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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 71-62
16-11 18-13 15-15 22-23
Position#9
Record4-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Position#12
Record3-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game74.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 8
European cup2022
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano
12 Mar 2027
ZAL v MIL
upcoming
16 Oct 2025
ZAL78
MIL89
06 Feb 2025
ZAL87
MIL89
28 Mar 2024
ZAL87
MIL73
18 Nov 2022
ZAL71
MIL62
08 Feb 2022
ZAL70
MIL74
05 Mar 2021
ZAL64
MIL69
29 Nov 2018
ZAL83
MIL78
20 Mar 2018
ZAL77
MIL65
31 Mar 2017
ZAL84
MIL88
29 Nov 2013
ZAL73
MIL71
01 Nov 2012
ZAL92
MIL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
80-90
80
90
-10
73avg 76
A14/10
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#11
W
86-74
86
74
+12
86avg 76
H16/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
68-65
68
65
+3
63avg 76
H18/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
73-72
73
72
+1
62avg 76
H20/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
93-75
93
75
+18
95avg 76
H23/10
LKL
Partizan
#6
L
76-87
76
87
-11
71avg 76
A27/10
Euroleague
Juventus
#5
W
109-76
109
76
+33
116avg 76
H30/10
LKL
Alba Berlin
#17
W
88-81
88
81
+7
79avg 76
H04/11
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
85-89
85
89
-4
85avg 76
A06/11
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
93-76
93
76
+17
100avg 76
A10/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
14-26
23-23
22-23
20-18
26-14
21-22
19-20
16-24
15-14
21-15
16-12
20-19
24-16
11-21
18-16
28-22
20-15
26-21
19-17
22-20
14-24
21-16
19-27
24-17
22-22
29-12
34-25
13-25
19-19
22-17
34-20
27-23
21-20
21-20
16-26
22-24
28-22
19-21
24-9
163.6Avg total
85.1Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.179.3159.4+0.957%
Season at home (3)76.372.7149.0+3.7100%
Season away (4)83.084.2167.2-1.225%
Last 10 (10)85.178.5163.6+6.670%
Last 5 (5)90.281.8172.0+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.083.2161.2-5.225%
vs Similar ◀ (7)70.477.0147.4-6.643%
vs Weaker (19)87.474.3161.6+13.184%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#17
L
74-80 OT
74
80
-6
no box
H14/10
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
83-82
83
82
+1
72avg 71
H16/10
Lega A
Partizan
#6
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 71
A18/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
W
83-81
83
81
+2
77avg 71
A20/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
L
69-77
69
77
-8
60avg 71
A23/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#3
L
56-74
56
74
-18
45avg 71
A28/10
Euroleague
Verona
#16
W
78-54
78
54
+24
79avg 71
H30/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
66avg 71
H03/11
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
A06/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
59-64
59
64
-5
54avg 71
H09/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-26
18-12
21-22
19-10
27-21
19-16
23-29
14-16
17-27
24-22
21-12
18-14
16-22
21-21
26-23
20-15
21-16
15-21
18-23
15-17
21-21
8-22
12-18
15-13
23-6
18-21
19-16
18-11
20-23
30-24
11-20
16-16
11-18
30-21
25-12
19-20
23-12
12-27
6-14
18-11
148.5Avg total
74.4Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)71.174.1145.3-3.043%
Season at home (3)70.075.7145.7-5.70%
Season away (4)72.073.0145.0-1.075%
Last 10 (10)74.474.1148.5+0.350%
Last 5 (5)71.069.2140.2+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.077.3148.3-6.333%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.072.9147.9+2.150%
vs Weaker (16)82.172.1154.2+10.188%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
Zalgiris KaunasOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A14/10
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#11
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H16/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H18/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H20/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H23/10
LKL
Partizan
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A27/10
Euroleague
Juventus
#5
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H30/10
LKL
Alba Berlin
#17
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H04/11
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A06/11
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A10/11
Euroleague
81.8Avg total
41.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.838.480.1+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.635.480.0+9.379%-
Last 30 away (16)39.241.080.2-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)41.640.281.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.285.6-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.842.283.0-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)33.042.475.4-9.414%-
vs Weaker (19)45.236.181.3+9.284%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#17
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H14/10
Euroleague
Brindisi
#9
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H16/10
Lega A
Partizan
#6
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A18/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A20/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A23/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#3
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A28/10
Euroleague
Verona
#16
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H30/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H03/11
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A06/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H09/11
Euroleague
78.5Avg total
38.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.638.378.9+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.538.380.8+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)38.738.477.1+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)38.639.978.5-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.078.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.046.386.3-6.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.938.576.4-0.650%-
vs Weaker (16)43.337.881.1+5.662%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.1
56.1%
53.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.9
39.0%
36.2%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.314.4
78.7%
78.5%14.4
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.716.7
48.1%
53.5%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.6
36.8%
36.2%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.814.2
79.8%
78.5%14.2
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWWLWWWWL
Olimpia Milano
LWLWLLWWWL
#9
League position
#12
+9.8
Net rating
+1.9
117.9
Offensive rating
104.7
108.1
Defensive rating
102.8
57.1%
Effective FG%
50.9%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
19.6%
Turnover %
18.4%
37.1%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.0%
3-point %
36.8%
69.7%
Assist %
60.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.9 · 104.7Defence108.1 · 102.8Shooting57.1% · 50.9%3-point %39.0% · 36.8%Ball care19.6% · 18.4%Off. rebounds37.1% · 26.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/22ALyon-Villeurbanne93-76
06/11/22ARytas85-89
04/11/22HAlba Berlin88-81
30/10/22HJuventus109-76
27/10/22APartizan76-87
23/10/22HNevezis93-75
20/10/22HBarcelona73-72
18/10/22HVirtus Bologna68-65
16/10/22HGargzdai86-74
14/10/22AOlympiacos80-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/22HVirtus Bologna59-64
06/11/22APesaro85-71
03/11/22HReal Madrid77-83
30/10/22HVerona78-54
28/10/22ABarcelona56-74
23/10/22AVenezia69-77
20/10/22ABayern83-81
18/10/22APartizan80-75
16/10/22HBrindisi83-82
14/10/22HAlba Berlin74-80 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game80.176.383.0
Allowed / game79.372.784.2
Point differential+0.9+3.7-1.2
Avg total159.4149.0167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%0%75%
Points / game71.170.072.0
Allowed / game74.175.773.0
Point differential-3.0-5.7-1.0
Avg total145.3145.7145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %14%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce87188%86.473.6+12.8
2 Olympiacos86275%85.477.8+7.6
3 Monaco75271%83.079.7+3.3
4 Real Madrid85362%82.677.1+5.5
5 Barcelona85362%78.576.2+2.2
6 Baskonia74357%89.787.3+2.4
7 Zalgiris Kaunas74357%80.179.3+0.9
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv74357%81.783.4-1.7
9 Virtus Bologna84450%73.274.6-1.4
10 Valencia84450%79.282.0-2.8
11 Partizan73443%83.085.3-2.3
12 Olimpia Milano73443%71.174.1-3.0
13 Alba Berlin83538%81.480.6+0.8
14 Anadolu Efes83538%83.983.6+0.2
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne83538%73.177.6-4.5
16 Bayern82625%72.877.8-5.0
17 Crvena zvezda82625%71.278.8-7.5
18 Panathinaikos82625%78.586.1-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas1618152271
Olimpia Milano1113152362
← all games of the day
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