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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-89
21-13 21-26 19-24 17-26
Position#5
Record3-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game80.8
Zalgiris Kaunas
vs
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Position#13
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game77.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 5· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano
12 Mar 2027
ZAL v MIL
upcoming
16 Oct 2025
ZAL78
MIL89
06 Feb 2025
ZAL87
MIL89
28 Mar 2024
ZAL87
MIL73
18 Nov 2022
ZAL71
MIL62
08 Feb 2022
ZAL70
MIL74
05 Mar 2021
ZAL64
MIL69
29 Nov 2018
ZAL83
MIL78
20 Mar 2018
ZAL77
MIL65
31 Mar 2017
ZAL84
MIL88
29 Nov 2013
ZAL73
MIL71
01 Nov 2012
ZAL92
MIL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 81
A19/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
76-69
76
69
+7
71avg 81
H21/06
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
87-78
87
78
+9
88avg 81
A20/09
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
93-72
93
72
+21
93avg 81
H24/09
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
84-71
84
71
+13
85avg 81
A27/09
LKL
Monaco
#10
W
89-84
89
84
+5
82avg 81
A01/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
84-81
84
81
+3
77avg 81
H03/10
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
98-68
98
68
+30
102avg 81
H05/10
LKL
Bayern
#14
W
98-70
98
70
+28
96avg 81
A10/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
79-88
79
88
-9
70avg 81
A14/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
26-22
13-22
30-15
15-15
14-15
21-25
26-14
22-14
19-11
21-25
25-28
23-20
27-9
20-25
23-18
23-16
20-17
20-17
21-21
27-20
18-15
22-25
22-24
29-20
14-17
22-16
19-28
32-19
20-12
25-18
21-19
26-20
19-13
23-24
30-13
27-23
12-22
19-12
21-31
163.6Avg total
87.2Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.580.8168.2+6.875%
Season at home (1)84.081.0165.0+3.0100%
Season away (3)88.780.7169.3+8.067%
Last 10 (10)87.276.4163.6+10.890%
Last 5 (5)89.678.2167.8+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)84.084.3168.3-0.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)90.073.6163.6+16.393%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
68-78
68
78
-10
61avg 80
H05/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
78-84
78
84
-6
69avg 80
H07/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#3
W
93-86 OT
93
86
+7
96avg 80
A27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#2
W
90-76
90
76
+14
91avg 80
A28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
92-82
92
82
+10
89avg 80
A30/09
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
78-80
78
80
-2
78avg 80
A02/10
Euroleague
Tortona
#6
L
71-74
71
74
-3
60avg 80
H05/10
Lega A
Monaco
#10
L
79-82
79
82
-3
71avg 80
H09/10
Euroleague
Varese
#8
W
94-61
94
61
+33
100avg 80
A11/10
Lega A
Bayern
#14
L
53-64
53
64
-11
46avg 80
A14/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
20-15
19-14
14-24
29-19
15-23
15-23
19-19
20-22
22-23
17-19
24-19
28-24
19-20
22-11
21-21
22-20
23-21
24-22
23-19
19-21
14-24
29-24
16-11
25-21
19-24
8-16
19-13
17-22
19-19
26-25
17-16
28-17
22-15
24-20
20-9
14-16
19-12
7-18
13-18
156.3Avg total
79.6Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.577.0152.5-1.525%
Season at home (1)79.082.0161.0-3.00%
Season away (3)74.375.3149.7-1.033%
Last 10 (10)79.676.7156.3+2.940%
Last 5 (5)75.072.2147.2+2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)88.098.0186.0-10.00%
vs Similar (19)80.780.1160.8+0.742%
vs Weaker (9)90.977.3168.2+13.667%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +1.7+1.7
Zalgiris KaunasOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A19/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H21/06
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A20/09
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H24/09
LKL
Neptunas
#3
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A27/09
LKL
Monaco
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A01/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H03/10
Euroleague
Juventus
#7
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H05/10
LKL
Bayern
#14
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A10/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A14/10
Euroleague
77.2Avg total
42.8Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.535.579.0+7.973%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.933.477.3+10.580%-
Last 30 away (15)43.137.780.7+5.467%-
Last 10 (10)42.834.477.2+8.470%-
Last 5 (5)44.836.281.0+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)42.339.081.3+3.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)43.635.178.7+8.474%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H05/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H07/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A30/09
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A02/10
Euroleague
Tortona
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H05/10
Lega A
Monaco
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H09/10
Euroleague
Varese
#8
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A11/10
Lega A
Bayern
#14
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A14/10
Euroleague
81.2Avg total
40.9Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.141.484.5+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (12)47.342.289.6+5.167%-
Last 30 away (18)40.340.981.2-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)40.940.381.2+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.238.277.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)44.055.099.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (19)41.140.681.7+0.553%-
vs Weaker (9)47.341.288.6+6.178%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.7
57.3%
60.4%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.6
36.8%
35.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.917.5
76.4%
78.2%17.5
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.3
53.0%
60.4%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.1
35.3%
35.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.514.5
78.4%
78.2%14.5
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWWWWWWWWW
Olimpia Milano
LWLLLWWWLL
#5
League position
#13
+15.5
Net rating
+3.3
121.4
Offensive rating
111.9
105.8
Defensive rating
108.6
56.4%
Effective FG%
53.0%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
15.3%
Turnover %
17.7%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.8%
3-point %
35.3%
66.0%
Assist %
64.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence121.4 · 111.9Defence105.8 · 108.6Shooting56.4% · 53.0%3-point %36.8% · 35.3%Ball care15.3% · 17.7%Off. rebounds32.1% · 33.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
5
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
06/02/25Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano87-89
17/10/24Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas82-85
28/03/24Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano87-73
30/11/23Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas70-83
13/01/23Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas61-66
18/11/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano71-62
08/02/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano70-74
28/01/22Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas65-58
05/03/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano64-69
20/11/20Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas98-92
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/25ACrvena zvezda79-88
10/10/25ABayern98-70
05/10/25HJuventus98-68
03/10/25HFenerbahce84-81
01/10/25AMonaco89-84
27/09/25ANeptunas84-71
24/09/25HSiauliai93-72
20/09/25AJonava87-78
21/06/25HRytas76-69
19/06/25ARytas84-83
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/25ABayern53-64
11/10/25AVarese94-61
09/10/25HMonaco79-82
05/10/25HTortona71-74
02/10/25APartizan78-80
30/09/25ACrvena zvezda92-82
28/09/25ABrescia90-76
27/09/25AVirtus Bologna93-86 OT
07/06/25HVirtus Bologna78-84
05/06/25HVirtus Bologna68-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game87.584.088.7
Allowed / game80.881.080.7
Point differential+6.8+3.0+8.0
Avg total168.2165.0169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%0%33%
Points / game75.579.074.3
Allowed / game77.082.075.3
Point differential-1.5-3.0-1.0
Avg total152.5161.0149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas43175%87.580.8+6.8
2 Real Madrid43175%83.877.2+6.5
3 Paris43175%93.289.0+4.2
4 Hapoel Tel-Aviv43175%95.091.0+4.0
5 Panathinaikos43175%90.087.8+2.2
6 Barcelona53260%93.691.0+2.6
7 Dubai53260%82.682.4+0.2
8 Monaco42250%85.581.5+4.0
9 Olympiacos42250%85.883.5+2.2
10 Anadolu Efes42250%83.884.0-0.2
11 Valencia42250%94.594.8-0.2
12 Crvena zvezda42250%86.087.2-1.2
13 Virtus Bologna42250%81.083.5-2.5
14 Partizan42250%83.886.8-3.0
15 Bayern42250%77.581.5-4.0
16 Olimpia Milano41325%75.577.0-1.5
17 Fenerbahce41325%81.885.0-3.2
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne41325%84.087.8-3.8
19 Maccabi Tel Aviv41325%86.592.0-5.5
20 Baskonia4040%90.598.8-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2121191778
Olimpia Milano1326242689
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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