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Fenerbahce vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 98-86
17-20 17-27 28-21 36-18
Position#1
Record13-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Position#13
Record11-10
FormLWLWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game76.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 22· Ülker Sports Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Zalgiris Kaunas
13 Oct 2026
FEN99
ZAL80
30 Apr 2026
FEN86
ZAL74
28 Apr 2026
FEN89
ZAL78
27 Mar 2026
FEN82
ZAL92
17 Jan 2025
FEN98
ZAL86
20 Dec 2023
FEN80
ZAL78
24 Mar 2023
FEN87
ZAL79
20 Jan 2022
FEN73
ZAL67
18 Mar 2021
FEN84
ZAL61
18 Apr 2019
FEN80
ZAL82
16 Apr 2019
FEN76
ZAL43
10 Jan 2019
FEN78
ZAL61
18 May 2018
FEN76
ZAL67
14 Dec 2017
FEN89
ZAL90
26 Oct 2016
FEN82
ZAL68
02 Feb 2011
FEN80
ZAL72
14 Jan 2010
FEN68
ZAL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Tofas
#4
W
90-88
90
88
+2
88avg 83
H14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#6
L
63-90
63
90
-27
47avg 83
A17/12
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
82-70
82
70
+12
79avg 83
A22/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#12
L
81-90
81
90
-9
75avg 83
A27/12
Euroleague
Merkezefendi
#14
W
91-72
91
72
+19
93avg 83
H29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
84-76
84
76
+8
82avg 83
H03/01
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#13
W
101-90
101
90
+11
100avg 83
A05/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Alba Berlin
#18
W
90-73
90
73
+17
87avg 83
H09/01
Euroleague
Besiktas
#3
W
90-79
90
79
+11
85avg 83
H12/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
96-91
96
91
+5
90avg 83
A15/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
26-19
24-26
16-22
12-20
25-24
16-21
10-25
23-16
21-18
19-15
19-21
21-25
17-22
19-18
24-25
23-19
25-18
17-21
26-14
24-24
19-16
21-16
20-20
18-21
29-18
33-21
21-30
16-11
21-23
24-26
29-13
21-23
32-18
13-24
24-14
21-24
28-19
21-18
26-30
168.7Avg total
86.8Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.879.8159.6+0.165%
Season at home (10)80.379.7160.0+0.660%
Season away (10)79.479.8159.2-0.470%
Last 10 (10)86.881.9168.7+4.980%
Last 5 (5)92.281.8174.0+10.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)79.481.5160.8-2.155%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)85.878.2163.9+7.684%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
86-66
86
66
+20
84avg 81
A17/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
72-78
72
78
-6
68avg 81
H20/12
Euroleague
Siauliai
#8
W
107-88
107
88
+19
99avg 81
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
78-95
78
95
-17
70avg 81
A26/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
128-67
128
67
+61
132avg 81
A29/12
LKL
Olympiacos
#2
L
85-92
85
92
-7
83avg 81
H02/01
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
W
89-85
89
85
+4
86avg 81
A05/01
LKL
Real Madrid
#8
L
64-83
64
83
-19
52avg 81
H10/01
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
88-86
88
86
+2
84avg 81
H12/01
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
77-68
77
68
+9
72avg 81
H15/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-10
21-20
24-16
17-20
16-21
20-22
17-13
19-22
34-19
23-26
21-22
29-21
19-26
19-24
18-21
22-24
29-11
33-17
34-19
32-20
22-18
30-22
19-27
14-25
24-24
19-22
25-15
21-24
26-15
8-20
12-20
18-28
26-21
23-24
18-20
21-21
25-13
16-19
20-19
16-17
168.2Avg total
87.4Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.876.8153.6-0.052%
Season at home (12)75.275.1150.3+0.258%
Season away (9)78.879.1157.9-0.344%
Last 10 (10)87.480.8168.2+6.660%
Last 5 (5)80.682.8163.4-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)76.475.0151.4+1.460%
vs Similar (12)77.680.2157.8-2.742%
vs Weaker (13)92.772.8165.5+19.892%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +6.7+6.7Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
FenerbahceZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#4
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H14/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Barcelona
#6
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A17/12
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A22/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#12
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A27/12
Euroleague
Merkezefendi
#14
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H29/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H03/01
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#13
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A05/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Alba Berlin
#18
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H09/01
Euroleague
Besiktas
#3
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H12/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A15/01
Euroleague
84.5Avg total
44.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.137.979.0+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.937.878.7+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)41.338.079.3+3.360%-
Last 10 (10)44.639.984.5+4.780%-
Last 5 (5)45.839.485.2+6.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)41.339.981.2+1.455%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)41.036.777.7+4.363%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A17/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H20/12
Euroleague
Siauliai
#8
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A26/12
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
62-28
62
28
+34
A29/12
LKL
Olympiacos
#2
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H02/01
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#3
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A05/01
LKL
Real Madrid
#8
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H10/01
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H12/01
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H15/01
Euroleague
85.1Avg total
45.7Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.836.679.4+6.163%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.133.975.9+8.278%-
Last 30 away (12)43.840.884.6+3.142%-
Last 10 (10)45.739.485.1+6.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.839.683.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)41.836.077.8+5.880%-
vs Similar (12)39.338.477.8+0.942%-
vs Weaker (13)46.335.281.5+11.177%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.016.7
50.6%
54.5%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.511.0
37.3%
36.2%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.313.6
74.3%
78.0%13.6
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.116.3
58.0%
54.5%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.813.3
40.5%
36.2%39.9
🏀 Free throws18.713.9
74.3%
78.0%13.9
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWWWWWLWLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLWLWLWLW
#1
League position
#13
-6.1
Net rating
+8.5
110.9
Offensive rating
118.6
117.0
Defensive rating
110.1
53.1%
Effective FG%
59.5%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
16.4%
Turnover %
18.3%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.3%
3-point %
40.5%
57.4%
Assist %
65.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 118.6Defence117.0 · 110.1Shooting53.1% · 59.5%3-point %37.3% · 40.5%Ball care16.4% · 18.3%Off. rebounds29.3% · 30.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Fenerbahce wins
4
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/25ACrvena zvezda96-91
12/01/25HBesiktas90-79
09/01/25HAlba Berlin90-73
05/01/25AKarsiyaka101-90
03/01/25HAnadolu Efes84-76
29/12/24HMerkezefendi91-72
27/12/24APartizan81-90
22/12/24ABahcesehir Kol.82-70
17/12/24ABarcelona63-90
14/12/24HTofas90-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/25HVirtus Bologna77-68
12/01/25HNevezis88-86
10/01/25HReal Madrid64-83
05/01/25ALietkabelis89-85
02/01/25HOlympiacos85-92
29/12/24AJuventus128-67
26/12/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv78-95
23/12/24ASiauliai107-88
20/12/24HLyon-Villeurbanne72-78
17/12/24AAlba Berlin86-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW65%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLWLLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %65%60%70%
Points / game79.880.379.4
Allowed / game79.879.779.8
Point differential+0.1+0.6-0.4
Avg total159.6160.0159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)50% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW52%
HomeWLLLW58%
AwayLLWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %52%58%44%
Points / game76.875.278.8
Allowed / game76.875.179.1
Point differential-0.0+0.2-0.3
Avg total153.6150.3157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%17%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2216673%88.082.0+6.0
2 Fenerbahce2013765%79.879.8+0.1
3 Monaco2113862%87.882.9+5.0
4 Panathinaikos2113862%87.082.1+4.9
5 Paris2113862%85.884.5+1.3
6 Barcelona2112957%86.083.7+2.3
7 Crvena zvezda2112957%83.281.1+2.0
8 Bayern2112957%86.088.5-2.4
9 Real Madrid22121055%86.082.9+3.2
10 Olimpia Milano22121055%86.984.7+2.2
11 Zalgiris Kaunas21111052%76.876.8-0.0
12 Partizan22111150%83.480.2+3.2
13 Anadolu Efes21101148%83.682.7+1.0
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne22101245%80.684.2-3.6
15 Baskonia2181338%79.681.9-2.3
16 Virtus Bologna2161529%80.684.7-4.0
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv2251723%84.890.6-5.8
18 Alba Berlin2231914%79.592.0-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce1717283698
Zalgiris Kaunas2027211886
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