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Zalgiris Kaunas 2 vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 91-86
20-16 20-30 31-20 20-20
Position#3
Record9-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game85.6
vs
Position#9
Record7-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game84.2
LithuaniaNKL· Kaunas
Other2025-26
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Kretinga
19 Dec 2026
ZALG v KRET
upcoming
29 Nov 2025
ZALG91
KRET86
09 Jan 2025
ZALG87
KRET73
11 Mar 2024
ZALG83
KRET87
07 Mar 2024
ZALG64
KRET67
14 Dec 2023
ZALG71
KRET75
12 Jan 2023
ZALG71
KRET75
06 Nov 2021
ZALG83
KRET64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
W
87-75
87
75
+12
87avg 73
H18/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
81-99
81
99
-18
69avg 73
A28/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
116-84
116
84
+32
114avg 73
H30/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
85-91 OT
85
91
-6
76avg 73
A08/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
67-81
67
81
-14
59avg 73
A13/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
105-102
105
102
+3
104avg 73
H15/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
W
71-64
71
64
+7
64avg 73
A20/11
NKL
Silute
#12
W
114-107 OT
114
107
+7
no box
H22/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
72-93
72
93
-21
74avg 73
H25/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
76-89
76
89
-13
62avg 73
A27/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
30-16
8-13
25-24
22-18
28-32
18-24
13-25
26-18
22-23
37-19
31-24
19-12
18-12
13-22
20-24
22-26
16-9
17-19
12-27
22-26
26-28
27-23
30-25
12-14
18-19
17-19
24-12
25-28
23-21
24-19
25-29
24-15
10-25
23-22
15-31
12-29
21-18
20-17
23-25
175.9Avg total
87.4Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.585.6172.1+0.960%
Season at home (7)95.387.4182.7+7.986%
Season away (8)78.884.0162.8-5.238%
Last 10 (10)87.488.5175.9-1.150%
Last 5 (5)87.691.0178.6-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.081.5152.5-10.50%
vs Similar (21)80.181.1161.3-1.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)97.689.0186.6+8.686%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
W
96-88
96
88
+8
86avg 79
A18/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
76-92
76
92
-16
62avg 79
H25/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
81-84
81
84
-3
75avg 79
H30/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
78-64
78
64
+14
73avg 79
H06/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
94-83
94
83
+11
88avg 79
A08/11
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
80-86
80
86
-6
75avg 79
A13/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
96-81
96
81
+15
94avg 79
H15/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
L
88-98
88
98
-10
76avg 79
A20/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
85-74
85
74
+11
80avg 79
H22/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
85-75
85
75
+10
90avg 79
H27/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
17-24
29-22
28-27
22-22
18-18
17-22
19-30
18-13
15-12
31-26
17-33
12-20
20-20
25-11
21-13
20-29
25-20
22-15
27-19
18-28
32-16
11-24
19-18
13-21
22-17
25-16
36-27
17-30
27-16
26-26
18-26
19-17
22-15
20-21
24-21
25-14
22-20
19-18
19-23
168.4Avg total
85.9Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)84.584.2168.7+0.347%
Season at home (9)83.379.0162.3+4.356%
Season away (6)86.292.0178.2-5.833%
Last 10 (10)85.982.5168.4+3.460%
Last 5 (5)86.882.8169.6+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.990.4168.2-12.50%
vs Similar (17)84.580.6165.1+3.959%
vs Weaker (5)95.478.0173.4+17.480%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -0.9-0.9
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Kretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H18/10
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A28/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H30/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A08/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A13/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H15/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A20/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H22/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H25/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A27/11
NKL
83.1Avg total
42.0Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.839.580.3+1.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.841.584.3+1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)38.737.576.3+1.247%-
Last 10 (10)42.041.183.1+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.644.683.2-6.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.541.573.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (21)40.539.179.6+1.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.340.184.4+4.157%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A18/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H25/10
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H30/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H06/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A08/11
NKL
Telsiai
#10
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A13/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H15/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A20/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H22/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H27/11
NKL
79.3Avg total
40.6Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.538.581.0+4.057%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.936.077.9+5.965%-
Last 30 away (13)43.441.885.2+1.646%-
Last 10 (10)40.638.779.3+1.940%-
Last 5 (5)43.438.882.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.941.181.0-1.238%-
vs Similar (17)43.037.580.5+5.565%-
vs Weaker (5)45.237.682.8+7.660%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.922.0
53.8%
54.5%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.3
32.5%
32.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws23.215.5
66.8%
69.3%15.5
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.222.2
52.6%
54.5%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.3
33.3%
32.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.413.4
72.8%
69.3%13.4
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
LLWWWLLWLW
Kretinga
WWLWLWWLLW
#3
League position
#9
-1.8
Net rating
+5.5
107.2
Offensive rating
112.3
109.0
Defensive rating
106.8
51.9%
Effective FG%
51.6%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
19.4%
Turnover %
15.4%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.5%
3-point %
33.3%
55.1%
Assist %
65.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 112.3Defence109.0 · 106.8Shooting51.9% · 51.6%3-point %32.5% · 33.3%Ball care19.4% · 15.4%Off. rebounds35.8% · 33.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins
4
Kretinga wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25ASuduva-Mantinga76-89
25/11/25HMazeikiai72-93
22/11/25HSilute114-107 OT
20/11/25AJurbarkas71-64
15/11/25HAlytaus Alytus105-102
13/11/25ARytas 267-81
08/11/25ABC Olimpas Palanga85-91 OT
30/10/25HUkmerges Stekas116-84
28/10/25AKedainiu SC81-99
18/10/25HNeptunas 287-75
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25HBC Olimpas Palanga85-75
22/11/25HRytas 285-74
20/11/25AUkmerges Stekas88-98
15/11/25HOmega-Tauras96-81
13/11/25ATelsiai80-86
08/11/25AVilkaviskis94-83
06/11/25HPlunges Olimpas78-64
30/10/25HMazeikiai81-84
25/10/25HSuduva-Mantinga76-92
18/10/25ASilute96-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%86%38%
Points / game86.595.378.8
Allowed / game85.687.484.0
Point differential+0.9+7.9-5.2
Avg total172.1182.7162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%43%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %13%14%12%
Kretinga
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW47%
HomeLWWWW56%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %47%56%33%
Points / game84.583.386.2
Allowed / game84.279.092.0
Point differential+0.3+4.3-5.8
Avg total168.7162.3178.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%56%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kedainiu SC1411379%92.284.9+7.4
2 Suduva-Mantinga1511473%86.578.6+7.9
3 Telsiai1511473%85.983.6+2.3
4 Vytis VDU1410471%84.179.4+4.8
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 2159660%86.585.6+0.9
6 Mazeikiai148657%84.181.1+3.0
7 Vilkaviskis169756%86.281.4+4.8
8 Omega-Tauras158753%90.588.8+1.7
9 Jurbarkas158753%76.777.6-0.9
10 Rytas 2157847%82.881.7+1.1
11 Kretinga157847%84.584.2+0.3
12 Silute156940%87.389.3-2.0
13 Neptunas 2156940%76.380.8-4.5
14 BC Olimpas Palanga1551033%79.686.9-7.3
15 Plunges Olimpas1541127%81.385.6-4.3
16 Ukmerges Stekas1541127%81.590.4-8.9
17 Alytaus Alytus1631319%79.684.8-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas 22020312091
Kretinga1630202086
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