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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 May 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-78
12-25 23-17 22-20 24-16
Position#5
Record23-17
FormWWWLL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#4
Record26-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game80.3
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Quarter-finals· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Fenerbahce
08 May 2026
ZAL90
FEN94
06 May 2026
ZAL81
FEN78
03 Oct 2025
ZAL84
FEN81
15 Nov 2024
ZAL65
FEN72
19 Jan 2024
ZAL98
FEN75
05 Jan 2023
ZAL86
FEN66
19 Nov 2021
ZAL86
FEN75
17 Dec 2020
ZAL99
FEN62
25 Apr 2019
ZAL82
FEN99
23 Apr 2019
ZAL57
FEN66
19 Oct 2018
ZAL75
FEN82
09 Mar 2018
ZAL78
FEN85
02 Mar 2017
ZAL67
FEN76
16 Feb 2011
ZAL85
FEN84
25 Nov 2009
ZAL78
FEN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
W
94-82
94
82
+12
A04/04
LKL
Dubai
#11
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H07/04
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A10/04
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
101-84
101
84
+17
A14/04
LKL
Paris
#16
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H17/04
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
75-70
75
70
+5
A19/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H22/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
91-78
91
78
+13
A25/04
LKL
Fenerbahce
#4
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A28/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A30/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
24-22
27-29
19-13
19-14
15-10
19-15
12-38
26-22
22-19
15-16
20-17
34-20
18-20
31-20
18-24
26-28
27-17
15-16
17-18
15-21
27-16
19-25
14-8
34-31
21-9
14-22
16-15
16-24
21-20
31-13
23-21
20-22
9-25
28-18
21-24
14-26
19-25
14-15
27-20
162.7Avg total
83.1Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)87.083.0170.1+4.057%
Season at home (19)85.777.9163.6+7.774%
Season away (21)88.387.6175.9+0.743%
Last 10 (10)83.179.6162.7+3.570%
Last 5 (5)80.680.0160.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)99.094.0193.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.184.2169.3+0.950%
vs Weaker (19)90.978.4169.3+12.695%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#14
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A01/04
Euroleague
Merkezefendi
#10
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
80-95
80
95
-15
A07/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H09/04
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
89-73
89
73
+16
A13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A16/04
Euroleague
Trabzonspor
#6
W
93-90
93
90
+3
H19/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A24/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H28/04
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H30/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-25
18-18
30-24
16-18
27-14
24-19
12-25
19-11
17-25
21-26
18-24
24-20
21-19
13-21
24-14
11-20
25-20
21-20
23-16
20-17
24-16
24-26
22-8
11-26
18-23
23-16
31-31
21-20
26-21
25-18
16-21
15-18
22-20
25-9
18-28
24-21
26-14
25-19
15-14
20-27
161.9Avg total
82.7Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)82.280.3162.6+1.965%
Season at home (21)80.775.6156.3+5.176%
Season away (19)83.985.5169.4-1.653%
Last 10 (10)82.779.2161.9+3.570%
Last 5 (5)86.279.2165.4+7.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)87.0104.0191.0-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.680.8164.4+2.964%
vs Weaker (15)83.977.1161.1+6.880%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
Zalgiris KaunasFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A04/04
LKL
Dubai
#11
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H07/04
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A10/04
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A14/04
LKL
Paris
#16
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H17/04
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A19/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H22/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A25/04
LKL
Fenerbahce
#4
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A28/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A30/04
Euroleague
84.0Avg total
43.1Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.240.886.0+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.839.688.4+9.275%-
Last 30 away (14)41.142.183.2-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)43.140.984.0+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.883.0-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.039.076.0-2.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.643.685.2-2.040%-
vs Weaker (19)47.639.486.9+8.279%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#14
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A01/04
Euroleague
Merkezefendi
#10
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H04/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A07/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H09/04
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A16/04
Euroleague
Trabzonspor
#6
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H19/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A24/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H28/04
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H30/04
Euroleague
82.6Avg total
43.7Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.038.880.8+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.536.177.6+5.464%-
Last 30 away (16)42.441.283.6+1.244%-
Last 10 (10)43.738.982.6+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)47.636.484.0+11.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.048.094.0-2.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.940.683.5+2.250%-
vs Weaker (15)40.936.577.4+4.360%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.617.4
68.0%
60.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.8
35.3%
35.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws11.68.0
69.0%
78.2%8.0
They take 50.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 63.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀51%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers24.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.2 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers19.912.3
61.8%
60.4%24.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.8
39.3%
35.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws8.66.2
72.1%
78.2%6.2
They take 47.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 58% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
LLWWWWWWLW
Fenerbahce
WWWWWWLLWL
#5
League position
#4
+8.8
Net rating
+5.3
65.9
Offensive rating
54.0
57.2
Defensive rating
48.7
60.6%
Effective FG%
60.1%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
60.6%
15.8%
Turnover %
19.2%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.18
35.3%
3-point %
39.3%
72.1%
Assist %
74.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence65.9 · 54.0Defence57.2 · 48.7Shooting60.6% · 60.1%3-point %35.3% · 39.3%Ball care15.8% · 19.2%Free throws0.23 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
6
Fenerbahce wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/26AFenerbahce74-86
28/04/26AFenerbahce78-89
25/04/26ASiauliai91-78
22/04/26HGargzdai85-77
19/04/26ARytas75-70
17/04/26HParis85-79
14/04/26AJonava101-84
10/04/26APartizan83-74
07/04/26HDubai65-77
04/04/26ALietkabelis94-82
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/26HZalgiris Kaunas86-74
28/04/26HZalgiris Kaunas89-78
24/04/26AManisa82-78
19/04/26HTrabzonspor93-90
16/04/26ALyon-Villeurbanne81-76
13/04/26AAnadolu Efes89-73
09/04/26HReal Madrid69-74
07/04/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv80-95
04/04/26HMerkezefendi82-69
01/04/26ABayern76-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL57%
HomeWWWLW74%
AwayLWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401921
Win %57%74%43%
Points / game87.085.788.3
Allowed / game83.077.987.6
Point differential+4.0+7.7+0.7
Avg total170.1163.6175.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%42%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)100% (3)38% (8)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW65%
HomeWLLWW76%
AwayLLLLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402119
Win %65%76%53%
Points / game82.280.783.9
Allowed / game80.375.685.5
Point differential+1.9+5.1-1.6
Avg total162.6156.3169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%38%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (15)62% (8)71% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos41291271%90.782.9+7.8
2 Fenerbahce40261465%82.280.3+1.9
3 Real Madrid41261563%87.882.7+5.1
4 Valencia40251562%90.786.4+4.3
5 Panathinaikos41251661%87.284.9+2.4
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv41241759%87.585.4+2.1
7 Zalgiris Kaunas40231757%87.083.0+4.0
8 Barcelona40221855%84.383.5+0.8
9 Crvena zvezda39211854%87.286.1+1.1
10 Monaco43232053%88.787.2+1.5
11 Dubai38191950%88.188.0+0.1
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv38182047%90.192.7-2.5
13 Olimpia Milano38172145%86.187.2-1.2
14 Bayern38172145%80.883.7-2.9
15 Partizan38162242%81.686.6-4.9
16 Paris38152339%90.190.9-0.9
17 Virtus Bologna38142437%81.886.4-4.6
18 Baskonia38132534%88.393.1-4.7
19 Anadolu Efes38122632%80.184.3-4.2
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne3883021%79.386.6-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas1223222481
Fenerbahce2517201678
← all games of the day
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