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Fenerbahce vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 87-79
22-16 24-19 19-20 22-24
Position#7
Record17-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Position#9
Record15-14
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game77.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 30
European cup2022
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Zalgiris Kaunas
13 Oct 2026
FEN99
ZAL80
30 Apr 2026
FEN86
ZAL74
28 Apr 2026
FEN89
ZAL78
27 Mar 2026
FEN82
ZAL92
17 Jan 2025
FEN98
ZAL86
20 Dec 2023
FEN80
ZAL78
24 Mar 2023
FEN87
ZAL79
20 Jan 2022
FEN73
ZAL67
18 Mar 2021
FEN84
ZAL61
18 Apr 2019
FEN80
ZAL82
16 Apr 2019
FEN76
ZAL43
10 Jan 2019
FEN78
ZAL61
18 May 2018
FEN76
ZAL67
14 Dec 2017
FEN89
ZAL90
26 Oct 2016
FEN82
ZAL68
02 Feb 2011
FEN80
ZAL72
14 Jan 2010
FEN68
ZAL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Konyaspor
#16
W
62-61
62
61
+1
no box
A05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#6
W
97-94
97
94
+3
93avg 78
A23/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
104-72
104
72
+32
105avg 78
H03/03
Euroleague
Manisa
#11
W
92-78
92
78
+14
no box
H05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
74-78
74
78
-4
63avg 78
A08/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
81-73
81
73
+8
77avg 78
H10/03
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#4
L
98-102
98
102
-4
no box
A13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#13
L
80-82
80
82
-2
72avg 78
A16/03
Euroleague
Besiktas
#14
W
95-80
95
80
+15
no box
H18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
75-82
75
82
-7
55avg 78
H21/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-13
19-9
19-21
11-18
22-22
25-24
21-23
29-25
31-14
27-15
27-23
19-20
26-19
25-24
18-17
23-18
25-17
14-26
17-18
18-17
18-30
19-10
24-16
20-17
21-22
27-24
21-27
29-29
21-22
21-21
18-18
20-21
25-17
21-21
26-26
23-16
18-23
17-14
17-24
23-21
166.0Avg total
85.8Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)84.180.7164.8+3.559%
Season at home (15)84.978.1163.0+6.767%
Season away (14)83.483.4166.7+0.050%
Last 10 (10)85.880.2166.0+5.660%
Last 5 (5)85.883.8169.6+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.093.5163.5-23.50%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.782.9163.6-2.244%
vs Weaker (19)88.080.7168.7+7.368%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#2
W
77-67
77
67
+10
no box
A18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#3
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
A19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Real Madrid
#2
L
69-96
69
96
-27
56avg 76
A23/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
74-93
74
93
-19
70avg 76
A02/03
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
97-69
97
69
+28
100avg 76
A04/03
LKL
Alba Berlin
#17
W
66-63
66
63
+3
57avg 76
A07/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
85-67
85
67
+18
75avg 76
H09/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
94-100
94
100
-6
86avg 76
H12/03
LKL
Olympiacos
#1
L
72-74
72
74
-2
no box
H16/03
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
W
91-80
91
80
+11
88avg 76
A19/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
21-12
17-16
22-22
26-17
14-16
15-23
26-21
24-22
14-31
14-23
17-20
17-19
19-27
18-31
20-16
26-15
21-23
29-11
21-20
15-14
18-13
11-18
22-18
16-22
31-15
18-13
20-17
21-24
21-21
25-23
27-32
17-15
17-25
15-21
23-13
23-17
13-18
22-33
33-12
159.2Avg total
80.6Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)75.477.5152.9-2.152%
Season at home (14)75.073.0148.0+2.071%
Season away (15)75.881.7157.5-5.933%
Last 10 (10)80.678.6159.2+2.060%
Last 5 (5)81.676.8158.4+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.685.2158.8-11.620%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.572.0146.5+2.570%
vs Weaker (15)86.274.7160.9+11.580%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +4.0+4.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +4.0+4.0
FenerbahceZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Konyaspor
#16
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A05/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#6
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A23/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
58-29
58
29
+29
H03/03
Euroleague
Manisa
#11
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H05/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A08/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H10/03
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A13/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#13
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A16/03
Euroleague
Besiktas
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H21/03
Euroleague
82.2Avg total
43.5Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.783.5+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.541.184.5+2.460%-
Last 30 away (15)40.142.382.4-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)43.538.782.2+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.882.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.554.585.0-24.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.642.981.4-4.333%-
vs Weaker (19)44.539.884.3+4.758%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#2
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A18/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A19/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Real Madrid
#2
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A23/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A02/03
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A04/03
LKL
Alba Berlin
#17
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A07/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H09/03
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H12/03
LKL
Olympiacos
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H16/03
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A19/03
LKL
77.4Avg total
39.1Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.536.374.7+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.236.674.8+1.554%-
Last 30 away (17)38.736.074.7+2.771%-
Last 10 (10)39.138.377.4+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.436.875.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.245.680.8-10.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.032.171.1+6.990%-
vs Weaker (15)39.235.975.1+3.367%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.4
54.3%
53.5%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.1
36.9%
36.2%33.3
🏀 Free throws16.111.5
71.4%
78.5%11.5
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.6
54.1%
53.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.8
37.3%
36.2%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.514.6
74.9%
78.5%14.6
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
LWLLWLWWWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLLWWWLLWW
#7
League position
#9
+3.1
Net rating
+2.6
117.3
Offensive rating
114.5
114.2
Defensive rating
111.9
54.8%
Effective FG%
54.8%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
15.2%
Turnover %
18.5%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.9%
3-point %
37.3%
55.1%
Assist %
57.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.3 · 114.5Defence114.2 · 111.9Shooting54.8% · 54.8%3-point %36.9% · 37.3%Ball care15.2% · 18.5%Off. rebounds34.1% · 34.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Fenerbahce wins
4
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/23HOlimpia Milano75-82
18/03/23HBesiktas95-80
16/03/23AValencia80-82
13/03/23AKarsiyaka98-102
10/03/23HBarcelona81-73
08/03/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv74-78
05/03/23HManisa92-78
03/03/23HVirtus Bologna104-72
23/02/23APartizan97-94
05/02/23AKonyaspor62-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/23ANeptunas91-80
16/03/23HOlympiacos72-74
12/03/23HRytas94-100
09/03/23HLyon-Villeurbanne85-67
07/03/23AAlba Berlin66-63
04/03/23ANevezis97-69
02/03/23ABarcelona74-93
23/02/23AReal Madrid69-96
19/02/23AJonava81-77
18/02/23ALietkabelis77-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL59%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %59%67%50%
Points / game84.184.983.4
Allowed / game80.778.183.4
Point differential+3.5+6.7+0.0
Avg total164.8163.0166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%40%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)67% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL52%
HomeWLWWL71%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %52%71%33%
Points / game75.475.075.8
Allowed / game77.573.081.7
Point differential-2.1+2.0-5.9
Avg total152.9148.0157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)80% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2921872%84.775.7+9.0
2 Real Madrid2920969%84.878.4+6.4
3 Barcelona30201067%81.077.2+3.7
4 Monaco29191066%83.981.6+2.3
5 Fenerbahce29171259%84.180.7+3.5
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv30171357%82.681.4+1.2
7 Partizan29161355%84.582.5+2.0
8 Zalgiris Kaunas29151452%75.477.5-2.1
9 Baskonia30151550%85.583.8+1.7
10 Valencia29141548%83.085.5-2.6
11 Anadolu Efes30141647%82.581.8+0.7
12 Olimpia Milano29131645%73.876.8-2.9
13 Virtus Bologna29131645%78.381.3-3.0
14 Crvena zvezda30131743%76.078.2-2.2
15 Bayern29111838%76.879.6-2.8
16 Panathinaikos30102033%79.182.8-3.8
17 Alba Berlin3092130%80.184.9-4.8
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne3082227%74.780.7-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2224192287
Zalgiris Kaunas1619202479
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