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BC Wolves vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 16:50
Final 80-75
23-17 16-16 19-19 22-23
Position#3
Record12-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#1
Record15-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game70.9
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · BC Wolves v Zalgiris Kaunas
19 Apr 2025
WOL69
ZAL81
27 Oct 2024
WOL100
ZAL82
05 May 2024
WOL97
ZAL93
30 Dec 2023
WOL76
ZAL95
12 Nov 2023
WOL75
ZAL64
06 Feb 2023
WOL80
ZAL75
02 Jan 2023
WOL79
ZAL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
88-76
88
76
+12
83avg 78
A07/01
LKL
Tartu Ulikool
#13
W
79-77
79
77
+2
no box
A09/01
ENBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
89-60
89
60
+29
no box
H10/01
ENBL
Juventus
#5
W
86-81
86
81
+5
79avg 78
A15/01
LKL
Trefl Sopot
#7
L
86-89
86
89
-3
no box
A17/01
ENBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
72-91
72
91
-19
no box
A22/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Nes Ziona
#8
L
84-90
84
90
-6
no box
A25/01
ENBL
Nevezis
#8
W
94-73
94
73
+21
92avg 78
H29/01
LKL
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
W
85-75
85
75
+10
no box
H31/01
ENBL
Brno
#14
W
62-56
62
56
+6
no box
A01/02
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
26-15
16-24
22-23
16-27
16-17
22-20
25-13
18-12
18-15
22-15
31-18
19-19
16-23
32-21
19-18
19-21
21-22
18-20
28-26
14-22
14-21
19-23
25-25
25-25
19-16
19-15
21-34
21-20
22-15
21-22
30-16
24-23
19-24
19-20
23-8
14-11
17-19
15-18
16-8
159.3Avg total
82.5Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.679.5164.1+5.271%
Season at home (8)87.277.1164.4+10.175%
Season away (9)82.381.6163.9+0.867%
Last 10 (10)82.576.8159.3+5.770%
Last 5 (5)79.477.0156.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)81.087.7168.7-6.717%
vs Similar (6)90.285.0175.2+5.250%
vs Weaker (18)83.274.9158.1+8.283%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
W
77-46
77
46
+31
75avg 76
H08/01
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
87-77
87
77
+10
81avg 76
A10/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
66-61
66
61
+5
59avg 76
A13/01
Euroleague
Siauliai
#9
W
93-75
93
75
+18
93avg 76
A16/01
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
71-66
71
66
+5
66avg 76
H20/01
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#6
W
91-72
91
72
+19
no box
H22/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Panathinaikos
#15
L
65-89
65
89
-24
57avg 76
A26/01
Euroleague
Jonava
#6
L
76-80
76
80
-4
74avg 76
H29/01
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
70-80
70
80
-10
59avg 76
A01/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
74-88
74
88
-14
66avg 76
H03/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-13
19-13
25-15
21-5
24-13
16-23
20-24
27-17
19-9
18-18
22-13
7-21
22-18
21-20
27-17
23-20
20-14
18-16
12-26
21-10
22-14
21-14
23-19
25-25
24-19
18-8
16-37
7-25
12-22
26-21
24-13
14-24
16-16
12-22
21-17
21-25
15-26
15-21
24-14
20-27
150.4Avg total
77.0Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)87.070.9157.9+16.188%
Season at home (9)88.470.4158.9+18.089%
Season away (8)85.471.5156.9+13.988%
Last 10 (10)77.073.4150.4+3.660%
Last 5 (5)75.281.8157.0-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.084.3160.3-8.333%
vs Similar (14)74.475.2149.6-0.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.972.7159.6+14.285%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
BC WolvesZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A07/01
LKL
Tartu Ulikool
#13
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A09/01
ENBL
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H10/01
ENBL
Juventus
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A15/01
LKL
Trefl Sopot
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A17/01
ENBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A22/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Nes Ziona
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A25/01
ENBL
Nevezis
#8
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H29/01
LKL
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H31/01
ENBL
Brno
#14
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A01/02
ENBL
76.3Avg total
38.2Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.281.8+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.639.083.6+5.671%-
Last 30 away (16)38.941.280.2-2.338%-
Last 10 (10)38.238.176.3+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.277.0-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.846.385.2-7.50%-
vs Similar (6)45.743.288.8+2.550%-
vs Weaker (18)41.137.278.3+3.972%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H08/01
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A10/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A13/01
Euroleague
Siauliai
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A16/01
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H20/01
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#6
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H22/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Panathinaikos
#15
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A26/01
Euroleague
Jonava
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H29/01
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A01/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H03/02
Euroleague
71.0Avg total
37.0Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.235.975.1+3.373%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.335.171.5+1.260%-
Last 30 away (15)42.036.778.7+5.387%-
Last 10 (10)37.034.071.0+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)36.236.672.8-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.041.378.3-4.367%-
vs Similar (14)37.135.072.1+2.164%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.835.677.5+6.285%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.417.1
56.2%
54.9%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.811.4
39.6%
35.0%34.2
🏀 Free throws16.711.9
71.3%
74.2%11.9
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.3
52.9%
54.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.27.8
36.8%
35.0%23.4
🏀 Free throws14.011.7
83.6%
74.2%11.7
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Wolves
WWWLLLWWWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
LLLLWWWWWW
#3
League position
#1
+5.2
Net rating
+5.6
116.0
Offensive rating
114.2
110.8
Defensive rating
108.6
57.8%
Effective FG%
53.7%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
18.8%
Turnover %
19.1%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
38.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
39.6%
3-point %
36.8%
72.3%
Assist %
52.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 114.2Defence110.8 · 108.6Shooting57.8% · 53.7%3-point %39.6% · 36.8%Ball care18.8% · 19.1%Off. rebounds34.5% · 38.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ BC Wolves   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
BC Wolves wins
3
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/23ABrno62-56
31/01/23HOstrow Wielkopolski85-75
29/01/23HNevezis94-73
25/01/23ANes Ziona84-90
22/01/23AZalgiris Kaunas72-91
17/01/23ATrefl Sopot86-89
15/01/23AJuventus86-81
10/01/23HValmiera Glass Via89-60
09/01/23ATartu Ulikool79-77
07/01/23ARytas88-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/23HPartizan74-88
01/02/23AAnadolu Efes70-80
29/01/23HJonava76-80
26/01/23APanathinaikos65-89
22/01/23HBC Wolves91-72
20/01/23HCrvena zvezda71-66
16/01/23ASiauliai93-75
13/01/23AOlimpia Milano66-61
10/01/23AVirtus Bologna87-77
08/01/23HNeptunas77-46

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Wolves
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeLWWLW75%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game84.687.282.3
Allowed / game79.577.181.6
Point differential+5.2+10.1+0.8
Avg total164.1164.4163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)0% (1)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL88%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayLWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %88%89%88%
Points / game87.088.485.4
Allowed / game70.970.471.5
Point differential+16.1+18.0+13.9
Avg total157.9158.9156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1715288%87.070.9+16.1
2 Rytas1713476%88.181.8+6.3
3 Juventus1813572%85.882.5+3.3
4 BC Wolves1712571%84.679.5+5.2
5 Jonava1811761%80.678.0+2.6
6 Lietkabelis1810856%84.783.1+1.6
7 Siauliai189950%82.483.4-0.9
8 Nevezis1881044%80.882.1-1.2
9 Neptunas1871139%77.481.2-3.7
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes1741324%78.587.6-9.2
11 Gargzdai1831517%78.184.5-6.4
12 Prienai181176%77.590.1-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Wolves2316192280
Zalgiris Kaunas1716192375
← all games of the day
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