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Fenerbahce vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 80-78
22-26 15-22 19-14 24-16
Position#7
Record7-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#13
Record5-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game81.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 15· Ülker Sports Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Zalgiris Kaunas
13 Oct 2026
FEN99
ZAL80
30 Apr 2026
FEN86
ZAL74
28 Apr 2026
FEN89
ZAL78
27 Mar 2026
FEN82
ZAL92
17 Jan 2025
FEN98
ZAL86
20 Dec 2023
FEN80
ZAL78
24 Mar 2023
FEN87
ZAL79
20 Jan 2022
FEN73
ZAL67
18 Mar 2021
FEN84
ZAL61
18 Apr 2019
FEN80
ZAL82
16 Apr 2019
FEN76
ZAL43
10 Jan 2019
FEN78
ZAL61
18 May 2018
FEN76
ZAL67
14 Dec 2017
FEN89
ZAL90
26 Oct 2016
FEN82
ZAL68
02 Feb 2011
FEN80
ZAL72
14 Jan 2010
FEN68
ZAL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Manisa
#6
W
82-69
82
69
+13
77avg 76
A19/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
79-87
79
87
-8
71avg 76
A23/11
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#7
W
96-85
96
85
+11
99avg 76
H26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#1
W
100-99 OT
100
99
+1
84avg 76
H30/11
Euroleague
Besiktas
#3
L
64-68
64
68
-4
55avg 76
A02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#9
L
79-80
79
80
-1
76avg 76
A06/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
81-89
81
89
-8
71avg 76
A08/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
80-81
80
81
-1
78avg 76
A11/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#3
W
86-74
86
74
+12
87avg 76
H15/12
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#9
W
99-71
99
71
+28
104avg 76
H17/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
19-14
24-20
23-19
27-25
17-21
14-24
21-17
26-16
32-24
20-17
18-28
16-29
21-15
22-23
28-20
15-19
9-12
21-16
19-21
18-10
19-28
18-19
24-23
19-16
31-22
14-25
17-26
21-24
23-25
15-20
21-12
24-21
22-24
22-12
18-17
26-18
20-10
25-20
28-23
164.9Avg total
84.6Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.181.2162.4-0.150%
Season at home (6)89.081.2170.2+7.8100%
Season away (8)75.281.2156.5-6.012%
Last 10 (10)84.680.3164.9+4.350%
Last 5 (5)85.079.0164.0+6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)94.5102.0196.5-7.550%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.180.1161.2+1.050%
vs Weaker (20)84.576.1160.6+8.565%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#10
W
89-74
89
74
+15
88avg 76
H19/11
LKL
Olympiacos
#4
L
72-89
72
89
-17
64avg 76
A24/11
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
L
76-88
76
88
-12
66avg 76
H27/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
83-70
83
70
+13
78avg 76
A30/11
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#5
W
80-68
80
68
+12
77avg 76
A03/12
LKL
Alba Berlin
#18
L
62-64
62
64
-2
62avg 76
A05/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
79-83
79
83
-4
71avg 76
H08/12
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
102-98
102
98
+4
97avg 76
H10/12
LKL
Partizan
#11
L
85-93
85
93
-8
79avg 76
H14/12
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
W
79-55
79
55
+24
71avg 76
H17/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
29-20
22-28
22-11
19-19
12-24
21-26
20-20
16-31
16-21
22-10
22-26
18-19
23-12
18-21
24-18
17-15
13-17
21-21
29-15
20-13
8-12
17-14
17-25
19-23
18-23
22-11
20-26
23-25
23-32
37-15
19-26
21-29
23-29
20-18
21-17
18-10
23-15
21-20
17-10
158.9Avg total
80.7Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.181.2160.3-2.136%
Season at home (6)79.583.5163.0-4.033%
Season away (8)78.879.5158.2-0.838%
Last 10 (10)80.778.2158.9+2.550%
Last 5 (5)81.478.6160.0+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.083.0158.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.780.3161.0+0.555%
vs Weaker (17)80.872.5153.2+8.371%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.7+1.7
FenerbahceZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manisa
#6
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A19/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A23/11
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#7
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H26/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H30/11
Euroleague
Besiktas
#3
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A02/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#9
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A06/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A08/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A11/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H15/12
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#9
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H17/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.0Avg total
42.1Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.639.482.0+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.038.183.1+6.979%-
Last 30 away (16)40.640.681.1+0.044%-
Last 10 (10)42.138.981.0+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.639.684.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.547.595.0+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)45.838.684.4+7.188%-
vs Weaker (20)40.938.979.8+2.050%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H19/11
LKL
Olympiacos
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A24/11
Euroleague
Neptunas
#6
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H27/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A30/11
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#5
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A03/12
LKL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A05/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H08/12
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
L
46-57
46
57
-11
H10/12
LKL
Partizan
#11
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H14/12
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H17/12
LKL
77.9Avg total
37.5Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.039.479.4+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.242.984.1-1.643%-
Last 30 away (16)39.036.475.4+2.662%-
Last 10 (10)37.540.477.9-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.242.281.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.044.585.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.542.179.6-4.527%-
vs Weaker (17)41.537.178.6+4.571%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.6
54.1%
53.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.5
37.0%
36.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.513.9
84.2%
77.4%13.9
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.8
55.3%
53.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.7
39.9%
36.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws14.411.2
77.8%
77.4%11.2
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWLLLLWWLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWLLWWLLW
#7
League position
#13
+5.4
Net rating
+3.9
116.2
Offensive rating
116.5
110.8
Defensive rating
112.5
54.6%
Effective FG%
57.2%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
15.4%
Turnover %
17.2%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.0%
3-point %
39.9%
64.5%
Assist %
56.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 116.5Defence110.8 · 112.5Shooting54.6% · 57.2%3-point %37.0% · 39.9%Ball care15.4% · 17.2%Off. rebounds31.3% · 30.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Fenerbahce wins
4
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HTurk Telekom99-71
15/12/23HMonaco86-74
11/12/23AAnadolu Efes80-81
08/12/23ABarcelona81-89
06/12/23ABaskonia79-80
02/12/23ABesiktas64-68
30/11/23HReal Madrid100-99 OT
26/11/23HPetkim Spor96-85
23/11/23AVirtus Bologna79-87
19/11/23AManisa82-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HBC Wolves79-55
14/12/23HPartizan85-93
10/12/23HNevezis102-98
08/12/23HMonaco79-83
05/12/23AAlba Berlin62-64
03/12/23ALietkabelis80-68
30/11/23AOlimpia Milano83-70
27/11/23HNeptunas76-88
24/11/23AOlympiacos72-89
19/11/23HSiauliai89-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %50%100%12%
Points / game81.189.075.2
Allowed / game81.281.281.2
Point differential-0.1+7.8-6.0
Avg total162.4170.2156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %14%33%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL36%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %36%33%38%
Points / game79.179.578.8
Allowed / game81.283.579.5
Point differential-2.1-4.0-0.8
Avg total160.3163.0158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %7%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1514193%87.974.4+13.5
2 Virtus Bologna1511473%83.580.8+2.7
3 Barcelona1510567%83.178.2+4.9
4 Partizan159660%86.584.2+2.3
5 Maccabi Tel Aviv159660%86.787.1-0.4
6 Monaco148657%79.378.9+0.4
7 Valencia158753%73.774.0-0.3
8 Baskonia158753%82.883.3-0.5
9 Panathinaikos147750%81.980.6+1.4
10 Fenerbahce147750%81.181.2-0.1
11 Anadolu Efes147750%81.987.0-5.1
12 Olympiacos157847%75.874.5+1.3
13 Bayern146843%78.781.4-2.6
14 Olimpia Milano145936%79.779.1+0.6
15 Zalgiris Kaunas145936%79.181.2-2.1
16 Crvena zvezda1551033%80.779.7+1.0
17 Alba Berlin1531220%76.185.4-9.3
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne1421214%80.289.0-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2215192480
Zalgiris Kaunas2622141678
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