5-1.050%
vs Weaker (22)85.271.3156.5+13.982%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Cibona
#12
W
83-69
83
69
+14
71avg 79
A24/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
L
82-89
82
89
-7
65avg 79
A04/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
88-98
88
98
-10
81avg 79
H11/12
ABA League
Split
#8
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 79
A18/12
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
92-76
92
76
+16
98avg 79
H25/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
97-86
97
86
+11
94avg 79
H31/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
94-78
94
78
+16
103avg 79
A08/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
86-72
86
72
+14
80avg 79
H14/01
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
80-112
80
112
-32
76avg 79
A22/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
72-92
72
92
-20
62avg 79
H28/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
20-11
23-20
25-20
17-17
19-29
24-13
22-30
27-22
13-26
30-20
18-30
20-24
27-21
10-17
16-26
19-24
22-13
30-16
21-23
14-23
24-18
27-21
32-24
30-18
13-20
25-21
26-19
23-18
23-14
22-18
18-22
26-25
13-34
23-26
18-27
20-19
14-31
18-18
20-24
170.7Avg total
84.7Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.883.0167.8+1.850%
Season at home (9)86.184.2170.3+1.956%
Season away (9)83.681.8165.3+1.844%
Last 10 (10)84.786.0170.7-1.350%
Last 5 (5)85.888.0173.8-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.089.7167.7-11.711%
vs Similar ◀ (7)84.484.6169.0-0.143%
vs Weaker (14)86.476.4162.9+10.071%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +6.4+6.4Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -2.9-2.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +6.4+6.4Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -2.9-2.9
ZadarMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#2
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H30/12
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#4
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A03/01
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H09/01
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#13
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A13/01
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A15/01
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H19/01
ABA League
Bosco
#13
W
58-28
58
28
+30
H21/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A26/01
Premijer liga
Cibona
#12
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A29/01
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#8
W
37-21
37
21
+16
A04/02
Premijer liga
76.4Avg total
41.1Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.137.279.4+4.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.534.978.4+8.675%-
Last 30 away (14)40.639.980.5+0.643%-
Last 10 (10)41.135.376.4+5.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.630.672.2+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.338.078.3+2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)40.537.878.2+2.875%-
vs Weaker (22)42.737.279.9+5.559%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#12
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A24/11
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#9
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A04/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H11/12
ABA League
Split
#8
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A18/12
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H25/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H31/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A08/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H14/01
ABA League
Partizan
#3
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A22/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H28/01
ABA League
82.4Avg total
39.9Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.882.7+1.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.638.682.2+5.073%-
Last 30 away (15)40.343.083.3-2.753%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.582.4-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.044.084.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.744.782.3-7.022%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.642.685.1+0.057%-
vs Weaker (14)44.437.481.8+6.993%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.019.6
61.3%
54.3%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.5
33.8%
34.1%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.812.0
67.4%
73.8%12.0
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.223.1
57.5%
54.3%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.6
34.2%
34.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.214.9
70.3%
73.8%14.9
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WWLWWWLWWL
Mega Basket
LLWWWWLLLW
#6
League position
#4
+14.5
Net rating
-2.2
109.9
Offensive rating
109.6
95.4
Defensive rating
111.8
56.3%
Effective FG%
55.3%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
19.6%
Turnover %
18.1%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.8%
3-point %
34.2%
67.7%
Assist %
64.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 109.6Defence95.4 · 111.8Shooting56.3% · 55.3%3-point %33.8% · 34.2%Ball care19.6% · 18.1%Off. rebounds30.4% · 28.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Zadar   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Zadar wins
3
Mega Basket wins
DateGameScore
05/11/23Mega Basket v Zadar91-81
23/01/23Mega Basket v Zadar80-77
17/10/22Zadar v Mega Basket96-90
04/04/22Zadar v Mega Basket81-85
19/12/21Mega Basket v Zadar70-72
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24ADubrovnik83-64
29/01/24ACibona88-71
26/01/24ASplit65-67
21/01/24HBosco105-64
19/01/24HKK Krka Novo mesto70-53
15/01/24AZabok79-58
13/01/24AMornar Bar78-86
09/01/24HStudentski Centar79-73
03/01/24ACedevita Junior101-97
30/12/23HBuducnost57-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HBuducnost72-92
22/01/24APartizan80-112
14/01/24HFMP Beograd86-72
08/01/24ABorac Mozzart94-78
31/12/23HCedevita Olimpija97-86
25/12/23HIgokea92-76
18/12/23ASplit73-88
11/12/23HCrvena zvezda88-98
04/12/23AStudentski Centar82-89
24/11/23ACibona83-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
ABA League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeLWLWW62%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %56%62%50%
Points / game80.978.283.0
Allowed / game76.867.983.9
Point differential+4.1+10.4-0.9
Avg total157.7146.1166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %6%0%10%
Mega Basket
ABA League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeLWWWL56%
AwayWLLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%56%44%
Points / game84.886.183.6
Allowed / game83.084.281.8
Point differential+1.8+1.9+1.8
Avg total167.8170.3165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%44%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1916384%87.173.8+13.2
2 Buducnost1914574%84.976.2+8.8
3 Partizan1913668%92.575.9+16.5
4 Cedevita Olimpija1913668%86.083.1+2.9
5 Igokea1911858%80.280.7-0.5
6 Zadar1810856%80.976.8+4.1
7 Mega Basket189950%84.883.0+1.8
8 Studentski Centar1991047%85.885.2+0.6
9 Split1991047%76.679.7-3.1
10 Borac Mozzart1981142%78.183.2-5.1
11 Cibona1961332%78.385.9-7.6
12 FMP Beograd1961332%76.885.1-8.3
13 KK Krka Novo mesto1941521%74.485.2-10.7
14 Mornar Bar1941521%76.188.5-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zadar1723161874
Mega Basket1714211971
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.