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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Olimpia Milano Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 12 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record7-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
3.7/10
Below normal
Position#19
Record1-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game89.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 31· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano
12 Mar 2027
ZAL v MIL
upcoming
16 Oct 2025
ZAL78
MIL89
06 Feb 2025
ZAL87
MIL89
28 Mar 2024
ZAL87
MIL73
18 Nov 2022
ZAL71
MIL62
08 Feb 2022
ZAL70
MIL74
05 Mar 2021
ZAL64
MIL69
29 Nov 2018
ZAL83
MIL78
20 Mar 2018
ZAL77
MIL65
31 Mar 2017
ZAL84
MIL88
29 Nov 2013
ZAL73
MIL71
01 Nov 2012
ZAL92
MIL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Taurage
#9
W
96-76
96
76
+20
95avg 88
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
105-85
105
85
+20
106avg 88
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#7
W
86-63
86
63
+23
93avg 88
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
91-74
91
74
+17
89avg 88
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 88
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
94-89
94
89
+5
no box
A02/11
LKL
Besiktas
#13
W
83-67
83
67
+16
no box
A06/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#8
W
94-85
94
85
+9
no box
A08/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A12/11
Euroleague
Neptunas
#5
W
87-82
87
82
+5
no box
H15/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
18-19
30-14
23-20
29-20
21-14
31-25
24-26
24-15
17-11
24-14
21-23
14-22
23-13
28-18
26-21
27-21
17-19
25-17
18-23
25-21
17-28
28-20
24-20
20-17
25-14
17-13
21-23
21-17
27-25
12-20
34-23
18-25
27-16
18-11
23-31
23-29
25-14
21-25
18-14
169.3Avg total
90.9Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.682.4168.0+3.364%
Season at home (4)88.285.8174.0+2.550%
Season away (7)84.180.4164.6+3.771%
Last 10 (10)90.978.4169.3+12.5100%
Last 5 (5)88.881.2170.0+7.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)91.093.0184.0-2.00%
vs Similar (4)84.584.2168.8+0.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)92.677.8170.3+14.892%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Dubai
#9
L
97-101
97
101
-4
93avg 83
H15/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#2
W
98-82
98
82
+16
93avg 83
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#4
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 83
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
80avg 83
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
66avg 83
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
75avg 83
A30/10
Euroleague
Cantu
#16
W
95-82
95
82
+13
no box
A02/11
Lega A
Valencia
#3
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
H05/11
Euroleague
Trento
#11
W
88-86
88
86
+2
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
83-86
83
86
-3
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
26-27
19-27
29-18
18-25
23-13
25-23
32-21
21-23
19-21
24-27
17-18
22-20
30-17
15-22
14-22
19-18
18-22
24-20
14-20
19-25
25-19
17-25
17-15
23-27
28-20
21-17
23-18
15-24
22-16
22-11
14-33
26-28
30-20
19-22
13-16
25-18
16-27
11-18
31-23
173.4Avg total
86.2Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.389.3170.5-8.09%
Season at home (6)85.090.5175.5-5.517%
Season away (5)76.887.8164.6-11.00%
Last 10 (10)86.287.2173.4-1.030%
Last 5 (5)83.484.4167.8-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)81.589.2170.8-7.80%
vs Similar (6)86.287.8174.0-1.750%
vs Weaker (16)88.679.8168.4+8.975%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.0+0.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.0+0.0
Zalgiris KaunasOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Taurage
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#7
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A02/11
LKL
Besiktas
#13
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A06/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#8
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A08/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A12/11
Euroleague
Neptunas
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H15/11
LKL
82.6Avg total
44.3Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.938.883.7+6.173%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.538.785.2+7.987%-
Last 30 away (15)43.338.982.3+4.460%-
Last 10 (10)44.338.382.6+6.090%-
Last 5 (5)45.641.286.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.044.088.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (4)42.244.086.2-1.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)45.437.883.2+7.684%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubai
#9
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H15/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A30/10
Euroleague
Cantu
#16
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A02/11
Lega A
Valencia
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H05/11
Euroleague
Trento
#11
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H08/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H12/11
Euroleague
88.7Avg total
44.8Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.642.587.1+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.741.989.6+5.862%-
Last 30 away (14)41.143.184.3-2.029%-
Last 10 (10)44.843.988.7+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)45.844.890.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.545.586.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (6)43.242.085.2+1.250%-
vs Weaker (16)47.241.188.4+6.169%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.8
56.1%
55.2%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.910.8
43.4%
35.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.0
74.8%
77.1%16.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.3
56.8%
55.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.9
36.0%
35.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.718.6
81.9%
77.1%18.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWWWWW
Olimpia Milano
LWLWLLLLWL
#8
League position
#19
+11.2
Net rating
-1.4
106.4
Offensive rating
100.0
95.2
Defensive rating
101.4
59.8%
Effective FG%
55.5%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
16.4%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.37
43.4%
3-point %
36.0%
69.0%
Assist %
66.8%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 100.0Defence95.2 · 101.4Shooting59.8% · 55.5%3-point %43.4% · 36.0%Ball care16.4% · 16.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)100% · 30%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HNeptunas87-82
12/11/26AOlimpia Milano86-83
08/11/26AJuventus94-85
06/11/26ABesiktas83-67
02/11/26ARytas94-89
30/10/26HPartizan87-80
28/10/26AVirtus Bologna91-74
25/10/26HJonava86-63
23/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne105-85
18/10/26HTaurage96-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HZalgiris Kaunas83-86
08/11/26HTrento88-86
05/11/26HValencia73-84
02/11/26ACantu95-82
30/10/26AOlympiacos78-84
27/10/26APanathinaikos75-80
25/10/26HVirtus Bologna94-98 OT
22/10/26HBarcelona81-89
18/10/26ABasket Napoli98-82
15/10/26HDubai97-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %64%50%71%
Points / game85.688.284.1
Allowed / game82.485.880.4
Point differential+3.3+2.5+3.7
Avg total168.0174.0164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %9%17%0%
Points / game81.385.076.8
Allowed / game89.390.587.8
Point differential-8.0-5.5-11.0
Avg total170.5175.5164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos118373%86.478.5+7.9
2 Olympiacos118373%88.580.7+7.7
3 Valencia118373%96.488.9+7.5
4 Barcelona118373%89.687.4+2.3
5 Real Madrid117464%98.590.1+8.4
6 Crvena zvezda117464%83.377.7+5.5
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas117464%85.682.4+3.3
9 Dubai117464%86.585.6+0.9
10 Hapoel Tel-Aviv116555%90.487.2+3.2
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Anadolu Efes115645%85.987.5-1.5
13 Besiktas115645%88.490.9-2.5
14 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne114736%88.593.2-4.6
16 Virtus Bologna114736%86.190.7-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%84.392.1-7.8
18 Bayern113827%86.895.2-8.4
19 Olimpia Milano111109%81.389.3-8.0
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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